External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Lloyds Metals & Energy / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We initiate coverage on Lloyd Metals and Energy (LMEL) with BUY recommendation.</li><li>Key points: 1) Structural iron ore cost advantage compared to peers; 2) capex of INR 327bn for 4.2mpta steel plant likely to be value accretive; 3) various cost initiatives may provide a cumulative benefit of USD 2.4bn over the next 10 years; 4) acquisition of TEIL likely to be cost efficient; and 5) superior returns vs peers.</li><li>Going ahead, we expect EBITDA/PAT CAGR (FY24-31E) of 35% and RoE/RoCE in excess of 23% (best among steel peers).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We initiate coverage on Lloyd Metals and Energy (LMEL) with BUY recommendation.Key points: 1) Structural iron ore cost advantage compared to peers; 2) capex of INR 327bn for 4.2mpta steel plant likely to be value accretive; 3) various cost initiatives may provide a cumulative benefit of USD 2.4bn over the next 10 years; 4) acquisition of TEIL likely to be cost efficient; and 5) superior returns vs peers.Going ahead, we expect EBITDA/PAT CAGR (FY24-31E) of 35% and RoE/RoCE in excess of 23% (best among steel peers).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Lloyds Metals and Energy - Catch It Early, Catch It Young

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 Indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.</li>
<li>There could be two ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 Index and four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 Index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 Indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.
As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.
There could be two ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 Index and four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 Index.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> too.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the NIFTY Index and Nifty Next 50 Index too.
The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and/or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes in March.</li>
<li>On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential NIFTY Index and/or Nifty Next 50 Index changes in March.
On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.</li>
<li>There will be a few announcements next week with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a> rebalances on Friday.</li>
<li>Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


The HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI rebalances will take place at the close on 4 September since the market was closed on 1 September due to Typhoon Saola.
There will be a few announcements next week with Nikkei 225 early in the week and the MVIS series post close on Friday. Plus the STAR50 rebalances on Friday.
Another week of huge inflows into mainland China ETFs focused on the CSI 300 Index, STAR50 INDEX and CSI Smallcap 500 Index.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

India

Lloyds Metals & Energy Ltd. is an India-based metals and mining company primarily engaged in iron ore mining, the manufacturing of sponge iron (Direct Reduced Iron - DRI), and power generation. The company is transitioning into an integrated steel manufacturer with strategic expansions in pellet manufacturing and steel making. It was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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Lloyds Metals & Energy (LLOYDSME IN)

Lloyds Metals and Energy - Catch It Early, Catch It Young

We initiate coverage on Lloyd Metals and Energy (LMEL) with BUY recommendation.Key points: 1) Structural iron ore cost advantage compared to peers

ICICI Securities Limited

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows

IndusInd Bank and Nestle India are expected DELs and Trent and Bharat Electronics are expected ADDs for the SENSEX index in June 2025. However,...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

We see 41 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

We see 43 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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Lloyds Metals and Energy - Catch It Early, Catch It Young

We initiate coverage on Lloyd Metals and Energy (LMEL) with BUY recommendation.Key points: 1) Structural iron ore cost advantage compared to peers

ICICI Securities Limited

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows

IndusInd Bank and Nestle India are expected DELs and Trent and Bharat Electronics are expected ADDs for the SENSEX index in June 2025. However,...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

We see 41 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

We see 43 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50, KOSPI200, Hang Seng, MVIS, AMFI, Jio, China ETF

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows