Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US)</a>, the world’s largest mobility technology platform, aims to raise around US$10bn in its US listing. It is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, along with other investors.</p></div><div><p>It is present in over 4,000 cities, counties and towns across 15 countries. As of twelve months ending (LTM) 1Q21, it had 493m annual active users and 15m drivers, who participated in 41m average daily transactions. It generated a gross transaction value of RMB341bn over LTM1Q21.  </p></div><div>
<p>We provided the deal background and financials overview in our previous notes<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/didi-chuxing-pre-ipo-one-of-asia-s-largest-ipos-this-year-tearsheet" target="_blank" rel="noopener"></a>:</p>
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/didi-chuxing-pre-ipo-one-of-asia-s-largest-ipos-this-year-tearsheet" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - One of Asia’s Largest IPOs This Year - Tearsheet</a>.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/didi-chuxing-pre-ipo-has-a-principal-agent-problem-rumoured-target-valuation-is-a-stretch" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - Has a Principal Agent Problem, Rumoured Target Valuation Is a Stretch</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/didi-pre-ipo-competitive-in-car-hailing-uncompetitive-in-others-generally-valuable" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DIDI (滴滴) Pre-IPO: Competitive in Car Hailing, Uncompetitive In “Others”, Generally Valuable</a></li>
</ul>
</div><div><p>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber (UBER US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lyft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24423:1" rel="noopener">Lyft Inc (LYFT US)</a>. </p></div>

DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US), the world’s largest mobility technology platform, aims to raise around US$10bn in its US listing. It is backed by Softbank Group (9984 JP) and Tencent (700 HK), along with other investors.It is present in over 4,000 cities, counties and towns across 15 countries. As of twelve months ending (LTM) 1Q21, it had 493m annual active users and 15m drivers, who participated in 41m average daily transactions. It generated a gross transaction value of RMB341bn over LTM1Q21.  
We provided the deal background and financials overview in our previous notes:


DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - One of Asia’s Largest IPOs This Year - Tearsheet.
DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - Has a Principal Agent Problem, Rumoured Target Valuation Is a Stretch
DIDI (滴滴) Pre-IPO: Competitive in Car Hailing, Uncompetitive In “Others”, Generally Valuable

In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with Uber (UBER US) and Lyft Inc (LYFT US). 

Full Truck Alliance   / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)</a> (FTA),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, raised around US$1.6bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.</p></div><div>
<p>In our earlier notes, we spoke about various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-the-positives-category-leader" target="_blank" rel="noopener"></a></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-the-positives-category-leader" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader, </a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-the-negatives-still-a-mixed-bag" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Mixed Bag,</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-valuation-even-the-previous-round-might-have-been-a-stretch" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - Valuation, Even the Previous Round Might Have Been a Stretch, and</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-ipo-decent-investor-line-up-at-best-a-punt-at-these-valuations" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance IPO - Decent Investor Line-Up, at Best a Punt at These Valuations</a></li>
</ul>
<p>In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</p>
</div>

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US) (FTA),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, raised around US$1.6bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.
In our earlier notes, we spoke about various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes:

Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader, 
Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Mixed Bag,
Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - Valuation, Even the Previous Round Might Have Been a Stretch, and
Full Truck Alliance IPO - Decent Investor Line-Up, at Best a Punt at These Valuations

In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Full Truck Alliance IPO Trading - Have to Do a Bull Case to Find Some Upside

