Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on 21 August - final capping will use closing prices from the close on 1 September.</li>
<li>There are 2 adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, no constituent changes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, 1 change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, 5 changes for the HSIII, and 1 change for the HSBIO.</li>
<li>There are 61 adds and 15 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index and that should lead to 54 additions to Southbound Stock Connect from the open on 7 September.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on 21 August - final capping will use closing prices from the close on 1 September.
There are 2 adds for the HSI, no constituent changes HSCEI, 1 change for the HSTECH, 5 changes for the HSIII, and 1 change for the HSBIO.
There are 61 adds and 15 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index and that should lead to 54 additions to Southbound Stock Connect from the open on 7 September.


Hang Seng Indexes: US$3.2bn of Flows Post Capping + Stock Connect Changes (Sep 2026)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>The September 2026 HSCI review adds 53 names to southbound Connect, 49 new and 4 returning, and removes 15, all effective 7 Sep 2026.</li>
<li>The announced list ran wider than our forecast. 33 of our 36 ADD calls and 14 of 25 DELETE calls were announced.</li>
<li>Current ADDs rose into the announcement and DELETEs fell. Historically, ADD-NEWs outperformed ADD-REJOINs over the bridge, while DELETEs fell further after announcement.</li>
</ul>


The September 2026 HSCI review adds 53 names to southbound Connect, 49 new and 4 returning, and removes 15, all effective 7 Sep 2026.
The announced list ran wider than our forecast. 33 of our 36 ADD calls and 14 of 25 DELETE calls were announced.
Current ADDs rose into the announcement and DELETEs fell. Historically, ADD-NEWs outperformed ADD-REJOINs over the bridge, while DELETEs fell further after announcement.


HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

<ul>
<li>We screen our HSCI September 2026 review candidates for southbound Connect action, with 36 Connect ADDs and 25 DELETEs.</li>
<li>ADD candidates split into 31 ADD-NEW and 5 ADD-REJOIN, with one WVR name deferred and seven A+H names already in Connect.</li>
<li>DELETE candidates are 23 MV cases and 2 velocity cases, after one A+H name is exempt from Connect deletion.</li>
</ul>


We screen our HSCI September 2026 review candidates for southbound Connect action, with 36 Connect ADDs and 25 DELETEs.
ADD candidates split into 31 ADD-NEW and 5 ADD-REJOIN, with one WVR name deferred and seven A+H names already in Connect.
DELETE candidates are 23 MV cases and 2 velocity cases, after one A+H name is exempt from Connect deletion.


HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Inclusion Forecast and Positioning

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>We continue to expect five index changes for September 2026 and we currently estimate one-way flows ~US$153mn.</li>
<li>The index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 21st August 2026.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
We continue to expect five index changes for September 2026 and we currently estimate one-way flows ~US$153mn.
The index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 21st August 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Sep26: Announcement in Two Weeks; 5 Changes Likely

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) / Index Rebalance

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) (2476 HK)

<ul>
<li>There could be 55 potential inclusions and 14 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


There could be 55 potential inclusions and 14 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2026): Adds Outnumber Deletes as IPOs Dominate

China

Manycore Tech is a provider of spatial intelligence services, developing technologies for spatial data, tools, and models. Its platforms, including Kujiale and Coohom, support applications such as spatial design, 3D content creation, digital twins, and AI training. The company is headquartered in Hangzhou, China, and was founded in 2011.

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Manycore Tech (68 HK)

Hang Seng Indexes: US$3.2bn of Flows Post Capping + Stock Connect Changes (Sep 2026)

The Sep rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII indices will use 1 Sep closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four indices...

Brian Freitas

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

HSIL announced the September review result on 21 Aug 2026 after market close. We forecast 53 southbound Connect ADDs and 15 DELETEs. We review the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Inclusion Forecast and Positioning

We expect 36 southbound Connect ADDs, 31 new and 5 returning, and 25 DELETEs from the current Connect list at the HSCI September review, effective...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Sep26: Announcement in Two Weeks; 5 Changes Likely

On average, the expected ADDs have sharply underperformed the expected DELs in the last 1 month. This has been the case with many index rebal...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2026): Adds Outnumber Deletes as IPOs Dominate

There could be 80 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 70 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

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