Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering / Event-Driven

HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering

<ul>
<li>Market sniffing policy push; low-float names flagged as junk risk with skewed control. Desks circling, Palliser hit early—LG Chem trade popped, timing spot on.</li>
<li>Trade setup: screen &gt;₩1tn caps with low float, parent stakes 60–80%. Policy push likely forces stake cuts, driving float higher and squeezing NAV discounts—LG Chem shows the play.</li>
<li>Screening &gt;₩1tn caps flags 11 names: parents hold 60–80%. All potential stake-sale plays to boost float, squeeze NAV discount.</li>
</ul>


Market sniffing policy push; low-float names flagged as junk risk with skewed control. Desks circling, Palliser hit early—LG Chem trade popped, timing spot on.
Trade setup: screen &gt;₩1tn caps with low float, parent stakes 60–80%. Policy push likely forces stake cuts, driving float higher and squeezing NAV discounts—LG Chem shows the play.
Screening &gt;₩1tn caps flags 11 names: parents hold 60–80%. All potential stake-sale plays to boost float, squeeze NAV discount.


Korea’s Next Policy Play: NAV Discount Squeeze on Low‑Float Large Caps

<ul>
<li>In yesterday's hearing, Lotte skipped alternatives and signaled treasury burn, seen as bowing to political pressure, sparking a notable NXT post-market reaction.</li>
<li>The mandatory treasury burn story hinges on major local holdings and their follow-through. Lotte’s hearing gave a live read, boosting the narrative’s traction in the near-term local market.</li>
<li>Traders’ takeaway: holding cos with large treasury stakes could outperform, signaling a chance for outright longs, relative weight plays, or NAV discount tightening—time to get more aggressive locally.</li>
</ul>


In yesterday's hearing, Lotte skipped alternatives and signaled treasury burn, seen as bowing to political pressure, sparking a notable NXT post-market reaction.
The mandatory treasury burn story hinges on major local holdings and their follow-through. Lotte’s hearing gave a live read, boosting the narrative’s traction in the near-term local market.
Traders’ takeaway: holding cos with large treasury stakes could outperform, signaling a chance for outright longs, relative weight plays, or NAV discount tightening—time to get more aggressive locally.


Treasury Burn Story Hits a Milestone—Lotte Serves up the Ruling Party’s Playbook at the Hearing

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated short interest was USD10.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in LIG Nex1, Alteogen, SamsungF&amp;MIns, SK Hynix, SKC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 29th. The aggregated short interest was USD10.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in LIG Nex1, Alteogen, SamsungF&amp;MIns, SK Hynix, SKC.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): LIG Nex1, Alteogen, Samsung F&M Ins, SK Hynix, SKC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated short interest was USD9.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha Aerospace, Woori Financial, Alteogen, Samsung H.I..</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated short interest was USD9.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha Aerospace, Woori Financial, Alteogen, Samsung H.I..


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha Aerospace

<ul>
<li>Mandatory treasury cancellation isn’t in the current bill, but FSC and MOJ have started internal reviews; enforcement decree could drop as early as Q4.</li>
<li>An internal policy paper suggests mandatory cancellation will apply only to newly acquired treasury shares, with tight limits on existing ones to curb owner control abuse.</li>
<li>Lack of retroactive cancellation weakens the bull case, and while holdco sentiment stays upbeat, momentum may fade, opening the door to a tactical pullback.</li>
</ul>


Mandatory treasury cancellation isn’t in the current bill, but FSC and MOJ have started internal reviews; enforcement decree could drop as early as Q4.
An internal policy paper suggests mandatory cancellation will apply only to newly acquired treasury shares, with tight limits on existing ones to curb owner control abuse.
Lack of retroactive cancellation weakens the bull case, and while holdco sentiment stays upbeat, momentum may fade, opening the door to a tactical pullback.


Korea Holdco Rerating Pullback Risk: No Retroactive Treasury Cancellation

South Korea

LOTTE Corporation is a pure holding company of Lotte Group Korea. It was established in 2017. Lotte Group Korea develops various high quality products and services in the five main business areas: food production/sales, distribution, sightseeing service, heavy chemical/construction and finance/investment.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

LOTTE Corporation (004990 KS)

Korea’s Next Policy Play: NAV Discount Squeeze on Low‑Float Large Caps

This post lays out a live watchlist for NAV discount traders as Korea’s policy narrative shifts to low‑float large caps.

Sanghyun Park

Treasury Burn Story Hits a Milestone—Lotte Serves up the Ruling Party’s Playbook at the Hearing

This post highlights a key milestone in the treasury burn story—Lotte Holdings handed the market the ruling party’s playbook at yesterday’s hearing.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 29th): LIG Nex1, Alteogen, Samsung F&M Ins, SK Hynix, SKC

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in LIG Nex1, Alteogen, SamsungF&MIns, SK Hynix, SKC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha Aerospace

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Kakaopay, Korzinc, SK Hynix, Samsung Sds, Hanwha...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea Holdco Rerating Pullback Risk: No Retroactive Treasury Cancellation

This post covers the tactical pullback risk in Korea holdco rerating momentum, driven by the setback from non-retroactive mandatory treasury...

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)