Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX</li>
<li>Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.</li>
<li>In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months</li>
</ul>


Major indexes in the three largest global equity markets (U.S., Europe, Japan) all remain below critical resistances of 5783 on SPX, 5000-5120 on EURO STOXX 50, and 2740-2820 on TOPIX
Additionally, broad global MSCI indexes (local currency) including the ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., and EAFE all remain at/below resistance from their YTD highs; reduce exposure or shift to defensives.
In late-July we discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI. We believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months


U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023</li>
<li>As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves </li>
<li>TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023
As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves 
TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts


Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tata Steel India hit record output of 6.34 MT in 3QFY26, with deliveries crossing 6 MT, driven by strong domestic demand.</li>
<li>EU’s CBAM raises carbon costs and pressures exports, but tightening import rules could advantage Tata Steel Netherlands through stronger local demand.</li>
<li>CCI’s cartel findings against major steelmakers introduce regulatory overhang, potential penalties, and prolonged review risk, with pricing conduct under scrutiny.</li>
</ul>


Tata Steel India hit record output of 6.34 MT in 3QFY26, with deliveries crossing 6 MT, driven by strong domestic demand.
EU’s CBAM raises carbon costs and pressures exports, but tightening import rules could advantage Tata Steel Netherlands through stronger local demand.
CCI’s cartel findings against major steelmakers introduce regulatory overhang, potential penalties, and prolonged review risk, with pricing conduct under scrutiny.


Tata Steel: Strong India Momentum Provides Cushion as Carbon Costs and CCI Scrutiny Build

<ul>
<li>India led volume stability, improving deliveries, and captive raw materials position Tata Steel to convert the 2026 steel upcycle into earnings leverage.</li>
<li>EU policy tightening and CBAM-linked barriers improve Netherlands pricing power, supporting a European turnaround despite continued structural drag from the UK.</li>
<li>Attractive valuation metrics, low PEG, manageable leverage, and sector outperformance make Tata Steel a high-conviction risk-adjusted play for 2026.</li>
</ul>


India led volume stability, improving deliveries, and captive raw materials position Tata Steel to convert the 2026 steel upcycle into earnings leverage.
EU policy tightening and CBAM-linked barriers improve Netherlands pricing power, supporting a European turnaround despite continued structural drag from the UK.
Attractive valuation metrics, low PEG, manageable leverage, and sector outperformance make Tata Steel a high-conviction risk-adjusted play for 2026.


2026 High Conviction Idea: Tata Steel’s Raw‑Material Moat and Long‑Product Expansion

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wework-india-management-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44329:1" rel="noopener">WeWork India Management Ltd (1690124D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$338m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>WeWork India (WWI) offers a wide range of workspace solutions, including custom-designed buildings, floors, and offices, enterprise office suites, private offices, co-working spaces, customized managed offices, and hybrid digital solutions.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the peer comp and IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



WeWork India Management Ltd (1690124D IN) is looking to raise about US$338m in its India IPO.
WeWork India (WWI) offers a wide range of workspace solutions, including custom-designed buildings, floors, and offices, enterprise office suites, private offices, co-working spaces, customized managed offices, and hybrid digital solutions.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the peer comp and IPO valuations.


WeWork India IPO - Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

India

Lloyds Metals & Energy Ltd. is an India-based metals and mining company primarily engaged in iron ore mining, the manufacturing of sponge iron (Direct Reduced Iron - DRI), and power generation. The company is transitioning into an integrated steel manufacturer with strategic expansions in pellet manufacturing and steel making. It was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Lloyds Metals & Energy (LLOYDSME IN)

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives

U.S., Europe, and Japan Still Holding Below Resistance; Favor Defensives. Actionable Themes: Real Estate, Utilities, Telecommunications, Energy,...

Vermilion Research

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE (local currency) Also Below Resistance Though Testing Now; $EEM breakout...

Vermilion Research

Tata Steel: Strong India Momentum Provides Cushion as Carbon Costs and CCI Scrutiny Build

Record Indian volumes and safeguard duties strengthen earnings visibility, while CBAM costs and cartel reviews introduce manageable, time-bound...

Mint Finance

2026 High Conviction Idea: Tata Steel’s Raw‑Material Moat and Long‑Product Expansion

India strength, EU policy tailwinds, and valuation support converge, making Tata Steel a high-conviction bet as the steel cycle turns in 2026.

Mint Finance

WeWork India IPO - Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

WeWork India Management Ltd is looking to raise about US$338m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the peer comp and implied valuations in...

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)