Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Super Micro Computer / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing signs that this 2+ month consolidation in the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is ready to break out to the upside. Buy/stay long.</li>
<li>Part of that is the obvious; both the SPX and QQQ are breaking out to marginal new highs. </li>
<li>The other part that has kept us bullish this whole time is that market dynamics have remained risk-on, which we have discussed on a weekly basis.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing signs that this 2+ month consolidation in the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is ready to break out to the upside. Buy/stay long.
Part of that is the obvious; both the SPX and QQQ are breaking out to marginal new highs. 
The other part that has kept us bullish this whole time is that market dynamics have remained risk-on, which we have discussed on a weekly basis.


S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Breaking Out; Upside Resuming; DXY and Yields Forming Major Tops?

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish, and since late-December we have been suggesting to use the pullback as a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>Most recent/highest conviction "buy-the-dip" call came last week (1/14/25) amid all major indexes testing supports (SPX, QQQ, DJI, IJH, VXF, IWM, ARKK, SMH), bullish breadth divergences, other ongoing bullish signals.</li>
<li>Those dip buys are finally paying off, with all these indexes breaking out from 1+month consolidations. The SPX has gapped-up on four of past five trading days, indicating significant strength</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish, and since late-December we have been suggesting to use the pullback as a buying opportunity.
Most recent/highest conviction "buy-the-dip" call came last week (1/14/25) amid all major indexes testing supports (SPX, QQQ, DJI, IJH, VXF, IWM, ARKK, SMH), bullish breadth divergences, other ongoing bullish signals.
Those dip buys are finally paying off, with all these indexes breaking out from 1+month consolidations. The SPX has gapped-up on four of past five trading days, indicating significant strength


Local Tops for 10-Year Treasury Yield, DXY, and Crude Oil; All Major Indexes Breaking Out. Bullish

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Lithia Motors Inc Cl A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Lithia Motors has presented a robust set of financial results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting strong execution and strategic advancements in its business model.</li><li>The company reported an increase in revenues to a record $9.2 billion, marking an 11% rise from the same quarter in the previous year.</li><li>This growth has been underpinned by significant enhancements in cost efficiency, with a reduction in adjusted SG&A from 67.9% of gross profit in the previous quarter to 66% this quarter.</li></ul>

Lithia Motors has presented a robust set of financial results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting strong execution and strategic advancements in its business model.The company reported an increase in revenues to a record $9.2 billion, marking an 11% rise from the same quarter in the previous year.This growth has been underpinned by significant enhancements in cost efficiency, with a reduction in adjusted SG&A from 67.9% of gross profit in the previous quarter to 66% this quarter.

Lithia Motors Inc.: Dealing With The Challenges of Maintaining Profitability Amid Market Fluctuations! - Major Drivers

<ul><li>Lithia Motors' second quarter earnings revealed both promising advances and looming challenges as it navigates a rapidly evolving automotive market.</li><li>President and CEO Bryan DeBoer detailed the company’s response to operational hurdles, notably a cyberattack on CDK, their dealer management system provider, which significantly impacted operations temporarily.</li><li>Despite this, Lithia Motors reported a 14% year-over year increase in revenues, achieving $9.2 billion in the quarter, marking a strong financial performance amidst industry-wide challenges.</li></ul>

Lithia Motors' second quarter earnings revealed both promising advances and looming challenges as it navigates a rapidly evolving automotive market.President and CEO Bryan DeBoer detailed the company’s response to operational hurdles, notably a cyberattack on CDK, their dealer management system provider, which significantly impacted operations temporarily.Despite this, Lithia Motors reported a 14% year-over year increase in revenues, achieving $9.2 billion in the quarter, marking a strong financial performance amidst industry-wide challenges.

Lithia Motors Inc.: Will Their Heavy Investments In EVs & Green Tech Integration Pay Off? - Major Drivers

<ul><li>Lithia Motors has presented its first quarter of 2024 results in an interesting landscape of transition and growth, marked by significant strategic engagements and expansions.</li><li>The company saw a rise in revenue to $8.6 billion, a 23% increase from the previous year.</li><li>This growth in revenue helped counterbalance the impact of decreasing Gross Profit per Unit (GPUs) on new and used vehicles.</li></ul>

Lithia Motors has presented its first quarter of 2024 results in an interesting landscape of transition and growth, marked by significant strategic engagements and expansions.The company saw a rise in revenue to $8.6 billion, a 23% increase from the previous year.This growth in revenue helped counterbalance the impact of decreasing Gross Profit per Unit (GPUs) on new and used vehicles.

Lithia Motors: Expansion of Driveway & E-commerce Platforms A Major Growth Catalyst? - Key Drivers

United States

Lithia Motors, Inc. retails, finances, and services new and used vehicles. The Company also provides other related services and products, such as the sale of parts and accessories, extended service contracts, aftermarket automotive products, and collision repair services. Lithia Motors operates throughout the United States.

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Lithia Motors Inc Cl A (LAD US)

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Lithia Motors Inc.: Dealing With The Challenges of Maintaining Profitability Amid Market Fluctuations! - Major Drivers

Lithia Motors has presented a robust set of financial results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting strong execution and strategic...

Baptista Research

Lithia Motors Inc.: Will Their Heavy Investments In EVs & Green Tech Integration Pay Off? - Major Drivers

Lithia Motors' second quarter earnings revealed both promising advances and looming challenges as it navigates a rapidly evolving automotive...

Baptista Research

Lithia Motors: Expansion of Driveway & E-commerce Platforms A Major Growth Catalyst? - Key Drivers

Lithia Motors has presented its first quarter of 2024 results in an interesting landscape of transition and growth, marked by significant...

Baptista Research

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