IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Haitong International Securities Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-international-securities-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13153:1" rel="noopener">Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a>, the controlling shareholder, at HK$1.52, a 114.1% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The pre-condition related to regulatory approvals are a formality as Haitong Securities’ largest shareholder is the Shanghai SASAC. The offer price is final.</li>
<li>The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and headcount test. The highest HKEx takeover premium in a year facilitates approval.  </li>
</ul>



Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK) announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK), the controlling shareholder, at HK$1.52, a 114.1% premium to the undisturbed price.
The pre-condition related to regulatory approvals are a formality as Haitong Securities’ largest shareholder is the Shanghai SASAC. The offer price is final.
The key conditions are approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and headcount test. The highest HKEx takeover premium in a year facilitates approval.  


Haitong International (665 HK): Haitong Securities’ Pre-Conditional Privatisation Offer at HK$1.52

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mason-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17664:1" rel="noopener">Mason Group Holdings (273 HK)</a>'s scheme document is out, with the vote scheduled for 3 October. The IFA considers Red Emerald Capital’s HK$0.0338 per share offer fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The key conditions are SFC approval and the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). Peer de-rating has helped the attractiveness of the offer.</li>
<li>Shareholders with blocking stakes have provided irrevocables or will accept due to the attractive ROI. At the last close and for the 21 November payment, the gross/annualised spread is 9.0%/52.1%.</li>
</ul>



Mason Group Holdings (273 HK)'s scheme document is out, with the vote scheduled for 3 October. The IFA considers Red Emerald Capital’s HK$0.0338 per share offer fair and reasonable. 
The key conditions are SFC approval and the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). Peer de-rating has helped the attractiveness of the offer.
Shareholders with blocking stakes have provided irrevocables or will accept due to the attractive ROI. At the last close and for the 21 November payment, the gross/annualised spread is 9.0%/52.1%.


Mason Group (273 HK): A Wide Spread with the Scheme Vote on 3 October

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keiyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14415:1" rel="noopener">Keiyo Co Ltd (8168 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symbio-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20292:1" rel="noopener">Symbio Holdings (SYM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imax-china-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:888:1" rel="noopener">IMAX China Holding (1970 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yaizu-suisankagaku-industry" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20044:1" rel="noopener">Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-healthcare-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23641:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seiko-pmc-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13752:1" rel="noopener">Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Keiyo Co Ltd (8168 JP), 111 Inc (YI US), Eoflow (294090 KS), Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), IMAX China Holding (1970 HK), JSR Corp (4185 JP). 
Lowest spreads  Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP), Healius (HLS AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS), Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (02 Oct) - NWS, Mason, IMAX China, Keiyo, System Info, Toyo, Symbio, Allkem

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-international-securities-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13153:1" rel="noopener">Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)</a> entered a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers on 27 September. </li>
<li>Bloomberg reported that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a>, the controlling shareholder, plans to buy the remainder of Haitong International to stem its losses.</li>
<li>Privatisation through a Bermuda scheme involves the headcount test, so a decent premium is required – privatisation precedents suggest HK$1.08-1.13 per share offer (52%-59% premium to last close). </li>
</ul>



Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK) entered a trading halt pending the release of an announcement under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers on 27 September. 
Bloomberg reported that Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK), the controlling shareholder, plans to buy the remainder of Haitong International to stem its losses.
Privatisation through a Bermuda scheme involves the headcount test, so a decent premium is required – privatisation precedents suggest HK$1.08-1.13 per share offer (52%-59% premium to last close). 


Haitong International (665 HK): Haitong Securities Ponders an Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>For the month of September 2023, 8 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$2bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was 37%. The average YTD is 35%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of September 2023, 8 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$2bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was 37%. The average YTD is 35%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sept 2023: JMDC, Pact, Takisawa, Golden Eagle Energy, Dic Corp

Hong Kong

Mason Group Holdings Limited is a health and wealth solutions conglomerate. The Company provides financial services in Hong Kong, including financial brokerage, leveraged and acquisition financing, asset and wealth management and mortgages business. Mason Group Holdings provides health solutions through its healthcare business, mother-infant-child business and dairy products business.

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Mason Group Holdings (273 HK)

Haitong International (665 HK): Haitong Securities’ Pre-Conditional Privatisation Offer at HK$1.52

The offer price is final. The pre-condition is a formality. The 114.1% premium to the undisturbed price is the highest HKEx takeover premium in a...

Arun George

Mason Group (273 HK): A Wide Spread with the Scheme Vote on 3 October

Mason's scheme comfortably clears the vote. Minority participation rate was high at 88.84% with only 0.34% of disinterested shareholders voting...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (02 Oct) - NWS, Mason, IMAX China, Keiyo, System Info, Toyo, Symbio, Allkem

This week, the highest gross spreads are Keiyo (58.3%), 111 (40.8%), Eoflow (22.4%), Symbio (19.3%), IMAX China (19.0%), JSR (8.3%), Boustead...

Arun George

Haitong International (665 HK): Haitong Securities Ponders an Offer

Privatisation through a Bermuda scheme involves the headcount test, so a decent premium is required – privatisation precedents suggest HK$1.08-1.13...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sept 2023: JMDC, Pact, Takisawa, Golden Eagle Energy, Dic Corp

For the month of September, 8 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$2bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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