Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, I highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2026.</li>
<li>I provide five holdco/opco pairs that have experienced noticeable divergence in the past three months and closing of their gaps could occur in the next several weeks.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pairs, six of them are near or more than 2 standard deviations (in terms of their changing share price movements in the past three months).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, I highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2026.
I provide five holdco/opco pairs that have experienced noticeable divergence in the past three months and closing of their gaps could occur in the next several weeks.
Of the 38 pairs, six of them are near or more than 2 standard deviations (in terms of their changing share price movements in the past three months).


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2026

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We provide an analysis of the top 100 companies with the highest percentage of treasury shares as a percentage of market cap. </li>
<li>These 100 companies are prime targets of tender offers and M&amp;As. Many of these companies have low PBR ratios.</li>
<li>Number five in this list is Telcoware (078000 KS) which just announced a tender offer by the CEO who is trying to take the company private. </li>
</ul>


We provide an analysis of the top 100 companies with the highest percentage of treasury shares as a percentage of market cap. 
These 100 companies are prime targets of tender offers and M&amp;As. Many of these companies have low PBR ratios.
Number five in this list is Telcoware (078000 KS) which just announced a tender offer by the CEO who is trying to take the company private. 


Top 100 Korean Firms with Highest Treasury Shares as % of Market Cap (Tender Offer and M&A Targets)

<ul>
<li>Starting January 2025, there will be a major change in the regulation regarding the use of treasury shares during a company spinoff process.</li>
<li>The main change involves the practice of allocating newly issued shares to existing treasury shares held by companies during corporate spinoffs. </li>
<li>This practice will now be banned which should help to reduce the wrongful use of treasury shares and improve minority shareholders' rights. </li>
</ul>


Starting January 2025, there will be a major change in the regulation regarding the use of treasury shares during a company spinoff process.
The main change involves the practice of allocating newly issued shares to existing treasury shares held by companies during corporate spinoffs. 
This practice will now be banned which should help to reduce the wrongful use of treasury shares and improve minority shareholders' rights. 


Change in Regulation of Treasury Shares Allocation Post Spinoffs Starting January 2025

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Forget government pressure, will peer pressure help fast forward Korea Corp Value Up program? </li>
<li>Japanese shame game versus Korean pride of the chaebols ? </li>
<li>Heading into 2025 we are seeing major Korean companies come out with longer term shareholder return plans</li>
</ul>


Forget government pressure, will peer pressure help fast forward Korea Corp Value Up program? 
Japanese shame game versus Korean pride of the chaebols ? 
Heading into 2025 we are seeing major Korean companies come out with longer term shareholder return plans


Corporate Value Up Korea; Will It Start Working Now and into 2025?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.</li>
<li>Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they <em>are</em> in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.</li>
</ul>


Many major indexes have broken below critical supports, including MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and the DAX.
Odds suggest a bearish downside continuation, and a bearish outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrend remains intact on the ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
There is bounce potential given these broad global indexes are testing their respective downtrend channel supports, but the fact remains that they are in downtrends, a major problem longer-term.


MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

South Korea

LOTTE Corporation is a pure holding company of Lotte Group Korea. It was established in 2017. Lotte Group Korea develops various high quality products and services in the five main business areas: food production/sales, distribution, sightseeing service, heavy chemical/construction and finance/investment.

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LOTTE Corporation (004990 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2026

In this insight, I highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

Top 100 Korean Firms with Highest Treasury Shares as % of Market Cap (Tender Offer and M&A Targets)

We provide an analysis of the top 100 companies with the highest percentage of treasury shares as a percentage of market cap. These 100 companies...

Douglas Kim

Change in Regulation of Treasury Shares Allocation Post Spinoffs Starting January 2025

Starting January 2025, there will be a major change in the regulation regarding the use of treasury shares during a company spinoff process.

Douglas Kim

Corporate Value Up Korea; Will It Start Working Now and into 2025?

Will Korea Corp Value Up program start to really work in 2025? What will drive this program to work is not government pressure but peer pressure

Ken S. Kim

MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Downtrend Channel Supports -- Bounce Potential

Bounce potential given $ACWX $EFA testing downtrend channel supports, but it would likely be a short-term trading opportunity due to the fact that...

Vermilion Research

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