Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Basic materials, industrials, technology, consumer and distribution services, retail, healthcare drove China in 2025. China's policy focus and consumer preferences should drive some of them and few others in 2026.</li>
<li>Juxtaposing future earnings growth forecasts, forecast ROE and reasonable valuations, we identify six sectors: Communication Services, Basic Materials, Industrials, Consumer Durables, Retail Trade and Consumer Services in our focus list.</li>
<li>Eight stocks from these sectors are in our Asian Model Portfolio: Xiaomi, China Hongqiao, Zijin Mining, Alibaba, Lonking Holdings, Midea Group, Trip.com and Galaxy Entertainment.</li>
</ul>


Basic materials, industrials, technology, consumer and distribution services, retail, healthcare drove China in 2025. China's policy focus and consumer preferences should drive some of them and few others in 2026.
Juxtaposing future earnings growth forecasts, forecast ROE and reasonable valuations, we identify six sectors: Communication Services, Basic Materials, Industrials, Consumer Durables, Retail Trade and Consumer Services in our focus list.
Eight stocks from these sectors are in our Asian Model Portfolio: Xiaomi, China Hongqiao, Zijin Mining, Alibaba, Lonking Holdings, Midea Group, Trip.com and Galaxy Entertainment.


China up Close: What Worked in 2025 and What's Likely to Work Now

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd-8806deaf-04c9-4411-b1ee-92e813b9c5e0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45955:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK)</a> has rallied 15.3% after its IPO, and 3Q25 earnings are in a consistent trend. We do not expect a significant change in earnings forecasts. </li>
<li>The mere 0.1% discount to its A-share looks rich. The FY26F PER of 17.7x is also significantly higher than its peers, reflecting most of its strengths.</li>
<li>Even if it re-rates to a similar premium as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK)</a>, the upside is only 5.8%. The risks clearly outweigh the return.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK) has rallied 15.3% after its IPO, and 3Q25 earnings are in a consistent trend. We do not expect a significant change in earnings forecasts. 
The mere 0.1% discount to its A-share looks rich. The FY26F PER of 17.7x is also significantly higher than its peers, reflecting most of its strengths.
Even if it re-rates to a similar premium as Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK), the upside is only 5.8%. The risks clearly outweigh the return.


Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Sany Heavy Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a> priced its H Share at HK$21.30 to raise HK$13,453 million (US$1.7 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sany-heavy-industry-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:205839" rel="noopener">SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sany-heavy-industry-h-share-listing-6031-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:206617" rel="noopener">SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Sany's international oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH) priced its H Share at HK$21.30 to raise HK$13,453 million (US$1.7 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case and SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Sany's international oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains reasonable.


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a>, the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.6 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sany-heavy-industry-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:205839" rel="noopener">SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>. 
</li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 17.2% to 13.1% (based on the 17 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.6 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 

The proposed AH discount of 17.2% to 13.1% (based on the 17 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a>'s IPO price range is set at HK$20.3-21.3, aiming at raising HK$11.9bn based on the mid-point IPO price.</li>
<li>Key strengths are excellent growth potential globally, a leading market position, excellent R&amp;D capability, and a solid financial track record.</li>
<li>Sany Heavy's fair valuation is a 5-10% discount to its A-share, in our view, implying an H-share price of HK$22.06-23.29, leaving limited upside from the IPO level.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)'s IPO price range is set at HK$20.3-21.3, aiming at raising HK$11.9bn based on the mid-point IPO price.
Key strengths are excellent growth potential globally, a leading market position, excellent R&amp;D capability, and a solid financial track record.
Sany Heavy's fair valuation is a 5-10% discount to its A-share, in our view, implying an H-share price of HK$22.06-23.29, leaving limited upside from the IPO level.


Sany Heavy Industry IPO: Valuation Assessment

China

Lonking Holdings Limited is a major manufacturer and distributor of construction machinery, including wheel loaders, excavators, road rollers, forklifts, motor graders, and skid steer loaders. The company also develops and produces core components such as gearboxes, torque converters, axles, and hydraulic components. It was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Lonking (3339 HK)

China up Close: What Worked in 2025 and What's Likely to Work Now

China's RatingDog Services PMI, 52.3 for Jan, surprised positively - in lie with our observation of services growth. Tech stocks are declining due...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?

Sany Heavy Industry's strong IPO performance and consistent earnings trend are still unable to justify its current valuation. It is not cheap on...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sany Heavy Industry IPO: Valuation Assessment

Sany Heavy's IPO price range is HK$20.3-21.3, with key strengths in global growth potential, market position, R&D capability, and financial track...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China up Close: What Worked in 2025 and What's Likely to Work Now

China's RatingDog Services PMI, 52.3 for Jan, surprised positively - in lie with our observation of services growth. Tech stocks are declining due...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?

​Sany Heavy Industry's strong IPO performance and consistent earnings trend are still unable to justify its current valuation. It is not cheap on...

Osbert Tang, CFA

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut

Sany Heavy raised US$1.7 billion in gross proceeds. Sany's international oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings....

Arun George

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights

The proposed AH discount of 17.2% to 13.1% (based on the 17 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.

Arun George

Sany Heavy Industry IPO: Valuation Assessment

​Sany Heavy's IPO price range is HK$20.3-21.3, with key strengths in global growth potential, market position, R&D capability, and financial track...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sany Heavy Industry's strong IPO performance and consistent earnings trend are still unable to justify its current valuation. It is not cheap on...

Sany Heavy's IPO price range is HK$20.3-21.3, with key strengths in global growth potential, market position, R&D capability, and financial track...