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US)</a>/Xiaoju Kuaizhi is the world's largest mobility technology platform by annual active users and by average daily transactions for the twelve months ended 31 March 2021, according to CIC. Xiaoju Kuaizhi is best known for its <em>DiDi Chuxing</em> app in China where consumers can access mobility and other essential services. Didi is seeking to raise as much as $10 billion through a US listing, according to press reports. Didi is backed by Softbank Vision Fund (21.5% stake), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber (UBER US)</a> (12.8%), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> (6.8%), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a>. </p><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/didi-chuxing-xiaoju-kuaizhi-initiation-in-for-a-bumpy-ride" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53014" rel="noopener">Didi Chuxing (Xiaoju Kuaizhi) Initiation: In for a Bumpy Ride?</a>, we opined that Didi’s core china mobility business is heading on the right trajectory with rising growth and improving margin. However, Didi is saddled with two other businesses (international and other initiatives) which are driven by its global ambitions and its desire to provide a broad array of service offerings to consumers and drivers. This ecosystem strategy is sensible for a company that possesses a highly profitable and cash generative core business. Unfortunately, Didi’s core china mobility business is not close to achieving this status and the international and other initiatives business look like unnecessary and costly distractions. </p><p>Today, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/exclusive-chinas-ipo-bound-didi-probed-antitrust-violations-sources-2021-06-17/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reuters reported</a> that China's market regulator (SAMR) has begun an antitrust probe into Didi. SAMR is examining if Didi used any competitive practices that squeezed out smaller rivals unfairly. The regulator is also examining whether the pricing mechanism used by Didi's china mobility business is sufficiently transparent. Didi declined to comment on "<em>unsubstantiated speculation from unnamed source(s).</em>"</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In this note, we examine the key financial metrics of Didi china mobility and international business to the relevant business units of its peers - Uber, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lyft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24423:1" rel="noopener">Lyft Inc (LYFT US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grabtaxi-holdings-pte-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (0967655D SP)</a>. Our analysis suggests that Didi offers a trade-off between growth and profitability in comparison to its peers. Overall, in combination with the ongoing regulatory overhang, we are inclined to remain on the sidelines.   </p></div>

DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US)/Xiaoju Kuaizhi is the world's largest mobility technology platform by annual active users and by average daily transactions for the twelve months ended 31 March 2021, according to CIC. Xiaoju Kuaizhi is best known for its DiDi Chuxing app in China where consumers can access mobility and other essential services. Didi is seeking to raise as much as $10 billion through a US listing, according to press reports. Didi is backed by Softbank Vision Fund (21.5% stake), Uber (UBER US) (12.8%), Tencent (700 HK) (6.8%), Alibaba Group (BABA US) and Toyota Motor (7203 JP). In Didi Chuxing (Xiaoju Kuaizhi) Initiation: In for a Bumpy Ride?, we opined that Didi’s core china mobility business is heading on the right trajectory with rising growth and improving margin. However, Didi is saddled with two other businesses (international and other initiatives) which are driven by its global ambitions and its desire to provide a broad array of service offerings to consumers and drivers. This ecosystem strategy is sensible for a company that possesses a highly profitable and cash generative core business. Unfortunately, Didi’s core china mobility business is not close to achieving this status and the international and other initiatives business look like unnecessary and costly distractions. Today, Reuters reported that China's market regulator (SAMR) has begun an antitrust probe into Didi. SAMR is examining if Didi used any competitive practices that squeezed out smaller rivals unfairly. The regulator is also examining whether the pricing mechanism used by Didi's china mobility business is sufficiently transparent. Didi declined to comment on "unsubstantiated speculation from unnamed source(s)."In this note, we examine the key financial metrics of Didi china mobility and international business to the relevant business units of its peers - Uber, Lyft Inc (LYFT US) and Grab (0967655D SP). Our analysis suggests that Didi offers a trade-off between growth and profitability in comparison to its peers. Overall, in combination with the ongoing regulatory overhang, we are inclined to remain on the sidelines.   

