Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

NASDAQ Composite Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since January 2023 we've anticipated for 4165-4200 to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500 for 2023, but that a rally to 4300-4325 is also possible; this remains our view.</li>
<li>In our 5/2/23 Compass we discussed how the Nasdaq Composite was testing 12,300 resistance, and that a breakout and reach to 13,180 is possible.</li>
<li>The Nasdaq Composite hit 13,154 Tuesday as Technology (XLK), and to a lesser extent Communications (XLC), are seemingly in a blowoff stage, while all other Sectors are neutral to bearish.</li>
</ul>


Since January 2023 we've anticipated for 4165-4200 to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500 for 2023, but that a rally to 4300-4325 is also possible; this remains our view.
In our 5/2/23 Compass we discussed how the Nasdaq Composite was testing 12,300 resistance, and that a breakout and reach to 13,180 is possible.
The Nasdaq Composite hit 13,154 Tuesday as Technology (XLK), and to a lesser extent Communications (XLC), are seemingly in a blowoff stage, while all other Sectors are neutral to bearish.


Downgrading Discretionary & Health Care to Market Weight, Staples & Utilities to Underweight

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>After briefly dipping down to around 4.25%, last week saw a new cycle high for the closely followed 2 year Treasury yield breaking through the 4.8% level and ending the week at 4.814%.</li><li>This came off the back of continued unfavorably strong inflation and spending data from economic reports issued over the past few weeks (Core PCE, retail sales, GDP, PPI, etc.).</li><li>With the earnings yield on the S&amp;P 500 is 4.68%, the equity risk premium on the S&amp;P 500 (estimated earnings yield less 10yr treasury yield) is now the lowest since late 2007.</li></ul>

After briefly dipping down to around 4.25%, last week saw a new cycle high for the closely followed 2 year Treasury yield breaking through the 4.8% level and ending the week at 4.814%.This came off the back of continued unfavorably strong inflation and spending data from economic reports issued over the past few weeks (Core PCE, retail sales, GDP, PPI, etc.).With the earnings yield on the S&amp;P 500 is 4.68%, the equity risk premium on the S&amp;P 500 (estimated earnings yield less 10yr treasury yield) is now the lowest since late 2007.

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marvell-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15837:1" rel="noopener">Marvell Technology (MRVL US)</a> is the main candidate for addition from TMI but has a reduced probability of inclusion due to sector balance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flex-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36680:1" rel="noopener">Flex (FLEX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technipfmc-plc-2f8326ad-9188-44ca-bada-c9b9144835fd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13457:1" rel="noopener">TechnipFMC (FTI US)</a> are in MidCap and the top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flex-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36680:1" rel="noopener">Flex (FLEX US)</a> is projected for double inclusion to S&amp;P500 and Nasdaq100 on 19 June.</li>
</ul>



Marvell Technology (MRVL US) is the main candidate for addition from TMI but has a reduced probability of inclusion due to sector balance.

Flex (FLEX US) and TechnipFMC (FTI US) are in MidCap and the top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores.

Flex (FLEX US) is projected for double inclusion to S&amp;P500 and Nasdaq100 on 19 June.


S&P500 June 2026 Forecast: FLEX, FTI & MTZ Leading the Pack

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage, Quiddity Advisors

Anjana Amarasuriya

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest (mostly profitable) US-listed names and is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>We expect 2 changes during the June 2026 index rebal event, with a possible intra-review ADD before the regular rebalance announcement.</li>
<li>SP DJI has launched a public consultation on the Treatment of MegaCap Companies. No impact expected until next year, if adopted.</li>
</ul>


The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest (mostly profitable) US-listed names and is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
We expect 2 changes during the June 2026 index rebal event, with a possible intra-review ADD before the regular rebalance announcement.
SP DJI has launched a public consultation on the Treatment of MegaCap Companies. No impact expected until next year, if adopted.


Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Jun26 Rebal: Base Date Is Only Two Weeks Away

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloom-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34062:1" rel="noopener">Bloom Energy (BE US)</a> became eligible for S&amp;P500 inclusion following positive Q1 earnings released on 28 April 2026.</li>
<li>The company's market cap and other eligibility metrics are estimated to place it among the top 5 addition candidates for S&amp;P500 with a chance of inclusion in June 2026.</li>
<li>Top forecasted additions for the June 2026 review are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flex-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36680:1" rel="noopener">Flex (FLEX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technipfmc-plc-2f8326ad-9188-44ca-bada-c9b9144835fd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13457:1" rel="noopener">TechnipFMC (FTI US)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Bloom Energy (BE US) became eligible for S&amp;P500 inclusion following positive Q1 earnings released on 28 April 2026.
The company's market cap and other eligibility metrics are estimated to place it among the top 5 addition candidates for S&amp;P500 with a chance of inclusion in June 2026.
Top forecasted additions for the June 2026 review are Flex (FLEX US) and TechnipFMC (FTI US).


Bloom Energy (BE US): Blooming Earnings Unlock S&P500 Eligibility

United States

MasTec, Inc. is a specialty contractor operating across a range of industries. The Company activities are the building, installation, maintenance, and upgrade of utility and communications infrastructure, including electrical utility transmission and distribution, wind farms, solar farms, renewable energy and natural gas infrastructure, wireless, and wireline.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mastec Inc (MTZ US)

Downgrading Discretionary & Health Care to Market Weight, Staples & Utilities to Underweight

5/2/23 we discussed how $Nasdaq Comp was testing 12,300 resistance, and that a breakout and reach to 13,180 was possible. It hit 13,154 Tuesday as...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 2/27

After briefly dipping down to around 4.25%, last week saw a new cycle high for the closely followed 2 year Treasury yield breaking through the 4.8%...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

S&P500 June 2026 Forecast: FLEX, FTI & MTZ Leading the Pack

MRVL faces reduced probability due to sector balance; FLEX and FTI are top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores, with FLEX...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Jun26 Rebal: Base Date Is Only Two Weeks Away

One intra-review SP 500 ADD slot in play ahead of the June 2026 rebalance. 2 regular ADDs and 2 DELs expected. Meanwhile, SP DJI's MegaCap...

Anjana Amarasuriya

Bloom Energy (BE US): Blooming Earnings Unlock S&P500 Eligibility

Bloom Energy became a strong candidate for S&P500 inclusion after positive Q1 earnings and with the EA acquisition hence replacement expected by...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Downgrading Discretionary & Health Care to Market Weight, Staples & Utilities to Underweight

5/2/23 we discussed how $Nasdaq Comp was testing 12,300 resistance, and that a breakout and reach to 13,180 was possible. It hit 13,154 Tuesday as...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 2/27

After briefly dipping down to around 4.25%, last week saw a new cycle high for the closely followed 2 year Treasury yield breaking through the 4.8%...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

S&P500 June 2026 Forecast: FLEX, FTI & MTZ Leading the Pack

​MRVL faces reduced probability due to sector balance; FLEX and FTI are top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores, with FLEX...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Jun26 Rebal: Base Date Is Only Two Weeks Away

One intra-review SP 500 ADD slot in play ahead of the June 2026 rebalance. 2 regular ADDs and 2 DELs expected. Meanwhile, SP DJI's MegaCap...

Anjana Amarasuriya

Bloom Energy (BE US): Blooming Earnings Unlock S&P500 Eligibility

Bloom Energy became a strong candidate for S&P500 inclusion after positive Q1 earnings and with the EA acquisition hence replacement expected by...

Dimitris Ioannidis

MRVL faces reduced probability due to sector balance; FLEX and FTI are top candidates for addition based on high eligibility scores, with FLEX...