Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$4,305.1 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by energy, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili,  China Tourism, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 21st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$4,305.1 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by energy, utilities.
We highlight flows for BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili,  China Tourism, Longi Green.


Northbound Flows (Oct 21st): BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili, China Tourism, Longi Green

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local manufacturing.</li><li>We believe this move is not surprising as Apple’s iPhone supplier, Wistron, started to assemble iPhones in India since 2017.</li><li>In addition, we expect Apple will start to build iPad/Watch in Vietnam as it continues to diversify its production bases. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local manufacturing.We believe this move is not surprising as Apple’s iPhone supplier, Wistron, started to assemble iPhones in India since 2017.In addition, we expect Apple will start to build iPad/Watch in Vietnam as it continues to diversify its production bases. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - Implications of AirPods/Beats Production Base Relocation to India

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We see emerging opportunities for high-quality companies after recent sector pull-back (30-40% in past three months), as most stocks under our coverage are trading below 1-SD of its 5-year average.</li><li>We believe near-term concerns over weak macro, inflation, geopolitical risks, RMB depreciation are largely priced in.</li><li>We suggest to accumulate quality names with higher exposure to structural growth drivers, including AR/VR, auto-related and Apple share gain. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We see emerging opportunities for high-quality companies after recent sector pull-back (30-40% in past three months), as most stocks under our coverage are trading below 1-SD of its 5-year average.We believe near-term concerns over weak macro, inflation, geopolitical risks, RMB depreciation are largely priced in.We suggest to accumulate quality names with higher exposure to structural growth drivers, including AR/VR, auto-related and Apple share gain. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - Emerging Opportunities to Accumulate Quality Names in AR/VR

Equity Bottom-Up

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We believe recent pullback offers good buying opportunities as we expect Luxshare to deliver strong earnings growth of 59%/54% YoY in 3Q/4Q22E (vs 34%/14% YoY in 1Q/2Q), driven by Apple’s product launches in 3Q22 and margin recovery in 2H22E.</li><li>In addition, following several strategic M&amp;As in 2020/21, we believe Luxshare started to benefit from gaining share in iPhone’s top module, Macbook/iPad’s casing and Watch OEM in 2H22E.</li><li>The stock now trades at 18.3x FY23E P/E, close to 1-sd below 5-yr average P/E. Reiterate BUY and rollover TP to RMB52.3, based on 30x FY23E P/E.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We believe recent pullback offers good buying opportunities as we expect Luxshare to deliver strong earnings growth of 59%/54% YoY in 3Q/4Q22E (vs 34%/14% YoY in 1Q/2Q), driven by Apple’s product launches in 3Q22 and margin recovery in 2H22E.In addition, following several strategic M&amp;As in 2020/21, we believe Luxshare started to benefit from gaining share in iPhone’s top module, Macbook/iPad’s casing and Watch OEM in 2H22E.The stock now trades at 18.3x FY23E P/E, close to 1-sd below 5-yr average P/E. Reiterate BUY and rollover TP to RMB52.3, based on 30x FY23E P/E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Luxshare (002475 CH) – Reiterate BUY on Stronger 2H22 Growth

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We expect global smartphone market to remain sluggish into 4Q22E, given weak consumer demand, macro uncertainties and lack of major spec upgrade.</li><li>We estimate global/China smartphone market to decline 9%/15% YoY in FY22E. Recent reported data revealed that China smartphone sell-in/sell- through declined 31%/10% YoY in Jul (vs +9%/-8% in Jun), and global smartphone sell-through dropped 16.5% YoY in Jul (vs -16.1% in Jun).</li><li>For 4Q22E, we believe the only bright spot is iPhone supply chain restocking, and we prefer related names such as Luxshare for iPhone/Watch/AirPods OEM, Goertek for share gain in Watch/ AirPods, and FIT Hon Teng/Tongda for iPhone shipment upside. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect global smartphone market to remain sluggish into 4Q22E, given weak consumer demand, macro uncertainties and lack of major spec upgrade.We estimate global/China smartphone market to decline 9%/15% YoY in FY22E. Recent reported data revealed that China smartphone sell-in/sell- through declined 31%/10% YoY in Jul (vs +9%/-8% in Jun), and global smartphone sell-through dropped 16.5% YoY in Jul (vs -16.1% in Jun).For 4Q22E, we believe the only bright spot is iPhone supply chain restocking, and we prefer related names such as Luxshare for iPhone/Watch/AirPods OEM, Goertek for share gain in Watch/ AirPods, and FIT Hon Teng/Tongda for iPhone shipment upside. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - China Smartphone: No Signs of Recovery in 4Q22E

China

Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures and sells connectors. The Company's products are widely used in computers, communication devices, consumer electronics products and automobiles.

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Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)

Northbound Flows (Oct 21st): BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili, China Tourism, Longi Green

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BOE, Moutai, Ping An, Yili, China Tourism, Longi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Technology - Implications of AirPods/Beats Production Base Relocation to India

Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local...

CMB International

China Technology - Emerging Opportunities to Accumulate Quality Names in AR/VR

We suggest to accumulate quality names with higher exposure to structural growth drivers, including AR/VR, auto-related and Apple share gain.

CMB International

Luxshare (002475 CH) – Reiterate BUY on Stronger 2H22 Growth

The stock now trades at 18.3x FY23E P/E, close to 1-sd below 5-yr average P/E. Reiterate BUY and rollover TP to RMB52.3, based on 30x FY23E P/E.

CMB International

China Technology - China Smartphone: No Signs of Recovery in 4Q22E

We expect global smartphone market to remain sluggish into 4Q22E, given weak consumer demand, macro uncertainties and lack of major spec upgrade.

CMB International

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