Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 30th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn, Ase Technology H, Makalot, Pegatron, Walsin Lihwa, Mediatek, Evergreen Marine, Macronix Intl, Gigabyte Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 30th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn, Ase Technology H, Makalot, Pegatron, Walsin Lihwa, Mediatek, Evergreen Marine, Macronix Intl, Gigabyte Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 30th): Wiwynn, ASE, Makalot, Pegatron, Walsin Lihwa, Mediatek

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai shares have rallied to new 52-week highs; We update our model and sanity check the company's 2025E gross margin target.</li>
<li>Hon Hai can realize its target higher gross margin as its revenue mix changes between its legacy contract manufacturing and components/ higher value products revenue.</li>
<li>We maintain our 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 35% above current levels and higher than the entire Street.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai shares have rallied to new 52-week highs; We update our model and sanity check the company's 2025E gross margin target.
Hon Hai can realize its target higher gross margin as its revenue mix changes between its legacy contract manufacturing and components/ higher value products revenue.
We maintain our 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 35% above current levels and higher than the entire Street.


Hon Hai: Hits New 52-Week Highs; Sanity Checking Management Guidance Shows Still More Upside

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Chip revenues have been up for two months in a row.  Could this be the start of a trend?</li>
<li>Commodity prices indicate that the "Collapse" phase of a price downturn has ended, and that prices will now follow costs</li>
<li>DRAM and NAND makers should remain unprofitable until mid 2024, although their revenues can begin to steadily rise.  Other chip makers will do better.</li>
</ul>


Chip revenues have been up for two months in a row.  Could this be the start of a trend?
Commodity prices indicate that the "Collapse" phase of a price downturn has ended, and that prices will now follow costs
DRAM and NAND makers should remain unprofitable until mid 2024, although their revenues can begin to steadily rise.  Other chip makers will do better.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Yuanta/P-shares Dividend Plus ETF (0056 TT) started to rebalance its holdings on Friday and will continue to do so for the next 4 trading days.</li>
<li>Stocks with buy flows dropped 0.8% on average on Friday while the stocks with sell flows rose 0.27%. On a flow weighted basis, the numbers were -0.63% vs +1.99%.</li>
<li>The stocks with outflows have outperformed stocks with inflows by a huge margin in the recent past and short interest has jumped on most stocks recently.</li>
</ul>


The Yuanta/P-shares Dividend Plus ETF (0056 TT) started to rebalance its holdings on Friday and will continue to do so for the next 4 trading days.
Stocks with buy flows dropped 0.8% on average on Friday while the stocks with sell flows rose 0.27%. On a flow weighted basis, the numbers were -0.63% vs +1.99%.
The stocks with outflows have outperformed stocks with inflows by a huge margin in the recent past and short interest has jumped on most stocks recently.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the final ADDs/DELs for the TDIV, T50, and T100 Indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Across these three indices there will be 18 changes and 15 of them were in line with expectations.</li>
<li>Our updated flow expectations show that there could be US$1.1bn one-way flow in the June 2023 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the final ADDs/DELs for the TDIV, T50, and T100 Indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.
Across these three indices there will be 18 changes and 15 of them were in line with expectations.
Our updated flow expectations show that there could be US$1.1bn one-way flow in the June 2023 rebalance.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 23 Rebal: 15/18 as Expected; Some Surprises, US$1.1bn+ One Way

Taiwan

Macronix International Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) as well as memory products.  The Company's products include nonvolatile memory integrated circuits, mask ROM (Read Only Memory), EPROM (Erasable Programmable ROM), and flash memory products.  Macronix also produces logic ICs for audio, clock generators, and graphic application devices.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Macronix International (2337 TT)

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 30th): Wiwynn, ASE, Makalot, Pegatron, Walsin Lihwa, Mediatek

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn, Ase Technology H, Makalot, Pegatron,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hon Hai: Hits New 52-Week Highs; Sanity Checking Management Guidance Shows Still More Upside

We maintain our 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 35% above current levels and higher than the entire Street. We show how higher margin...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Encouraging Signs in Recent Semi Stats

The chip market is giving signs of a recovery which will see rising revenues but should remain unprofitable for commodity players until mid-2024. ...

Jim Handy

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

The 0056 TT ETF started rebalancing on Friday and that will continue for the next 4 trading days. The deletes and stocks with outflows have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 23 Rebal: 15/18 as Expected; Some Surprises, US$1.1bn+ One Way

The T50 and TDIV standalone changes are significant but the T100 standalone changes are insignificant. The main pick trades suggested in my last...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 30th): Wiwynn, ASE, Makalot, Pegatron, Walsin Lihwa, Mediatek

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn, Ase Technology H, Makalot, Pegatron,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hon Hai: Hits New 52-Week Highs; Sanity Checking Management Guidance Shows Still More Upside

We maintain our 12-month price target of NT$155 per share, 35% above current levels and higher than the entire Street. We show how higher margin...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Encouraging Signs in Recent Semi Stats

The chip market is giving signs of a recovery which will see rising revenues but should remain unprofitable for commodity players until mid-2024. ...

Jim Handy

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

The 0056 TT ETF started rebalancing on Friday and that will continue for the next 4 trading days. The deletes and stocks with outflows have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 23 Rebal: 15/18 as Expected; Some Surprises, US$1.1bn+ One Way

The T50 and TDIV standalone changes are significant but the T100 standalone changes are insignificant. The main pick trades suggested in my last...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves