Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 4 November, the Chinese government suddenly announced it will waive visa requirements for South Korean citizens entering China. </li>
<li>This is likely to have a major positive impact on major travel/airline stocks including Hana Tour Service, Korean Air Lines,  Very Good Leisure, Yellow Balloon Tour, and Modetour Network.</li>
<li>A no-visa policy by China for South Korean citizens could also imply a reciprocal policy by the South Korean government. </li>
</ul>


On 4 November, the Chinese government suddenly announced it will waive visa requirements for South Korean citizens entering China. 
This is likely to have a major positive impact on major travel/airline stocks including Hana Tour Service, Korean Air Lines,  Very Good Leisure, Yellow Balloon Tour, and Modetour Network.
A no-visa policy by China for South Korean citizens could also imply a reciprocal policy by the South Korean government. 


Chinese Government Announces a No-Visa Policy for South Korean Citizens Entering China

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>It was reported that the Chinese government advised its citizens to refrain from traveling to Japan, which is likely to positively benefit the Korea in-bound tourism related stocks.</li>
<li>If the political tensions between China and Japan are not quickly resolved but continues to last, this would have further negative impact on the Japanese consumer/tourism/leisure related companies. </li>
<li>On the flip side, this could have a positive impact on the Korean consumer/tourism/leisure related companies such as Lotte Tour Development, Hotel Shilla, and Paradise. </li>
</ul>


It was reported that the Chinese government advised its citizens to refrain from traveling to Japan, which is likely to positively benefit the Korea in-bound tourism related stocks.
If the political tensions between China and Japan are not quickly resolved but continues to last, this would have further negative impact on the Japanese consumer/tourism/leisure related companies. 
On the flip side, this could have a positive impact on the Korean consumer/tourism/leisure related companies such as Lotte Tour Development, Hotel Shilla, and Paradise. 


China Advices Its Citizens to Refrain from Traveling to Japan - Beneficial Impact on Korea Tourism

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss potential short squeeze opportunities in the Korean stock market, using short interest and days to cover as main screening tools.</li>
<li>In KOSPI, the top three stocks with highest combination of short interest and days to cover include Doosan Fuel Cell, Posco Future M, and Hotel Shilla.</li>
<li>In this insight, we provided 80 companies (40 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ, respectively) that have high combination of short interest and days to cover ratios. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss potential short squeeze opportunities in the Korean stock market, using short interest and days to cover as main screening tools.
In KOSPI, the top three stocks with highest combination of short interest and days to cover include Doosan Fuel Cell, Posco Future M, and Hotel Shilla.
In this insight, we provided 80 companies (40 companies in KOSPI and KOSDAQ, respectively) that have high combination of short interest and days to cover ratios. 


Top 80 Companies in Korea by Short Interest and Days to Cover (Potential Short Squeeze Candidates)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There are three major reasons why we believe Korean casinos are likely to continue to outperform the market this year.</li>
<li>Three main reasons include hedge against rising inflation, Korea and other major countries are opening up for travel, and continued decline in gambling revenues in Macau.</li>
<li>Finally, among the four major Korean casino stocks, we have Positive views on GKL, Paradise, and Kangwon Land. We have Negative view on Lotte Tour Development due to valuation.</li>
</ul>


There are three major reasons why we believe Korean casinos are likely to continue to outperform the market this year.
Three main reasons include hedge against rising inflation, Korea and other major countries are opening up for travel, and continued decline in gambling revenues in Macau.
Finally, among the four major Korean casino stocks, we have Positive views on GKL, Paradise, and Kangwon Land. We have Negative view on Lotte Tour Development due to valuation.


Three Major Reasons Why Korean Casinos Are Likely to Outperform the Market This Year

South Korea

Lotte Tour Development Co., Ltd. provides various tour package service. The Company franchises travel agencies, offers home-based travel businesses, and provides leisure-travel information.  The Company also engages in property development and building management and operates duty-free shop business.

Lotte Tour Development Co, Ltd. (032350 KS)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Lotte Tour Development Co, Ltd. (032350 KS)

Chinese Government Announces a No-Visa Policy for South Korean Citizens Entering China

The Chinese government suddenly announced it will waive visa requirements for South Korean citizens entering China. This is likely to have a major...

Douglas Kim

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

China Advices Its Citizens to Refrain from Traveling to Japan - Beneficial Impact on Korea Tourism

Chinese government advising against travel to Japan could boost Korean tourism stocks, while prolonged tensions could harm Japanese companies.

Douglas Kim

Top 80 Companies in Korea by Short Interest and Days to Cover (Potential Short Squeeze Candidates)

In this insight, we discuss potential short squeeze opportunities in the Korean stock market, using short interest and days to cover as main...

Douglas Kim

Three Major Reasons Why Korean Casinos Are Likely to Outperform the Market This Year

We discuss three main reasons why we believe Korean casinos are likely to continue to outperform the market this year including a hedge against...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Chinese Government Announces a No-Visa Policy for South Korean Citizens Entering China

The Chinese government suddenly announced it will waive visa requirements for South Korean citizens entering China. This is likely to have a major...

Douglas Kim

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

China Advices Its Citizens to Refrain from Traveling to Japan - Beneficial Impact on Korea Tourism

​Chinese government advising against travel to Japan could boost Korean tourism stocks, while prolonged tensions could harm Japanese companies.

Douglas Kim

Top 80 Companies in Korea by Short Interest and Days to Cover (Potential Short Squeeze Candidates)

In this insight, we discuss potential short squeeze opportunities in the Korean stock market, using short interest and days to cover as main...

Douglas Kim

Three Major Reasons Why Korean Casinos Are Likely to Outperform the Market This Year

We discuss three main reasons why we believe Korean casinos are likely to continue to outperform the market this year including a hedge against...

Douglas Kim

Chinese government advising against travel to Japan could boost Korean tourism stocks, while prolonged tensions could harm Japanese companies.