Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.</li>
<li>We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in <em>Int’l Compass</em> and <em>ETF Pathfinder</em> reports throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.
We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.
Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.


EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>BofA will invest up to <strong>INR 18,268 crore</strong> for 49.9% of Jio Credit, beginning with 26.5% equity and moving to 49.9% through warrants convertible within 18 months.</li>
<li>At a 5.5x debt-to-fresh-equity scaling assumption, the new capital can underpin roughly <strong>INR 1.0 trillion</strong> of incremental borrowings, a step-change in lending capacity.</li>
<li>Jio Credit can move from <strong>INR 30,667 crore</strong> AUM toward the scale of Mahindra Finance, L&amp;T Finance and HDB Financial much faster than organic capital generation alone would allow.</li>
</ul>


BofA will invest up to INR 18,268 crore for 49.9% of Jio Credit, beginning with 26.5% equity and moving to 49.9% through warrants convertible within 18 months.
At a 5.5x debt-to-fresh-equity scaling assumption, the new capital can underpin roughly INR 1.0 trillion of incremental borrowings, a step-change in lending capacity.
Jio Credit can move from INR 30,667 crore AUM toward the scale of Mahindra Finance, L&amp;T Finance and HDB Financial much faster than organic capital generation alone would allow.


Jio Credit’s ₹18,268 Crore BofA Deal: The Shortcut to ₹1 Lakh+ Crore Loan Book

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) delivered a strong beat, led by healthy loan growth (+18% YoY), reflation in NIMs (+28bps QoQ), and lower-than-expected credit costs (20bps annualised)</li><li>Loan growth ex of wholesale was broad-based across segments, with continued traction in unsecured retail (10% of loans) in line with KMB’s efforts to improve its share of high-yield products</li><li>Deposit mobilisation picked up, primarily from term deposits, while CASA saw a 50bps QoQ decline to 52.8%</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) delivered a strong beat, led by healthy loan growth (+18% YoY), reflation in NIMs (+28bps QoQ), and lower-than-expected credit costs (20bps annualised)Loan growth ex of wholesale was broad-based across segments, with continued traction in unsecured retail (10% of loans) in line with KMB’s efforts to improve its share of high-yield productsDeposit mobilisation picked up, primarily from term deposits, while CASA saw a 50bps QoQ decline to 52.8%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Indian Hotels, Supreme Industries

<div><div><div><ul><li>Post the publication of our cross-sector Vehicle Finance thematic, we met about 50 investors and passenger vehicle (PV) dealers across key markets.</li><li>The PV segment is poised to enjoy cyclical tailwinds with robust demand for new as well as used vehicles.</li><li>On the financing side, competitive intensity continues to stay elevated, with select market leaders turning on the heat further to gain market share.</li></ul></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Post the publication of our cross-sector Vehicle Finance thematic, we met about 50 investors and passenger vehicle (PV) dealers across key markets.The PV segment is poised to enjoy cyclical tailwinds with robust demand for new as well as used vehicles.On the financing side, competitive intensity continues to stay elevated, with select market leaders turning on the heat further to gain market share.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Connecting the Dots - The Changing Contours of PV Financing

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indo-mim-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45956:1" rel="noopener">Indo-MIM Ltd (1666551D IN)</a> raised about US$395m in its India IPO. IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding (MIM) technology. </li>
<li>IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding technology. Its capabilities include mold designing and tooling, coupled with finishing and assembly operations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Indo-MIM Ltd (1666551D IN) raised about US$395m in its India IPO. IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding (MIM) technology. 
IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding technology. Its capabilities include mold designing and tooling, coupled with finishing and assembly operations.
We have looked at the past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Aequitas: Indo-MIM IPO Trading - Strong Overall Demand

India

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services is an Indian non-banking financial company primarily focused on rural and semi-urban markets. It provides vehicle loans for cars, tractors, and commercial vehicles, as well as SME financing, housing finance, personal loans, and offers insurance broking and mutual fund distribution services. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1991.

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services (MMFS IN)

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Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services (MMFS IN)

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving -- Upgrading to Overweight; MSCI EM Technology remains an Overweight. Top Country Overweights: Taiwan, India,...

Vermilion Research

Jio Credit’s ₹18,268 Crore BofA Deal: The Shortcut to ₹1 Lakh+ Crore Loan Book

Bank of America to invest INR 18,268 crore in Jio Credit for 49.9% stake, boosting lending capacity and AUM significantly.

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Indian Hotels, Supreme Industries

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) delivered a strong beat, led by healthy loan growth (+18% YoY), reflation in NIMs (+28bps QoQ), and lower-than-expected...

HDFC Securities

Connecting the Dots - The Changing Contours of PV Financing

Post the publication of our cross-sector Vehicle Finance thematic, we met about 50 investors and passenger vehicle (PV) dealers across key markets.

HDFC Securities

Aequitas: Indo-MIM IPO Trading - Strong Overall Demand

Indo-MIM Ltd (IML) raised about US$395m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving -- Upgrading to Overweight; MSCI EM Technology remains an Overweight. Top Country Overweights: Taiwan, India,...

Vermilion Research

Jio Credit’s ₹18,268 Crore BofA Deal: The Shortcut to ₹1 Lakh+ Crore Loan Book

​Bank of America to invest INR 18,268 crore in Jio Credit for 49.9% stake, boosting lending capacity and AUM significantly.

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Indian Hotels, Supreme Industries

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) delivered a strong beat, led by healthy loan growth (+18% YoY), reflation in NIMs (+28bps QoQ), and lower-than-expected...

HDFC Securities

Connecting the Dots - The Changing Contours of PV Financing

Post the publication of our cross-sector Vehicle Finance thematic, we met about 50 investors and passenger vehicle (PV) dealers across key markets.

HDFC Securities

Aequitas: Indo-MIM IPO Trading - Strong Overall Demand

Indo-MIM Ltd (IML) raised about US$395m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

Bank of America to invest INR 18,268 crore in Jio Credit for 49.9% stake, boosting lending capacity and AUM significantly.