Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a short-term support level to watch on the S&amp;P 500; if 3076 holds it would be further confirmation that the bulls are still in charge. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology: Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductor Equip., Large/Mid-Cap, Software, Data Analysis &amp; Solutions, Software, E-Commerce.

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a short-term support level to watch on the S&amp;P 500; if 3076 holds it would be further confirmation that the bulls are still in charge. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology: Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductor Equip., Large/Mid-Cap, Software, Data Analysis &amp; Solutions, Software, E-Commerce.

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 A Coiled Spring

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight developments that are inconsistent with a major bottom in equities that suggests the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods.  In fact, during today's action, the 2760 support level on the S&amp;P 500 briefly held but ultimately gave way. With the SPX holding below 2760 today, we are looking for downside targets of 2650 first, and then potentially 2470 if that fails to hold.

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight developments that are inconsistent with a major bottom in equities that suggests the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods.  In fact, during today's action, the 2760 support level on the S&amp;P 500 briefly held but ultimately gave way. With the SPX holding below 2760 today, we are looking for downside targets of 2650 first, and then potentially 2470 if that fails to hold.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Several Indicators Suggest a Pullback Likely

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Himax Technologies Inc Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Himax's CPO entry is a manufacturing story: it supplies the precision optics — lenses, prisms, V-grooves — inside the fiber array unit, built on 15 years of nanoimprint wafer-level optics.</li>
<li>Third-Party research (Hunterbrook, Ming-Chi Kuo) ties those optics to TSMC's COUPE engine behind NVIDIA's CPO switches, but Himax, TSMC, and NVIDIA have not confirmed it.</li>
<li>Gen 1 (1.6/3.2 Tbps) ships in small quantities from 2H26 and Gen 2 (6.4 Tbps) nears validation; lower volume, higher value than displays, funded by automotive.</li>
</ul>


Himax's CPO entry is a manufacturing story: it supplies the precision optics — lenses, prisms, V-grooves — inside the fiber array unit, built on 15 years of nanoimprint wafer-level optics.
Third-Party research (Hunterbrook, Ming-Chi Kuo) ties those optics to TSMC's COUPE engine behind NVIDIA's CPO switches, but Himax, TSMC, and NVIDIA have not confirmed it.
Gen 1 (1.6/3.2 Tbps) ships in small quantities from 2H26 and Gen 2 (6.4 Tbps) nears validation; lower volume, higher value than displays, funded by automotive.


TechChain Insights Q&A: Himax's Silicon Photonics Powering Nvidia's Next Generation Chips

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this report.  In addition, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary and Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Large-Cap, Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductors, Small-Cap, Software, Design Solutions.

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this report.  In addition, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary and Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Large-Cap, Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductors, Small-Cap, Software, Design Solutions.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Taiwan and US chips rebounded from the prior week's record selloff, but unevenly: semiconductor-equipment makers led while the server assemblers that led the prior leg fell.</li>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)</a>'s 3nm and packaging lines full, Google moved to split its next AI chips across Intel, Samsung<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener"></a>, Marvell, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadcom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1" rel="noopener"></a>Broadcom, and Mediatek.</li>
<li>Memory stayed tight: SK Hynix will triple capacity by 2034, NVIDIA trimmed its Vera Rubin specs to fit supply, and Taiwan's listed firms posted a record revenure growth in May.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan and US chips rebounded from the prior week's record selloff, but unevenly: semiconductor-equipment makers led while the server assemblers that led the prior leg fell.
With TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)'s 3nm and packaging lines full, Google moved to split its next AI chips across Intel, Samsung, Marvell, Broadcom, and Mediatek.
Memory stayed tight: SK Hynix will triple capacity by 2034, NVIDIA trimmed its Vera Rubin specs to fit supply, and Taiwan's listed firms posted a record revenure growth in May.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Chips Rebound After Record Selloff; Rotation Out of Servers Into Semi Equipment

United States

Marvell Technology, Inc. develops and produces semiconductors and related technology. The Company offers security and networking platform, secure data processing, networking, and storage solutions. Marvell Technology serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Marvell Technology (MRVL US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 A Coiled Spring

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Several Indicators Suggest a Pullback Likely

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight...

Vermilion Research

TechChain Insights Q&A: Himax's Silicon Photonics Powering Nvidia's Next Generation Chips

Himax's precision optics play a key role in NVIDIA's CPO switches, with Gen 1 shipping soon and Gen 2 in validation, funded by automotive industry.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Chips Rebound After Record Selloff; Rotation Out of Servers Into Semi Equipment

Taiwan and US chips rebounded unevenly, with semiconductor-equipment makers leading while server assemblers fell. TSMC's full capacity led Google...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 A Coiled Spring

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Several Indicators Suggest a Pullback Likely

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight...

Vermilion Research

TechChain Insights Q&A: Himax's Silicon Photonics Powering Nvidia's Next Generation Chips

​Himax's precision optics play a key role in NVIDIA's CPO switches, with Gen 1 shipping soon and Gen 2 in validation, funded by automotive industry.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Chips Rebound After Record Selloff; Rotation Out of Servers Into Semi Equipment

​Taiwan and US chips rebounded unevenly, with semiconductor-equipment makers leading while server assemblers fell. TSMC's full capacity led Google...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Himax's precision optics play a key role in NVIDIA's CPO switches, with Gen 1 shipping soon and Gen 2 in validation, funded by automotive industry.

Taiwan and US chips rebounded unevenly, with semiconductor-equipment makers leading while server assemblers fell. TSMC's full capacity led Google...