External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported a mixed set of earnings with robust AUM growth (+34% YoY) despite a regulatory embargo on select products, offset by sharp NIM compression (21bps) and elevated credit costs (1.6% annualised)</li><li>While the regulatory embargo led to muted traction in customer acquisitions and loan volumes, a shift towards secured assets helped drive loan growth</li><li>On the back of its omnichannel strategy, the widest product suite and focus on cross-selling, we believe BAF is poised for ~23% AUM CAGR over the medium term, while also simultaneously delivering steady profitability</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported a mixed set of earnings with robust AUM growth (+34% YoY) despite a regulatory embargo on select products, offset by sharp NIM compression (21bps) and elevated credit costs (1.6% annualised)While the regulatory embargo led to muted traction in customer acquisitions and loan volumes, a shift towards secured assets helped drive loan growthOn the back of its omnichannel strategy, the widest product suite and focus on cross-selling, we believe BAF is poised for ~23% AUM CAGR over the medium term, while also simultaneously delivering steady profitabilityContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, LTIMindtree, Macrotech Developers

<ul><li>ITC: ITC reported a weak operating print due to a soft cigarette performance along with sustained weakness seen in the agri and paper portfolio</li><li>Cigarette net revenue/EBIT growth was at 4/2%, with volume estimated to have fallen by 1% (5% 4-year CAGR) on a high base</li><li>Differentiated and premium offerings continued to perform well</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ITC: ITC reported a weak operating print due to a soft cigarette performance along with sustained weakness seen in the agri and paper portfolioCigarette net revenue/EBIT growth was at 4/2%, with volume estimated to have fallen by 1% (5% 4-year CAGR) on a high baseDifferentiated and premium offerings continued to perform wellContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ITC, Bajaj Finance, Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.</li>
<li>This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.</li>
<li>We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.
This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.
We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight


MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

<ul><li>TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 5.4bn came in line with our estimates</li><li>The highlight for Q2 was the record-high 11% margin despite the ramp-up of i-Qube to 58k units</li><li>While TVS gained about 300bps market share in motorcycles in H1 to 10.3%, it has maintained its share in scooters</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 5.4bn came in line with our estimatesThe highlight for Q2 was the record-high 11% margin despite the ramp-up of i-Qube to 58k unitsWhile TVS gained about 300bps market share in motorcycles in H1 to 10.3%, it has maintained its share in scootersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, Macrotech Developers, Marico

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.</li>
<li>After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.</li>
<li>As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.
After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.
As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.


MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

India

Lodha Developers is an Indian multinational real estate company primarily focused on developing residential, commercial, and retail properties. The company also engages in the leasing of retail and office spaces, and develops warehousing, logistics, and digital infrastructure parks. Lodha Developers is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1980.

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Lodha Developers (LODHA IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, LTIMindtree, Macrotech Developers

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported a mixed set of earnings with robust AUM growth (+34% YoY) despite a regulatory embargo on select products

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ITC, Bajaj Finance, Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company

ITC: ITC reported a weak operating print due to a soft cigarette performance along with sustained weakness seen in the agri and paper portfolio

HDFC Securities

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, Macrotech Developers, Marico

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 5.4bn came in line with our estimates. The highlight for Q2 was the record-high 11% margin despite the ramp-up...

HDFC Securities

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

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