Xiaoju Kuaizhi (Didi Chuxing) IPO: Growth Vs Margin

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<div class="content-highlight">
<p><strong>Our base case valuation of Full Truck Alliance is implied market cap of $17.7 billion or $17.1 per share. Our valuation sensitivity suggests a range from $14.3 billion to $21.4 billion. Our base case valuation of $17.1 per share is close to the low end of the IPO range of $17 to $19 per share. Given the lack of upside, we would pass on this deal. </strong></p>
</div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)</a> (FTA) is getting ready to complete its IPO in the coming days. The company is offering 82.5 million ADS at $17 to $19 per ADS. Each ADS represents 20 Class A ordinary shares. At the top end of the IPO price range, the company could raise as much as $1.57 billion. Fidelity and Invesco plan to buy a total of $600 million worth of ADS in the IPO (40% of the deal).</p>
<p>Full Truck Alliance also plans to raise an additional $200 million in private placements to Mubadala Investment Co and Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan Board. At the IPO price of $18 per share, the company would have an implied market cap of <a href="https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/82793/Chinese-freight-platform-Full-Truck-Alliance-sets-terms-for-%241.5-billion-US" target="_blank" rel="noopener">$19.7 billion</a> on a fully diluted shares basis. </p>


Our base case valuation of Full Truck Alliance is implied market cap of $17.7 billion or $17.1 per share. Our valuation sensitivity suggests a range from $14.3 billion to $21.4 billion. Our base case valuation of $17.1 per share is close to the low end of the IPO range of $17 to $19 per share. Given the lack of upside, we would pass on this deal. 

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US) (FTA) is getting ready to complete its IPO in the coming days. The company is offering 82.5 million ADS at $17 to $19 per ADS. Each ADS represents 20 Class A ordinary shares. At the top end of the IPO price range, the company could raise as much as $1.57 billion. Fidelity and Invesco plan to buy a total of $600 million worth of ADS in the IPO (40% of the deal).
Full Truck Alliance also plans to raise an additional $200 million in private placements to Mubadala Investment Co and Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan Board. At the IPO price of $18 per share, the company would have an implied market cap of $19.7 billion on a fully diluted shares basis. 

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<p>Didi Chuxing is the dominant ride-hailing platform in one of the world’s most compelling markets for shared mobility. It is a global leader in some respects (number of active users, drivers, and transactions) and its IPO could represent the second-largest China IPO in the US trailing only eCommerce giant Alibaba Group. We value Didi Chuxing at $63/share (the ADR exchange has not yet been announced) which implies a pre-IPO equity value for the entire company of $70bn. </p><p>This report includes full financial forecasts, valuation, a summary of investment highlights and a list of questions we would ask on the roadshow.</p>

Didi Chuxing is the dominant ride-hailing platform in one of the world’s most compelling markets for shared mobility. It is a global leader in some respects (number of active users, drivers, and transactions) and its IPO could represent the second-largest China IPO in the US trailing only eCommerce giant Alibaba Group. We value Didi Chuxing at $63/share (the ADR exchange has not yet been announced) which implies a pre-IPO equity value for the entire company of $70bn. This report includes full financial forecasts, valuation, a summary of investment highlights and a list of questions we would ask on the roadshow.

Didi Chuxing and Softbank - Long Awaited IPO of China’s Mobility Giant Worth $70bn

United States

Lyft, Inc. provides online ridesharing services. The Company offers ride booking, payment processing, and car transportation services. Lyft serves customers in the United States.

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Lyft (LYFT US)

DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US), the world’s largest mobility technology platform, aims to raise around US$10bn in its US listing. It is backed by Softbank...

Sumeet Singh

Full Truck Alliance IPO Trading - Have to Do a Bull Case to Find Some Upside

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US) (FTA), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, raised around US$1.6bn via a US listing....

Sumeet Singh

Xiaoju Kuaizhi (Didi Chuxing) IPO: Growth Vs Margin

We examine the key financial metrics of Didi to the relevant business units of its peers. Overall, in combination with the ongoing regulatory...

Arun George

Full Truck Alliance Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Full Truck Alliance is implied market cap of $17.7 billion or $17.1 per share. Given the lack of upside relative to the...

Douglas Kim

Didi Chuxing and Softbank - Long Awaited IPO of China’s Mobility Giant Worth $70bn

This report includes full financial forecasts/valuation, the investment case top down and bottom-up,, Uber comps and a list of questions we would...

Kirk Boodry

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