Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China gold jewelry demand slumped in 2Q2025, while investment demand for coins and bars remained resilient amidst rise in gold prices, according to data released by China Gold Association.</li>
<li>If gold rally continues, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> faces heightened demand growth risk due to reliance on the competitive, price-sensitive, consumption-driven jewellery segment.</li>
<li>Chow Tai Fook’s 140% YTD rally reflects optimism on branding-driven earnings growth, but <strong>stretched valuations overlook downside risks to growth if gold prices keep rising.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


China gold jewelry demand slumped in 2Q2025, while investment demand for coins and bars remained resilient amidst rise in gold prices, according to data released by China Gold Association.
If gold rally continues, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) faces heightened demand growth risk due to reliance on the competitive, price-sensitive, consumption-driven jewellery segment.
Chow Tai Fook’s 140% YTD rally reflects optimism on branding-driven earnings growth, but stretched valuations overlook downside risks to growth if gold prices keep rising.



Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): Strong Rally, Weak Jewellery Demand. Growth Risks.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a>  is down nearly 20% since June’s lock-up expiry, despite strong 1H2025 results and subsequent analyst earnings upgrades.</li>
<li>The stock trades at 22x FY26E, the low end of its YTD P/E range, with a PEG below 0.8x.</li>
<li>China’s retail gold demand in 2Q2025 has shifted toward investment products - a trend that could support Laopu’s mostly investment-driven sales.</li>
</ul>



Laopu Gold (6181 HK)  is down nearly 20% since June’s lock-up expiry, despite strong 1H2025 results and subsequent analyst earnings upgrades.
The stock trades at 22x FY26E, the low end of its YTD P/E range, with a PEG below 0.8x.
China’s retail gold demand in 2Q2025 has shifted toward investment products - a trend that could support Laopu’s mostly investment-driven sales.


Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Technical Overhang Masks Strong Fundamentals – Gold Bulls Stay Put

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE / Equity Bottom-Up

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (MC FP)

<ul><li>LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton reported its financial results for the first half of 2025, reflecting a mixed performance across various divisions and geographies.</li><li>The group recorded a revenue of EUR 40 billion, down 3% on an organic basis compared to the first half of 2024, with disparities by region and division.</li><li>Profit from recurring operations stood at EUR 9 billion, marking a 15% decrease from the prior year, though the operating margin remained robust at 22.6%.</li></ul>

LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton reported its financial results for the first half of 2025, reflecting a mixed performance across various divisions and geographies.The group recorded a revenue of EUR 40 billion, down 3% on an organic basis compared to the first half of 2024, with disparities by region and division.Profit from recurring operations stood at EUR 9 billion, marking a 15% decrease from the prior year, though the operating margin remained robust at 22.6%.

LVMH Eyes Exit From Marc Jacobs: What’s Driving The $1 Billion Divestiture?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a>’s stock has fallen nearly 30% since its July 8 peak and declined another 4% yesterday despite an upbeat 1H2025 profit update.</li>
<li>The company’s positive profit alert reported revenues and profits up more than 2.5x year-on-year, exceeding market expectations.</li>
<li>The ongoing share price weakness despite strong results likely reflects a combination of technical factors, such as lock-up related selling, and broader fundamental concerns.</li>
</ul>



Laopu Gold (6181 HK)’s stock has fallen nearly 30% since its July 8 peak and declined another 4% yesterday despite an upbeat 1H2025 profit update.
The company’s positive profit alert reported revenues and profits up more than 2.5x year-on-year, exceeding market expectations.
The ongoing share price weakness despite strong results likely reflects a combination of technical factors, such as lock-up related selling, and broader fundamental concerns.


Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Strong Earnings, Soft Share Price – What’s Driving the Disconnect?

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a>’s  365-day lockup on shares held by pre-IPO investors expires tomorrow (June 27), more than doubling its current free float.</li>
<li>Near-Term pressure on the stock is likely, given the sharp increase in tradable shares, mixed gold price outlook, and limited retail investor access after a steep rally.</li>
<li>A potential stock split could broaden investor participation, improve liquidity and serve as a catalyst for next leg of stock upside.</li>
</ul>



Laopu Gold (6181 HK)’s  365-day lockup on shares held by pre-IPO investors expires tomorrow (June 27), more than doubling its current free float.
Near-Term pressure on the stock is likely, given the sharp increase in tradable shares, mixed gold price outlook, and limited retail investor access after a steep rally.
A potential stock split could broaden investor participation, improve liquidity and serve as a catalyst for next leg of stock upside.


Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Lockup Expiry Ahead. After 2000% Rally, Is There Still Shine Left?

France

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE is a diversified luxury goods group. The Company produces and sells wine, cognac, perfumes, cosmetics, luggage, and watches and jewelry.

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LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (MC FP)

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): Strong Rally, Weak Jewellery Demand. Growth Risks.

Downside risk to the stock as stretched valuations overlook the risk of worsening jewellery sales if the gold rally continues.

Devi Subhakesan

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Technical Overhang Masks Strong Fundamentals – Gold Bulls Stay Put

Investors confident in rising gold prices can see Laopu's current technicals driven stock weakness as an opportunity given it's strong growth...

Devi Subhakesan

LVMH Eyes Exit From Marc Jacobs: What’s Driving The $1 Billion Divestiture?

LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton reported its financial results for the first half of 2025, reflecting a mixed performance across various...

Baptista Research

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Lockup Expiry Ahead. After 2000% Rally, Is There Still Shine Left?

Post Lockup expiry, What's next? Outlook on gold price matters. Also, a potential stock split could broaden investor participation, improve...

Devi Subhakesan

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): Strong Rally, Weak Jewellery Demand. Growth Risks.

Downside risk to the stock as stretched valuations overlook the risk of worsening jewellery sales if the gold rally continues.

Devi Subhakesan

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Technical Overhang Masks Strong Fundamentals – Gold Bulls Stay Put

Investors confident in rising gold prices can see Laopu's current technicals driven stock weakness as an opportunity given it's strong growth...

Devi Subhakesan

LVMH Eyes Exit From Marc Jacobs: What’s Driving The $1 Billion Divestiture?

LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton reported its financial results for the first half of 2025, reflecting a mixed performance across various...

Baptista Research

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Strong Earnings, Soft Share Price – What’s Driving the Disconnect?

The ongoing share price weakness despite strong results likely reflects a combination of technical factors, such as lock-up related selling, and...

Devi Subhakesan

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Lockup Expiry Ahead. After 2000% Rally, Is There Still Shine Left?

Post Lockup expiry, What's next? Outlook on gold price matters. Also, a potential stock split could broaden investor participation, improve...

Devi Subhakesan