Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Another report of potential suitors made it to market on Friday, forcing NOL to disclose there have been talks with French carrier CMA and global leader Maersk. NOL&rsquo;s shares rose some 6% to $1.05 and closer to book NAV per share around&nbsp;S$1.4 (and higher when the US dollar drifts higher). But what would make a potential transaction more interesting, if at all, keeping in mind the Hapag IPO pricing was about 25% below the original high end of the range?</p>

Another report of potential suitors made it to market on Friday, forcing NOL to disclose there have been talks with French carrier CMA and global leader Maersk. NOL&rsquo;s shares rose some 6% to $1.05 and closer to book NAV per share around&nbsp;S$1.4 (and higher when the US dollar drifts higher). But what would make a potential transaction more interesting, if at all, keeping in mind the Hapag IPO pricing was about 25% below the original high end of the range?

NOL's Latest Potential Merger Discussions... Where is the [Partial] Exit for Temasek?

Head of Digital Services at Singapore Post Ltd, Singapore Post Limited

Bernard Leong

Head of Digital Services at Singapore Post Ltd

Singapore Post Limited

<p>How should digital leaders advise businesses? Two ways: target the high and low ends of the market while allowing cannibalisation against their current business model in a controlled pace.&nbsp;The trick lies in capital allocation and separation of the products/services moving towards both ends. Digital products often require high cost of acquisition contrary to perception by businesses that it is cheaper against traditional channels.</p>

How should digital leaders advise businesses? Two ways: target the high and low ends of the market while allowing cannibalisation against their current business model in a controlled pace.&nbsp;The trick lies in capital allocation and separation of the products/services moving towards both ends. Digital products often require high cost of acquisition contrary to perception by businesses that it is cheaper against traditional channels.

Digital disruption bifurcates traditional market segmentation

Dealing, Product Financing and Custody Services, Tickrs

Tickrs

Dealing, Product Financing and Custody Services

Tickrs Financial Singapore Pte Ltd (TFS) obtained Capital Markets Services (CMS) License from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) in 2022. Product offering include stock trading services across 10 global markets, futures trading, fixed income and wealth management products offering.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We identify five compelling drivers supporting our BUY recommendation and S$0.525 target price: 1.</li><li>Construction Supercycle &amp; Record Order Book Visibility Singapore's construction sector is entering a sustained upcycle, with the Building and Construction Authority (BCA) forecasting S$47-53 billion of contracts awarded in 2025, representing 0.3% to 11.7% growth above pre-COVID levels.</li><li>Lum Chang's A1-grade contractor status and proven track record position it to capture significant share of mega-projects including Changi Airport Terminal 5, MRT line Research extensions, and public housing developments.</li></ul>

We identify five compelling drivers supporting our BUY recommendation and S$0.525 target price: 1.Construction Supercycle &amp; Record Order Book Visibility Singapore's construction sector is entering a sustained upcycle, with the Building and Construction Authority (BCA) forecasting S$47-53 billion of contracts awarded in 2025, representing 0.3% to 11.7% growth above pre-COVID levels.Lum Chang's A1-grade contractor status and proven track record position it to capture significant share of mega-projects including Changi Airport Terminal 5, MRT line Research extensions, and public housing developments.

Lum Chang Holdings Initiation : Building Heritage, Bridging Horizons

Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia, Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Evolve Capital Research

Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dezign-format-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45666:1" rel="noopener">Dezign Format Group (DFG SP)</a> is a design-and-build specialist offering experiential marketing and events management solutions, with a key focus on the MICE industry.</li>
<li>It has worked with a variety of global luxury brands and integrated resorts, with many of its projects being directly sourced rather than through open tender.</li>
<li>We initiate rated coverage on DF with a DCF-based TP of S$0.40, implying a 14.4x FY25E P/E, representing an upside of approximately 33.3%.</li>
</ul>



Dezign Format Group (DFG SP) is a design-and-build specialist offering experiential marketing and events management solutions, with a key focus on the MICE industry.
It has worked with a variety of global luxury brands and integrated resorts, with many of its projects being directly sourced rather than through open tender.
We initiate rated coverage on DF with a DCF-based TP of S$0.40, implying a 14.4x FY25E P/E, representing an upside of approximately 33.3%.


Dezign Format Initiation - Scaling Within a Niche Space

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

<ul><li>Oxley Holdings' ADT surged to S$0.583 million since May, a 10.6× increase, with S$5.3 million profit before tax in 1HFY25.</li><li>UOB-Kay Hian Holdings recorded S$23.09 million net institutional inflow, with P/E ratio rising from 7x to 10x.</li><li>Non-index mid and small cap stocks attracted over S$100 million net institutional inflows since May, led by UOBKH and CSE Global.</li></ul>

Oxley Holdings' ADT surged to S$0.583 million since May, a 10.6× increase, with S$5.3 million profit before tax in 1HFY25.UOB-Kay Hian Holdings recorded S$23.09 million net institutional inflow, with P/E ratio rising from 7x to 10x.Non-index mid and small cap stocks attracted over S$100 million net institutional inflows since May, led by UOBKH and CSE Global.

Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May

Singapore

Lum Chang is a Singapore-based company primarily engaged in construction, property development, and investment. Its core activities include building construction, civil engineering works, and developing residential and commercial properties, hotels, and resorts. The company also provides interior fit-out, conservation, restoration, and project management services. Headquartered in Singapore, the company was incorporated in 1982.

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Lum Chang (LCH SP)

NOL's Latest Potential Merger Discussions... Where is the [Partial] Exit for Temasek?

Another report of potential suitors made it to market on Friday, forcing NOL to disclose there have been talks with French carrier CMA and global...

Charles De Trenck

Digital disruption bifurcates traditional market segmentation

How should digital leaders advise businesses? Two ways: target the high and low ends of the market while allowing cannibalisation against their...

Bernard Leong

Lum Chang Holdings Initiation : Building Heritage, Bridging Horizons

We identify five compelling drivers supporting our BUY recommendation and S$0.525 target price: 1. Construction Supercycle & Record Order Book...

Tickrs

Dezign Format Initiation - Scaling Within a Niche Space

Dezign Format Group (DFG SP) is a design-and-build specialist offering experiential marketing and events management solutions, with a key focus on...

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Mid & Small Cap Surge: Liquidity, Inflows and Big Movers Since May

Oxley Holdings' ADT surged to S$0.583 million since May, a 10.6× increase, with S$5.3 million profit before tax in 1HFY25. UOB-Kay Hian Holdings...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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