Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 26th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 26th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 26th): Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

GS Engineering & Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We argue that the top 20 listed construction companies in Korea are likely to underperform KOSPI in 2024 mainly due to the excessive risks in the housing/commercial real estate sectors.</li>
<li>We expect the share prices of these 20 domestic construction companies to fall by at least 15%-20%+ on average in the next 6-12 months. </li>
<li>On 2 January 2024, Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) announced that there will be new reporting requirements for PF loans of Korean construction companies starting 2023 annual reports.</li>
</ul>


We argue that the top 20 listed construction companies in Korea are likely to underperform KOSPI in 2024 mainly due to the excessive risks in the housing/commercial real estate sectors.
We expect the share prices of these 20 domestic construction companies to fall by at least 15%-20%+ on average in the next 6-12 months. 
On 2 January 2024, Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) announced that there will be new reporting requirements for PF loans of Korean construction companies starting 2023 annual reports.


Top 20 Korean Construction Companies: Off-Balance Sheet Contingent Liabilities To Drive Lower Prices

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Ecopro, Samsung Sdi Co, Sk Hynix, Jusung Engineeri, Hyundai Bioscien, Leeno Industrial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Ecopro, Samsung Sdi Co, Sk Hynix, Jusung Engineeri, Hyundai Bioscien, Leeno Industrial.


KRX Shorts: Top Changes Prior to Short Ban

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The subscription starts on January 19, so the pricing is January 16, three trading days earlier. The shorting restriction runs until January 16, which means the 16th is inclusive.</li>
<li>There was no arb spread opening during the last four trading days of the subscription rights trade period. Nonetheless, this event had some impact on Lotte Chemical's futures trading.</li>
<li>Considering this, the trade that can be considered at this point would be unhedged shorting. We target potential inflow to adjust the second issuing price downwardly and post-listing overhangs.</li>
</ul>


The subscription starts on January 19, so the pricing is January 16, three trading days earlier. The shorting restriction runs until January 16, which means the 16th is inclusive.
There was no arb spread opening during the last four trading days of the subscription rights trade period. Nonetheless, this event had some impact on Lotte Chemical's futures trading.
Considering this, the trade that can be considered at this point would be unhedged shorting. We target potential inflow to adjust the second issuing price downwardly and post-listing overhangs.


Lotte Chemical Offering: Schedule Clarifications & Trading Considerations

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>More than 20 trillion won (US$16 billion) worth of deals are up for M&amp;As in 2023.</li>
<li>However, due to high interest rates and differences on valuations among buyers and sellers, the M&amp;A market in Korea is likely to continue to be weak in 2023.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss 24 companies that are up for M&amp;As this year in Korea, including Hanon Systems, SK Shieldus, and K Car.</li>
</ul>


More than 20 trillion won (US$16 billion) worth of deals are up for M&amp;As in 2023.
However, due to high interest rates and differences on valuations among buyers and sellers, the M&amp;A market in Korea is likely to continue to be weak in 2023.
In this insight, we discuss 24 companies that are up for M&amp;As this year in Korea, including Hanon Systems, SK Shieldus, and K Car.


Korea M&A Outlook in 2023: What's for Sale?

South Korea

Lotte Chemical Corporation manufactures a wide range of petrochemical products such as high density polyethylene, polypropylene, and ethylene glycol. The Company's products are used in manufacturing general housewares, pipes, films, fabrics, bottles, containers, and automotive parts.

Lotte Chemical (011170 KS)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 26th): Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Top 20 Korean Construction Companies: Off-Balance Sheet Contingent Liabilities To Drive Lower Prices

Lotte Chemical (011170 KS)'s share price declined by 9.1% YTD. Lotte Chemical has a 44.02% stake in Lotte Construction whose PF loan balance as...

Douglas Kim

KRX Shorts: Top Changes Prior to Short Ban

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Ecopro, Samsung Sdi Co, Sk Hynix, Jusung Engineeri,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Lotte Chemical Offering: Schedule Clarifications & Trading Considerations

This post clarifies several confusions over the event schedule and examines and discusses trading considerations for hedged and unhedged trades.

Sanghyun Park

Korea M&A Outlook in 2023: What's for Sale?

In this insight, we discuss 24 companies that are up for M&As this year in Korea, including Hanon Systems, SK Shieldus, and K Car.

Douglas Kim