Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the “wait-and-see” phase). Until this consolidation period resolves below support or above resistance we are maintaining a relatively neutral stance considering the wide range of outcomes. Many major indexes are testing logical resistance and until we see breakouts it is hard to get too bullish. In this report we highlight attractive stocks from a RS perspective.</p>

Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the “wait-and-see” phase). Until this consolidation period resolves below support or above resistance we are maintaining a relatively neutral stance considering the wide range of outcomes. Many major indexes are testing logical resistance and until we see breakouts it is hard to get too bullish. In this report we highlight attractive stocks from a RS perspective.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Round Trip Back To Resistance

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Suzhou Ribo Life Science / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-ribo-life-science-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45112:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Ribo Life Science (SRL HK)</a> entered into a licensing agreement with Madrigal Pharmaceuticals for six pre-clinical small interfering RNA (siRNA) programs for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH).</li>
<li>Ribo Life will receive an upfront payment of US$60M and cumulative payments could reach US$4.4B if certain development, regulatory and commercial milestones are achieved, plus potential royalties on net sales.</li>
<li>The deal has the potential to bear fruits for Ribo Life only in the long term. At the current share price, the stock does feel overvalued to an extent.</li>
</ul>



Suzhou Ribo Life Science (SRL HK) entered into a licensing agreement with Madrigal Pharmaceuticals for six pre-clinical small interfering RNA (siRNA) programs for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH).
Ribo Life will receive an upfront payment of US$60M and cumulative payments could reach US$4.4B if certain development, regulatory and commercial milestones are achieved, plus potential royalties on net sales.
The deal has the potential to bear fruits for Ribo Life only in the long term. At the current share price, the stock does feel overvalued to an extent.


Ribo Life Science (6938 HK): Madrigal MASH Deal A Positive, But Still a Long Waiting Game

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a> 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY as finished drugs witnessed decrease on VBP and NRDL inclusion. Bulk products and license fees compensated to an extent.</li>
<li>More license and collaboration in relation to the development, manufacturing and commercialization of certain products of the company awaited in 2H25 and augurs well in terms of future revenue visibility.</li>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices.</li>
</ul>



CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY as finished drugs witnessed decrease on VBP and NRDL inclusion. Bulk products and license fees compensated to an extent.
More license and collaboration in relation to the development, manufacturing and commercialization of certain products of the company awaited in 2H25 and augurs well in terms of future revenue visibility.
CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices.


CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs Drag 1H25; 2H25 Expected To End with More Licensing Deals

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> recorded 32% growth in revenue to INR50B in Q4FY23, driven by 58% YoY growth in US formulation business. India business revenue grew 11% YoY.</li>
<li>US business growth was driven by volume expansion in existing products and new launches. The company has launched eight new products in the US during the quarter.</li>
<li>Going ahead, growth is expected to moderate, due to high base effect. The company expects single-digit growth in the US business in FY24, slower than 28% growth recorded in FY23.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) recorded 32% growth in revenue to INR50B in Q4FY23, driven by 58% YoY growth in US formulation business. India business revenue grew 11% YoY.
US business growth was driven by volume expansion in existing products and new launches. The company has launched eight new products in the US during the quarter.
Going ahead, growth is expected to moderate, due to high base effect. The company expects single-digit growth in the US business in FY24, slower than 28% growth recorded in FY23.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Q4 Result Driven by US Business; Forward Growth to Moderate

United States

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company develops novel and small-molecule drugs addressing cardiovascular and metabolic diseases. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals offers its services in the United States.

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Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc (MDGL US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Round Trip Back To Resistance

Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the...

Vermilion Research

Ribo Life Science (6938 HK): Madrigal MASH Deal A Positive, But Still a Long Waiting Game

Suzhou Ribo Life Science partners with Madrigal Pharmaceuticals for siRNA programs targeting MASH. Upfront payments etc are fine, but Ribo Life is...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs Drag 1H25; 2H25 Expected To End with More Licensing Deals

CSPC Pharma's 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY, on lower finished drug sales. However, future revenue visibility looks promising with upcoming...

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Q4 Result Driven by US Business; Forward Growth to Moderate

Zydus Lifesciences recorded 32% revenue growth to INR50B in Q4FY23, driven by 58% growth in US formulation business. The company expects single...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Round Trip Back To Resistance

Our base case continues to be for near-term consolidation while the market determines the implications of states’ reopening (i.e., the...

Vermilion Research

Ribo Life Science (6938 HK): Madrigal MASH Deal A Positive, But Still a Long Waiting Game

​Suzhou Ribo Life Science partners with Madrigal Pharmaceuticals for siRNA programs targeting MASH. Upfront payments etc are fine, but Ribo Life is...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs Drag 1H25; 2H25 Expected To End with More Licensing Deals

​CSPC Pharma's 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY, on lower finished drug sales. However, future revenue visibility looks promising with upcoming...

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Q4 Result Driven by US Business; Forward Growth to Moderate

Zydus Lifesciences recorded 32% revenue growth to INR50B in Q4FY23, driven by 58% growth in US formulation business. The company expects single...

Tina Banerjee

Suzhou Ribo Life Science partners with Madrigal Pharmaceuticals for siRNA programs targeting MASH. Upfront payments etc are fine, but Ribo Life is...

CSPC Pharma's 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY, on lower finished drug sales. However, future revenue visibility looks promising with upcoming...