Podcast on In-depth Business Talks, Speedwell Research

The Synopsis

Podcast on In-depth Business Talks

Speedwell Research

Speedwell Research spends hundreds of hours researching public businesses each month and in "The Synopsis" they share their key learnings. Most business podcasts are superficial and assume their listeners are unsophisticated. In contrast, The Synopsis trusts listeners are interested in learning about complex, industry-specific issues, so long as they are explained clearly. We cover businesses from inception to current day, coupling business analysis and an investors lens. Start listening today to become a better analyst and investor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Evolution reported 2Q25 earnings, with stock up 7% on the day</li><li>Live casino revenue up 4%, RNG flat with potential for growth</li><li>Expansion of partnership with Hasbro for Monopoly IP in North America, positive outlook in the market</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Evolution reported 2Q25 earnings, with stock up 7% on the dayLive casino revenue up 4%, RNG flat with potential for growthExpansion of partnership with Hasbro for Monopoly IP in North America, positive outlook in the marketThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Dialogue. Evolution 2Q25 Business Update, Black Markets, UK Investigation, Asia Cyber Attacks

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul>
<li>Evolution Gaming Group AB reported mixed results for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a combination of strategic challenges and developments that the company is navigating.</li>
<li>The company's net revenue for the quarter was EUR 520.9 million, marking a modest year-on-year growth of 3.9%.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, EBITDA decreased by 1.1% compared to the same period last year, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 65.6%, slightly below the company's full-year guidance of 66% to 68%.</li>
</ul>


Evolution Gaming Group AB reported mixed results for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a combination of strategic challenges and developments that the company is navigating.
The company's net revenue for the quarter was EUR 520.9 million, marking a modest year-on-year growth of 3.9%.
Meanwhile, EBITDA decreased by 1.1% compared to the same period last year, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 65.6%, slightly below the company's full-year guidance of 66% to 68%.


Evolution AB- A Tech Powerhouse Sets Stage for Global Domination With A Solid R&D Push!

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Games Global, a promising iGaming content provider and B2B online gaming supplier, set terms for its U.S. IPO. The IPO price is expected to be between $16 and $19/share.</li>
<li>With the most recent F-1/A, the company may raise ~$114M at the high end of the range at $19/share. Zinnia Limited sells additional 8.5M shares in this offering.   </li>
<li>Games Global has created an impressive portfolios of iGaming content through a series of successful acquisitions, and I see upside potential vs. IPO price of $17.50 at the midpoint.</li>
</ul>


Games Global, a promising iGaming content provider and B2B online gaming supplier, set terms for its U.S. IPO. The IPO price is expected to be between $16 and $19/share.
With the most recent F-1/A, the company may raise ~$114M at the high end of the range at $19/share. Zinnia Limited sells additional 8.5M shares in this offering.   
Games Global has created an impressive portfolios of iGaming content through a series of successful acquisitions, and I see upside potential vs. IPO price of $17.50 at the midpoint.


Games Global IPO: Strong Profitability and Impressive Portfolios of IGaming Content

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.</li>
<li>As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.</li>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks</li>
</ul>


Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.
As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.
Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks


Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The pullback in global equities continues with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) testing 1.5-month downtrend resistance while the STOXX Europe 50 tests resistance at 3800-3840.</li>
<li>We expect a rejection at the 1.5-month downtrend and for the stair-step lower to continue, with our targets being $84 (December 2022 low) and potentially $75-77 (the 2022 lows).</li>
<li>If ACWI-US is able to reverse above the 1.5-month downtrend, we still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023. Remain overweight Europe. Also highlighting individual stock buys on pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


The pullback in global equities continues with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) testing 1.5-month downtrend resistance while the STOXX Europe 50 tests resistance at 3800-3840.
We expect a rejection at the 1.5-month downtrend and for the stair-step lower to continue, with our targets being $84 (December 2022 low) and potentially $75-77 (the 2022 lows).
If ACWI-US is able to reverse above the 1.5-month downtrend, we still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023. Remain overweight Europe. Also highlighting individual stock buys on pullbacks.


MSCI ACWI and EAFE Testing 1.5-Month Downtrends; Remain OW EU; Buys in Leading Sectors on Pullbacks

Sweden

Evolution AB operates as a gaming company. The Company develops, produces, markets and licenses fully integrated B2B live casino solutions to online casino operators. Evolution serves customers worldwide.

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Evolution (EVO SS)

Dialogue. Evolution 2Q25 Business Update, Black Markets, UK Investigation, Asia Cyber Attacks

In summary, Evolution's 2Q25 earnings report showed positive growth in revenue, particularly in the live casino segment, despite challenges like...

The Synopsis

Evolution AB- A Tech Powerhouse Sets Stage for Global Domination With A Solid R&D Push!

Evolution Gaming Group AB reported mixed results for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a combination of strategic challenges and developments...

Baptista Research

Games Global IPO: Strong Profitability and Impressive Portfolios of IGaming Content

The Isle of Man-based Games Global targets ~$2B IPO valuation. I like the company’s strong profitability/cash flow profile and see upside potential...

Andrei Zakharov

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

MSCI ACWI and EAFE Testing 1.5-Month Downtrends; Remain OW EU; Buys in Leading Sectors on Pullbacks

Pullback in global equities continues with MSCI $ACWI testing 1.5-month downtrend resistance as $STOXX Europe 50 tests 3800-3840 resistance....

Vermilion Research

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