External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect our consumer coverage to report revenue growth in mid-single-digits (6% yoy), driven by volume growth</li><li>At an aggregate level, we expect revenue/EBITDA/net income growth of 6/4/2% respectively in 2QFY25.</li><li>Consumer staples Our ground checks suggest that the demand environment for FMCG has not seen any meaningful improvement owing to (1) subdued macro, (2) hygiene inventory correction undertaken by a few companies to improve the health of the system, (3) adverse weather conditions impacting consumption of cold beverages, (4) largest MT player undertaking significant inventory optimisation measures, which has reduced offtake from FMCG companies, (5) no meaningful improvement in liquidity situation, as funds which were expected to get released back into the system (post elections) are yet to come back, (6) market share gains via quick commerce from traditional channels, where D2C has a better edge in the QC channel.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect our consumer coverage to report revenue growth in mid-single-digits (6% yoy), driven by volume growthAt an aggregate level, we expect revenue/EBITDA/net income growth of 6/4/2% respectively in 2QFY25.Consumer staples Our ground checks suggest that the demand environment for FMCG has not seen any meaningful improvement owing to (1) subdued macro, (2) hygiene inventory correction undertaken by a few companies to improve the health of the system, (3) adverse weather conditions impacting consumption of cold beverages, (4) largest MT player undertaking significant inventory optimisation measures, which has reduced offtake from FMCG companies, (5) no meaningful improvement in liquidity situation, as funds which were expected to get released back into the system (post elections) are yet to come back, (6) market share gains via quick commerce from traditional channels, where D2C has a better edge in the QC channel.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer (Q2FY25 Results Preview): One more soft quarter but outlook is improving

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index</a>, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF</a> rebalance at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest inflows are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-heavy-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:460:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Heavy Electricals</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-natural-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3456:1" rel="noopener">Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-aeronautics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26747:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Aeronautics</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation</a>.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, NSE Nifty Bank Index, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the CPSE ETF rebalance at the close tomorrow.
The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.
Stocks with the largest inflows are Trent, Bharat Electronics, Canara Bank, Bharat Heavy Electricals, Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp, Coal India, Hindustan Aeronautics and InterGlobe Aviation.


NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We recently engaged with Marico's management and conducted comprehensive channel checks across India to assess underlying demand trends</li><li>Based on these findings, we maintain our high-conviction BUY rating within the staples sector, with a target price of INR 775 (50x Dec-26 EPS, reflecting a 20% premium to the 5-year average P/E)</li><li>We believe the worst is behind us, with factors such as muted volume growth, pricing corrections, challenges in the new business segment, and temporary currency headwinds</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We recently engaged with Marico's management and conducted comprehensive channel checks across India to assess underlying demand trendsBased on these findings, we maintain our high-conviction BUY rating within the staples sector, with a target price of INR 775 (50x Dec-26 EPS, reflecting a 20% premium to the 5-year average P/E)We believe the worst is behind us, with factors such as muted volume growth, pricing corrections, challenges in the new business segment, and temporary currency headwindsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Marico: On an Improving Trajectory. Maintain BUY

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The September 2024 Rebalance results for the NIFTY broad market Indices were announced after the close on Friday 23rd August 2024.</li>
<li>There will be two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 during the September 2024 index rebal event. All of these changes were as predicted. </li>
<li>All NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 changes will also be reflected in the NIFTY Next 50 index which could see US$647mn one-way capping flows.</li>
</ul>


The September 2024 Rebalance results for the NIFTY broad market Indices were announced after the close on Friday 23rd August 2024.
There will be two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 during the September 2024 index rebal event. All of these changes were as predicted. 
All NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 changes will also be reflected in the NIFTY Next 50 index which could see US$647mn one-way capping flows.


Quiddity NIFTY Sep 24 Rebal: US$647mn One-Way Capping for NIFTY Next 50; All Changes Were Predicted

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Sharekhan

Sharekhan

Sharekhan is India's leading broking house providing services from easy online trading, research to wide array of financial products. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Sharekhan's research report on Marico Management expects revenue growth to improve to double digits in H2FY2025 with volume growth in the improving trajectory and international business expected to perform despite uncertainties in key markets.</li><li>Share of foods and premium personal care portfolio to domestic business revenues will rise to 25% by FY2027 from 20% in FY2024 with an over 20% CAGR growth in both the businesses.</li><li>Consolidated OPM to remain flat in FY2025. Management expects margins to inch up gradually over the next five years, leveraging on premiumisation of the portfolio.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sharekhan's research report on Marico Management expects revenue growth to improve to double digits in H2FY2025 with volume growth in the improving trajectory and international business expected to perform despite uncertainties in key markets.Share of foods and premium personal care portfolio to domestic business revenues will rise to 25% by FY2027 from 20% in FY2024 with an over 20% CAGR growth in both the businesses.Consolidated OPM to remain flat in FY2025. Management expects margins to inch up gradually over the next five years, leveraging on premiumisation of the portfolio.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Marico Ltd - Striving for Consistent Earnings Growth

India

Marico Limited manufactures consumer products and services in the beauty and wellness space. The Company is known for its presence in the following categories: Coconut Oil, Hair Oils, Anti-lice Treatment, Premium Refined Edible Oils and Fabric Care. Marico Limited is present in the Skin Care Services segment through Kaya Skin Clinics.

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Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)

Consumer (Q2FY25 Results Preview): One more soft quarter but outlook is improving

We expect our consumer coverage to report revenue growth in mid-single-digits (6% yoy), driven by volume growth. At an aggregate level, we expect...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

The next rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close on 27 Sep. The round-trip trade is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Marico: On an Improving Trajectory. Maintain BUY

We recently engaged with Marico's management and conducted comprehensive channel checks across India to assess underlying demand trends

HDFC Securities

Quiddity NIFTY Sep 24 Rebal: US$647mn One-Way Capping for NIFTY Next 50; All Changes Were Predicted

The NIFTY50/NIFTY Next 50 Inclusion/Exclusion events will take place at the close of 27th September 2024. The final capping flows will be decided...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Marico Ltd - Striving for Consistent Earnings Growth

Consolidated OPM to remain flat in FY2025. Management expects margins to inch up gradually over the next five years, leveraging on premiumisation...

Sharekhan

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