Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. </li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 1Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 1Q2025 were US$1,760 million and holdings were US$307 billion, compared to outflows of US$20 billion in 4Q. 
We highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.


Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dada-nexus-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28961:1" rel="noopener">Dada Nexus (DADA US)</a> disclosed a binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> at US$2.00 per ADS, a 41.8% premium to the undisturbed price of US$1.41 (24 January).</li>
<li>The shareholder vote is low-risk (two-thirds voting threshold), as JD.com represents 63.2% of voting power. The dissenting condition (less than 12% of outstanding shares) is waivable. </li>
<li>Although the offer is unattractive, this is a done deal. The transaction is expected to close within the third quarter of 2025.</li>
</ul>



Dada Nexus (DADA US) disclosed a binding proposal from JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) at US$2.00 per ADS, a 41.8% premium to the undisturbed price of US$1.41 (24 January).
The shareholder vote is low-risk (two-thirds voting threshold), as JD.com represents 63.2% of voting power. The dissenting condition (less than 12% of outstanding shares) is waivable. 
Although the offer is unattractive, this is a done deal. The transaction is expected to close within the third quarter of 2025.


Dada Nexus (DADA US): JD.com’s Binding Offer a Done Deal

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back on the 23 December 2022, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skyworth-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10941:1" rel="noopener">Skyworth Group (751 HK)</a></strong> announced (another) partial buyback, at HK$3.80/share, a 20.25% premium to undisturbed. On the 28 March, terms were bumped to $5.00/share. </li>
<li>At the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0531/2023053101428.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">close of the Offer</a>, the Wong Concert Group held 50.35%, and were no longer subject to the creeper rule. The Group now holds 56.04%</li>
<li>Yet another Partial Offer has been announced (HK$3.11/share, a 15.19% premium)), which will lift the Group's stake to 66.45%.  Minimum pro-ration is 37.84%. It is likely to go higher.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 23 December 2022, Skyworth Group (751 HK) announced (another) partial buyback, at HK$3.80/share, a 20.25% premium to undisturbed. On the 28 March, terms were bumped to $5.00/share. 
At the close of the Offer, the Wong Concert Group held 50.35%, and were no longer subject to the creeper rule. The Group now holds 56.04%
Yet another Partial Offer has been announced (HK$3.11/share, a 15.19% premium)), which will lift the Group's stake to 66.45%.  Minimum pro-ration is 37.84%. It is likely to go higher.


Skyworth Group (751 HK)'s Latest Partial Buyback. Thoughts On Proration

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China and HK stocks dominate the list of rising exposures among EM funds</li>
<li>Trip.com, CATL, and Xiaomi have reached new highs following sustained rotation, while Meituan and JD.com are rebounding after periods of consolidation</li>
<li>Aubrey and Putnam initiate stakes in Xiaomi, GIB open Trip.com exposure, and the Alger EM fund enters Meituan.</li>
</ul>


China and HK stocks dominate the list of rising exposures among EM funds
Trip.com, CATL, and Xiaomi have reached new highs following sustained rotation, while Meituan and JD.com are rebounding after periods of consolidation
Aubrey and Putnam initiate stakes in Xiaomi, GIB open Trip.com exposure, and the Alger EM fund enters Meituan.


EM Stock Rotation: China & HK Stocks Take Centre Stage

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Given the slew of A/H offerings in the Hong Kong IPO pipeline, in this note, we talk about the overall A/H premiums currently.</li>
<li>We also had a quick look at the past A/H listing performance, including subscription rates and A/H premiums at the time of listing.</li>
<li>Overall, most of the A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term, with a few exceptions.</li>
</ul>


Given the slew of A/H offerings in the Hong Kong IPO pipeline, in this note, we talk about the overall A/H premiums currently.
We also had a quick look at the past A/H listing performance, including subscription rates and A/H premiums at the time of listing.
Overall, most of the A/H listings haven’t done much in the near term, with a few exceptions.


A/H Premiums and past A/H Listings Performance Data - Mixed Results but Size Matters

China

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides logistics, order tracking, supply chain management, and warehousing services. S.F. Holding operates worldwide.

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S.F. Holding (002352 CH)

Northbound Flows (1Q2025): BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 1Q2025 and highlight flows for BYD, Naura Technology, Cmb, Yangtze Power, Weichai Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dada Nexus (DADA US): JD.com’s Binding Offer a Done Deal

Although the offer is unattractive, this is a done deal. The transaction is expected to close within the third quarter of 2025.

Arun George

Skyworth Group (751 HK)'s Latest Partial Buyback. Thoughts On Proration

If the price gets (even) closer to the tender price, assuming investors want to come out short and expect no surprise shift in proration, it's...

David Blennerhassett

EM Stock Rotation: China & HK Stocks Take Centre Stage

Over the past six months, China and HK stocks have dominated the list of rising exposures among active emerging market funds.

Steven Holden

A/H Premiums and past A/H Listings Performance Data - Mixed Results but Size Matters

Given the slew of A/H offerings in the Hong Kong IPO pipeline, in this note, we talk about the overall A/H premiums currently.

Sumeet Singh

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