External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The India Pharma and Healthcare sector is expected to see moderate revenue growth as EBITDA margins remain flat</li><li>We project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/6% YoY for our coverage universe (ex-Torrent + JB sales/EBITDA growth at 10%/5% YoY)</li><li>Our assumptions are: (1) Pharma coverage will see 10% YoY sales growth driven by 15% YoY increase in the India business (ex-Torrent + JB growth at 13% YoY)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The India Pharma and Healthcare sector is expected to see moderate revenue growth as EBITDA margins remain flatWe project sales/EBITDA growth of 11%/6% YoY for our coverage universe (ex-Torrent + JB sales/EBITDA growth at 10%/5% YoY)Our assumptions are: (1) Pharma coverage will see 10% YoY sales growth driven by 15% YoY increase in the India business (ex-Torrent + JB growth at 13% YoY)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pharma and Healthcare (Q4FY26E Results Preview): Steady revenue growth, margins pressure visible

<ul><li>US administration imposes 0-100% tariff on import of patented drugs (and related APIs) with multiple ad valorem duty rate structures – (1) 100% on imports of patented pharma and pharma ingredients for those companies that have not initiated an MFN deal or US plant commitments</li><li>(2) 15% for products from Japan, EU, South Korea, Switzerland, and Liechtenstein</li><li>(3) 10% on products from the UK, (4) 20% for the company with branded products and plans to start plant/R&amp;D Unit in the US, (5) zero for patented drugs (APIs) of companies that have fully executed MFN agreements (13 companies)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

US administration imposes 0-100% tariff on import of patented drugs (and related APIs) with multiple ad valorem duty rate structures – (1) 100% on imports of patented pharma and pharma ingredients for those companies that have not initiated an MFN deal or US plant commitments(2) 15% for products from Japan, EU, South Korea, Switzerland, and Liechtenstein(3) 10% on products from the UK, (4) 20% for the company with branded products and plans to start plant/R&amp;D Unit in the US, (5) zero for patented drugs (APIs) of companies that have fully executed MFN agreements (13 companies)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pharmaceuticals: US tariffs on branded drugs, generics exempted

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>The Indian Rupee’s decline to 95 per dollar is driven by a widening trade deficit, surging crude oil prices, and persistent foreign capital outflows</li>
<li>This depreciation triggers imported inflation across the economy, a substantial 3.7% to 5.2% EPS boost for top-tier IT services exporters.</li>
<li>Global exporters like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coforge-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8639:1" rel="noopener">Coforge (COFORGE IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sagility-india-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43717:1" rel="noopener">Sagility India (SAGILITY IN)</a> emerge as primary beneficiaries, whereas import-dependent sectors like Aviation and Paints face severe and immediate margin contraction.</li>
</ul>


The Indian Rupee’s decline to 95 per dollar is driven by a widening trade deficit, surging crude oil prices, and persistent foreign capital outflows
This depreciation triggers imported inflation across the economy, a substantial 3.7% to 5.2% EPS boost for top-tier IT services exporters.
Global exporters like Coforge (COFORGE IN) and Sagility India (SAGILITY IN) emerge as primary beneficiaries, whereas import-dependent sectors like Aviation and Paints face severe and immediate margin contraction.


The Rupee at 95/$: Sectoral Winners and Losers

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Hengrui Pharma received indication expansion approval for trastuzumab rezetecan in China. MicroPort NeuroScientific’s Apollo Dream Rapamycin Target Eluting Stent has been granted the Breakthrough Device Designation by the FDA.</li>
<li>Celltrion signed KRW375B CMO agreement with a global pharmaceutical company for the supply of drug substance. Samsung Bioepis entered global commercialization agreement with Sandoz for five biosimilar candidates under development.</li>
<li>FDA accepted Sun Pharma’s indication expansion application for Ilumya for active psoriatic arthritis. Zydus Lifesciences entered licensing and supply agreements with Torrent Pharmaceuticals and Lupin to co-market Semaglutide in India.</li>
</ul>


Hengrui Pharma received indication expansion approval for trastuzumab rezetecan in China. MicroPort NeuroScientific’s Apollo Dream Rapamycin Target Eluting Stent has been granted the Breakthrough Device Designation by the FDA.
Celltrion signed KRW375B CMO agreement with a global pharmaceutical company for the supply of drug substance. Samsung Bioepis entered global commercialization agreement with Sandoz for five biosimilar candidates under development.
FDA accepted Sun Pharma’s indication expansion application for Ilumya for active psoriatic arthritis. Zydus Lifesciences entered licensing and supply agreements with Torrent Pharmaceuticals and Lupin to co-market Semaglutide in India.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 22) – Hengrui, Microport Neuro, Celltrion, Samsung Bio, Sun Pharma

