Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Trump administration sanctions Russia's largest oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil effective November 21, 2025, forcing India to potentially slash Russian crude imports that currently constitute 34% of total intake.​​</li>
<li>Indian refiners face USD 3-5 billion in additional annual costs and structurally lower GRMs as they pivot to expensive Middle Eastern and US alternatives.</li>
<li>Russia's embedded role in India's energy means any shift will be costly, and margin-dilutive, setting up a 6-12 month period of procurement volatility and compressed refining spreads for Indian OMCs.​​</li>
</ul>


Trump administration sanctions Russia's largest oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil effective November 21, 2025, forcing India to potentially slash Russian crude imports that currently constitute 34% of total intake.​​
Indian refiners face USD 3-5 billion in additional annual costs and structurally lower GRMs as they pivot to expensive Middle Eastern and US alternatives.
Russia's embedded role in India's energy means any shift will be costly, and margin-dilutive, setting up a 6-12 month period of procurement volatility and compressed refining spreads for Indian OMCs.​​


Shifting Barrels: Inside India’s Painful Rebalance Away from Russian Crude

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>CPI inflation edged up to 3%YoY in Sep'25, after a 0.3%MoM increase. Markets cheered, as these were lower than expectations, but MoM-annualized inflation is running well above the 2% target. </li>
<li>The Powell Fed's politically-driven 75bp of rate cuts in Sep-Nov'24 are now obliging it to effectively move to a 3%YoY inflation target; a 25bp rate cut is inevitable next week. </li>
<li>Base money contracted US$88.8bn in Mar-Aug'25, so M2 growth was modest (4.8%YoY). But the rise in crude prices (post-Russian sanctions) will raise inflation past 3%, precluding any Dec'25 rate cut. </li>
</ul>


CPI inflation edged up to 3%YoY in Sep'25, after a 0.3%MoM increase. Markets cheered, as these were lower than expectations, but MoM-annualized inflation is running well above the 2% target. 
The Powell Fed's politically-driven 75bp of rate cuts in Sep-Nov'24 are now obliging it to effectively move to a 3%YoY inflation target; a 25bp rate cut is inevitable next week. 
Base money contracted US$88.8bn in Mar-Aug'25, so M2 growth was modest (4.8%YoY). But the rise in crude prices (post-Russian sanctions) will raise inflation past 3%, precluding any Dec'25 rate cut. 


US: Inflation Edges Up, but Previous Policy Errors Must Be Atoned with Rate Cut Now

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

Russia is the largest country overweight among active Emerging Market funds.  The average holding weight of 4.11% represents an overweight of 1.04% above the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF weight (cash adjusted).In the wake of new US sanctions and troops gathering on the Ukraine border, the key stock risks to active investors are overweight positions in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sberbank-of-russia-pjsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24142:1" rel="noopener">Sberbank Of Russia Pjsc (SBER LI)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lukoil-pjsc-ea76a137-f664-4066-ba45-32e13c8b007e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28476:1" rel="noopener">LUKOIL PJSC (LUKOY US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yandex-nv-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:414:1" rel="noopener">Yandex (YNDX US)</a>, with over 80% of the funds in our analysis holding one or more of these stocks.The 2014 annexation of Crimea provides a useful insight in to the behavior of active investors during a period of political uncertainty.  EM investors were quick to react, reducing Russia exposure by 4.26% over the course of the year and over a quarter of funds moving from overweight to underweight.  Whether this situation reaches the heights of 2014 remains to be seen, but do not underestimate an active manager's willingness to cut or reduce allocations when the investment case becomes muddied by political events.

Russia is the largest country overweight among active Emerging Market funds.  The average holding weight of 4.11% represents an overweight of 1.04% above the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF weight (cash adjusted).In the wake of new US sanctions and troops gathering on the Ukraine border, the key stock risks to active investors are overweight positions in Sberbank Of Russia Pjsc (SBER LI), LUKOIL PJSC (LUKOY US) and Yandex (YNDX US), with over 80% of the funds in our analysis holding one or more of these stocks.The 2014 annexation of Crimea provides a useful insight in to the behavior of active investors during a period of political uncertainty.  EM investors were quick to react, reducing Russia exposure by 4.26% over the course of the year and over a quarter of funds moving from overweight to underweight.  Whether this situation reaches the heights of 2014 remains to be seen, but do not underestimate an active manager's willingness to cut or reduce allocations when the investment case becomes muddied by political events. 

Russia:  Overweight Risk as Ukraine Tensions Rise

Russia

LUKOIL PJSC explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and gas mainly from Western Siberia. The Company also manufactures petrochemicals, fuels, and other petroleum products. LUKOIL operates refineries, and gasoline filling stations in Russia and the United States. The Company transports oil through pipelines, and petroleum products with its fleet of ships.

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LUKOIL PJSC (LUKOY US)

Shifting Barrels: Inside India’s Painful Rebalance Away from Russian Crude

Trump sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil will force India to cut imports, leading to higher costs and lower margins as they...

Nimish Maheshwari

US: Inflation Edges Up, but Previous Policy Errors Must Be Atoned with Rate Cut Now

CPI inflation up 3%YoY in Sep'25, but a 25bp rate cut is inevitable next week as the Powell Fed adjusts to a 3% inflation target to atone for Sep...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Russia: Overweight Risk as Ukraine Tensions Rise

Russia is the largest overweight in EM as Ukraine tensions rise. Sberbank, Lukoil and Yandex are the largest stock overweights and the key risks...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shifting Barrels: Inside India’s Painful Rebalance Away from Russian Crude

​Trump sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil will force India to cut imports, leading to higher costs and lower margins as they...

Nimish Maheshwari

US: Inflation Edges Up, but Previous Policy Errors Must Be Atoned with Rate Cut Now

​CPI inflation up 3%YoY in Sep'25, but a 25bp rate cut is inevitable next week as the Powell Fed adjusts to a 3% inflation target to atone for Sep...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Russia: Overweight Risk as Ukraine Tensions Rise

Russia is the largest overweight in EM as Ukraine tensions rise. Sberbank, Lukoil and Yandex are the largest stock overweights and the key risks...

Steven Holden

Trump sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil will force India to cut imports, leading to higher costs and lower margins as they...

CPI inflation up 3%YoY in Sep'25, but a 25bp rate cut is inevitable next week as the Powell Fed adjusts to a 3% inflation target to atone for Sep...