President, Vision Research

Robert C Prather Jr

President

Vision Research

Vision Research was formed in 2004 with the vision of generating the best possible fundamental analysis and investment research for smid cap US equities. In 2008, we broadened our coverage to include mid/large cap US stocks.  After researching a  few ideas outside the US each year for a number of years, we launched a dedicated non-US equity product at the end of 2015.  This was followed by the introduction of a product focused on IPOs in mid-2017.

Fundamental Insight

Equity Bottom-Up

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Key customers &amp; their retail partners battling excess inventory, waning consumer demand, and market share losses in certain geographies</li>
<li>Plans for capacity expansion amid demand uncertainties and alt data and macro picture may prove aggressive and along with risks of reshoring/nearshoring &amp; friend-shoring may prove margin dilutive</li>
<li>Consensus expectations for 2H23 and 2024 appear overly optimistic and valuation is not cheap given the growth profile</li>
</ul>


Key customers &amp; their retail partners battling excess inventory, waning consumer demand, and market share losses in certain geographies
Plans for capacity expansion amid demand uncertainties and alt data and macro picture may prove aggressive and along with risks of reshoring/nearshoring &amp; friend-shoring may prove margin dilutive
Consensus expectations for 2H23 and 2024 appear overly optimistic and valuation is not cheap given the growth profile


Shenzhou (2313 HK): Contract Mfr for Leading Sportswear Brands Facing Challenging Demand Outlook.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated holding was USD1,172.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,885mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Alchip Technologies, UMC, Asia Vital Components, Hon Hai Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 18th. The aggregated holding was USD1,172.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,885mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Alchip Technologies, UMC, Asia Vital Components, Hon Hai Precision.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 18th): TSMC, Alchip Technologies, UMC, Asia Vital Components

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 16 adds and 6 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$12.4bn.</li>
<li>The ETF has started trading the stocks and are expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days. In reality, the process could drag on for some stocks.</li>
<li>The index committee appears to have a little discretion in choosing the inclusions with one expected add not being added and one lower ranked stock being added to the index.</li>
</ul>


There are 16 adds and 6 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$12.4bn.
The ETF has started trading the stocks and are expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days. In reality, the process could drag on for some stocks.
The index committee appears to have a little discretion in choosing the inclusions with one expected add not being added and one lower ranked stock being added to the index.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 22 Changes as Expected

Yang Ming Marine Transport / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 363bn (US$12.1bn).</li>
<li>Following a change in methodology, there could be 16 adds and 6 deletes in June with an estimated one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn.</li>
<li>We expect the adds to outperform the deletes over the next few days, following which reversion could set in.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 363bn (US$12.1bn).
Following a change in methodology, there could be 16 adds and 6 deletes in June with an estimated one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn.
We expect the adds to outperform the deletes over the next few days, following which reversion could set in.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Tatung, Makalot Industrial, Wt Microelectronics, Gold Circuit Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Tatung, Makalot Industrial, Wt Microelectronics, Gold Circuit Electronics.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): Tatung, Makalot Industrial, Wt Microelectronics

Taiwan

Makalot Industrial Co., Ltd. manufactures garments, including underwear, sleepwear, skirts, dresses, shirts, pants, shorts, etc.  The Company exports its products mostly to the United States.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Makalot Industrial (1477 TT)

Shenzhou (2313 HK): Contract Mfr for Leading Sportswear Brands Facing Challenging Demand Outlook.

Consensus estimates do not account for customer, retailer, Asian market share shift, macro, alt data and geopolitical risks.

Robert C Prather Jr

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 18th): TSMC, Alchip Technologies, UMC, Asia Vital Components

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Alchip Technologies, UMC, Asia Vital...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 22 Changes as Expected

A change in index methodology leads to 16 adds and 6 deletes in June. The ETF has started trading the stocks and will continue to trade for the...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade

A change in methodology could result in 16 adds and 6 deletes in June leading to one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): Tatung, Makalot Industrial, Wt Microelectronics

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Tatung, Makalot Industrial, Wt Microelectronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)