<ul>
<li>CStone Pharmaceuticals got additional indication approval for sugemalimab from UK MHRA in NSCLC. HBM Holdings entered into an exclusive license agreement and equity partnership agreement with Solstice Oncology.</li>
<li>Astellas Pharma and Vir Biotechnology entered a global strategic collaboration to advance VIR-5500 for prostate cancer. Bora Pharmaceuticals has renewed a five-year manufacturing partnership with GSK.</li>
<li>Lupin received EC approval for ranibizumab biosimilar. Zydus Lifesciences announces successful clinical development of pembrolizumab biosimilar candidate FYB206. FDA has accepted for review Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories’ BLA for Orencia biosimilar.</li>
</ul>


CStone Pharmaceuticals got additional indication approval for sugemalimab from UK MHRA in NSCLC. HBM Holdings entered into an exclusive license agreement and equity partnership agreement with Solstice Oncology.
Astellas Pharma and Vir Biotechnology entered a global strategic collaboration to advance VIR-5500 for prostate cancer. Bora Pharmaceuticals has renewed a five-year manufacturing partnership with GSK.
Lupin received EC approval for ranibizumab biosimilar. Zydus Lifesciences announces successful clinical development of pembrolizumab biosimilar candidate FYB206. FDA has accepted for review Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories’ BLA for Orencia biosimilar.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 1) – CStone, HBM, Astellas, Bora Pharma, Lupin, Zydus Lifesciences

India

Lupin is an Indian multinational pharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and markets a diverse range of branded and generic formulations, biotechnology products, and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). The company specializes in therapeutic areas such as cardiovascular, anti-diabetic, respiratory, anti-infective, and women's health. Lupin Limited was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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Lupin (LPC IN)

Pharma and Healthcare (Q4FY26E Results Preview): Steady revenue growth, margins pressure visible

Our assumptions are: (1) Pharma coverage will see 10% YoY sales growth driven by 15% YoY increase in the India business (ex-Torrent + JB growth at...

HDFC Securities

Pharmaceuticals: US tariffs on branded drugs, generics exempted

We believe the key motive behind tariffs is to push the innovator company toward MFN or investment in plants/R&D to bring down drug prices.

HDFC Securities

The Rupee at 95/$: Sectoral Winners and Losers

Indian Rupee's decline to 95 per dollar due to trade deficit, oil prices, and capital outflows leads to imported inflation but boosts EPS for IT...

Sudarshan Bhandari

APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 22) – Hengrui, Microport Neuro, Celltrion, Samsung Bio, Sun Pharma

Celltrion signed KRW375B biologics CMO deal with a global pharma company. Samsung Bioepis expands biosimilar collaboration with Sandoz. 40+ Indian...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 1) – CStone, HBM, Astellas, Bora Pharma, Lupin, Zydus Lifesciences

CStone’s sugemalimab got label expansion in UK. HBM Holdings entered exclusive license agreement with Solstice Oncology. Astellas Pharma and Vir...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pharma and Healthcare (Q4FY26E Results Preview): Steady revenue growth, margins pressure visible

Our assumptions are: (1) Pharma coverage will see 10% YoY sales growth driven by 15% YoY increase in the India business (ex-Torrent + JB growth at...

HDFC Securities

Pharmaceuticals: US tariffs on branded drugs, generics exempted

We believe the key motive behind tariffs is to push the innovator company toward MFN or investment in plants/R&D to bring down drug prices.

HDFC Securities

The Rupee at 95/$: Sectoral Winners and Losers

​Indian Rupee's decline to 95 per dollar due to trade deficit, oil prices, and capital outflows leads to imported inflation but boosts EPS for IT...

Sudarshan Bhandari

APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 22) – Hengrui, Microport Neuro, Celltrion, Samsung Bio, Sun Pharma

Celltrion signed KRW375B biologics CMO deal with a global pharma company. Samsung Bioepis expands biosimilar collaboration with Sandoz. 40+ Indian...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 1) – CStone, HBM, Astellas, Bora Pharma, Lupin, Zydus Lifesciences

CStone’s sugemalimab got label expansion in UK. HBM Holdings entered exclusive license agreement with Solstice Oncology. Astellas Pharma and Vir...

Tina Banerjee

Indian Rupee's decline to 95 per dollar due to trade deficit, oil prices, and capital outflows leads to imported inflation but boosts EPS for IT...