Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD352,973m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY (HUIZHOU), BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD352,973m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY (HUIZHOU), BYD.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 7th): Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, BYD

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.7% as of Aug 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, health care, utilities and offset by consumer staples, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict, Beone Medicines.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.7% as of Aug 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.8ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, health care, utilities and offset by consumer staples, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict, Beone Medicines.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 7th): Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.</li><li>For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.</li><li>By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

<ul><li>Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.</li><li>While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.</li><li>We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

<ul><li>In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.</li><li>The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).</li><li>China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

China

Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures and sells connectors. The Company's products are widely used in computers, communication devices, consumer electronics products and automobiles.

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Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 7th): Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and...

CMB International

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks...

CMB International

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 7th): Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, BYD

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 7th): Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, Cmoc, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H, Luxshare Ict,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and...

CMB International

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks...

CMB International

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI...

CMB International