Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the brand spanking new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-a-h-premium-weekly-sep-8-icbc-abc-ccb-boc-vanke-ncl-rails" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A/H Premium Monitor</a> and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).</li>
<li>We like the nifty interactive tables and charts. We welcome feedback on how to make it more useful going forward.</li>
</ul>


This is the brand spanking new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).
We like the nifty interactive tables and charts. We welcome feedback on how to make it more useful going forward.


Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (Week to 8Sep23) : BYD, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight, Amperex

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 8th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$719.1 million, led by health care, information technology, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Longi Green, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 8th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$719.1 million, led by health care, information technology, and offset by materials, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight flows for BYD, Longi Green, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight.


Northbound Flows (Sep 8th): BYD, Longi Green

<ul>
<li>The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore.</li>
<li>New stimulus measures appear to be triggering FOMO on real estate stocks, but a foreshortened week, yet again, makes one wonder. There IS money being applied though.</li>
<li>I expect more measures and more buying. I am not sure I would want to be short any Hs with a deep discount to the A the next few months.</li>
</ul>


The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore.
New stimulus measures appear to be triggering FOMO on real estate stocks, but a foreshortened week, yet again, makes one wonder. There IS money being applied though.
I expect more measures and more buying. I am not sure I would want to be short any Hs with a deep discount to the A the next few months.


Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 8):  ICBC, ABC, CCB, BOC, Vanke, NCL, Rails

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate the outflows to be $12.8bn in August and consumer staples, and financials sectors led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB, Wuliangye, Mindray, Moutai, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate the outflows to be $12.8bn in August and consumer staples, and financials sectors led the outflows.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB, Wuliangye, Mindray, Moutai, Longi Green.


Northbound Flows Monthly (August): $12.8bn Outflows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Based on the close of 21 August, there could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a> in September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nari-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4364:1" rel="noopener">NARI Technology Co Ltd A (600406 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csc-financial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27823:1" rel="noopener">CSC Financial (601066 CH)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongwei-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14405:1" rel="noopener">Tongwei Co Ltd A (600438 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shaanxi-coal-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11254:1" rel="noopener">Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225 CH)</a> in the ETFs.</li>
<li>There are couple of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from the ETFs. Plus there are cash and carry positions that will need to be rebalanced, adding to flow.</li>
</ul>


Based on the close of 21 August, there could be two changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK)/ CSOP A50 (HKD) (2822 HK) in September.

NARI Technology Co Ltd A (600406 CH) and CSC Financial (601066 CH) should replace Tongwei Co Ltd A (600438 CH) and Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225 CH) in the ETFs.
There are couple of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from the ETFs. Plus there are cash and carry positions that will need to be rebalanced, adding to flow.


Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Expected in September

China

LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells silicon rods and silicon wafers. The Company's main products include 6 inch, 6.5 inch and 8 inch monocrystalline silicon rods and wafers.

LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)

Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (Week to 8Sep23) : BYD, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight, Amperex

The Brand-Spanking New Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows Monitor. Tables and Charts of Top 10-30 names/flows, flows and position by...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Sep 8th): BYD, Longi Green

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for BYD, Longi Green, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 8): ICBC, ABC, CCB, BOC, Vanke, NCL, Rails

The fourth week of the A/H Monitor and the last three weeks have seen decent returns. Hs outperformed As decently on a short week. Exposure to...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows Monthly (August): $12.8bn Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for August and highlight flows for CATL, Wuxi Wapptec, Fuyao Glass, Foxconn Industrial, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Expected in September

There should be 2 changes for 2822/2823 HK in September. Impact of passive trading will be 0.5-1.5x ADV and could be higher due to cash and carry...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)