China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>C1H23 solar PV and wind power capacity addition grew 154% and 72% YoY in China, significantly above 2022 growth. With the real estate fallout, renewable capex will likely stay robust. </li>
<li>We view hydrogen being constrained by its end use in the near future. Incremental renewable capex will still go to solar and wind;</li>
<li>Capacity addition is a long-term problem. But we don’t think overcapacity is an issue now. Capacity investment in upgrading technology is a plus. The more should be the better.</li>
</ul>


C1H23 solar PV and wind power capacity addition grew 154% and 72% YoY in China, significantly above 2022 growth. With the real estate fallout, renewable capex will likely stay robust. 
We view hydrogen being constrained by its end use in the near future. Incremental renewable capex will still go to solar and wind;
Capacity addition is a long-term problem. But we don’t think overcapacity is an issue now. Capacity investment in upgrading technology is a plus. The more should be the better.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Is There a Good Capacity War from China?

<ul>
<li>The phenomenon of Chinese vendors taking terms to launch price wars, diminishing industry’s profitability is a headache. </li>
<li>We conclude the reason is China’s technology lead is so slim that price wars against each other is the only way to stay in the game;</li>
<li>Although renewable energy has long and expansive value chains, transportation is a separate node. China’s success in EV has strategic value for a wide range of industries.</li>
</ul>


The phenomenon of Chinese vendors taking terms to launch price wars, diminishing industry’s profitability is a headache. 
We conclude the reason is China’s technology lead is so slim that price wars against each other is the only way to stay in the game;
Although renewable energy has long and expansive value chains, transportation is a separate node. China’s success in EV has strategic value for a wide range of industries.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Investors Tolerate Amazon, Why Not China New Energy?

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Forty to sixty percent of the world’s carbon emission takes place in buildings. Energy efficiency job is the single largest component that balances the job loss</li>
<li>In traditional energy and job gain in renewable energy. China is materially behind the US in energy efficiency; We believe inclusion of energy efficiency in the upcoming stimulus package </li>
<li>Will be a sound choice to boost employment and GDP, and our listed companies in the new energy sector shall benefit from the trend.</li>
</ul>


Forty to sixty percent of the world’s carbon emission takes place in buildings. Energy efficiency job is the single largest component that balances the job loss
In traditional energy and job gain in renewable energy. China is materially behind the US in energy efficiency; We believe inclusion of energy efficiency in the upcoming stimulus package 
Will be a sound choice to boost employment and GDP, and our listed companies in the new energy sector shall benefit from the trend.


[Blue Lotus Macro]: A Job-Creating Stimulus that Also Saves the Real Estate

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Unemployment / In Depth: Solving China’s soaring youth unemployment</li><li>Politics / Communist Party rejigs human resources body leadership</li><li>Fine / Bohai Bank slapped with $2.5 million fine for 12 violations</li></ul>

Unemployment / In Depth: Solving China’s soaring youth unemploymentPolitics / Communist Party rejigs human resources body leadershipFine / Bohai Bank slapped with $2.5 million fine for 12 violations

CX Daily: Solving China’s Soaring Youth Unemployment

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM, JIANGSU ETERN, NCI, CHINA LIFE.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM, JIANGSU ETERN, NCI, CHINA LIFE.


MS-China Index Earning Revision (Jul): TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM

China

LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells silicon rods and silicon wafers. The Company's main products include 6 inch, 6.5 inch and 8 inch monocrystalline silicon rods and wafers.

LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)

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LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Is There a Good Capacity War from China?

Capacity addition is a long-term problem. But we don’t think overcapacity is an issue now. Capacity investment in upgrading technology is a plus....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Investors Tolerate Amazon, Why Not China New Energy?

Although renewable energy has long and expansive value chains, transportation is a separate node. China’s success in EV has strategic value for a...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Macro]: A Job-Creating Stimulus that Also Saves the Real Estate

We believe inclusion of energy efficiency in the upcoming stimulus package will be a sound choice to boost employment and GDP, listed companies in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: Solving China’s Soaring Youth Unemployment

In Depth: Solving China’s soaring youth unemployment. Communist Party rejigs human resources body leadership. Bohai Bank slapped with $2.5 million...

Caixin Global

MS-China Index Earning Revision (Jul): TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM

We analyzed MS-China's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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