Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

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<li>
Trump stepped back from direct confrontation with China: In his phone call with Chinese President Xi, Trump acceded to China’s request to honour the longstanding “One China” policy, which he had appeared to question in his tweets. But the potential downside risks in the bilateral relationship were made clear by reports of an “unsafe” interaction between a Chinese surveillance plane and a US Navy P-3C Orion surveillance aircraft on the same day.</li>
<li>
North Korean missile test not a huge deal: The test…</li>
</ul>



Trump stepped back from direct confrontation with China: In his phone call with Chinese President Xi, Trump acceded to China’s request to honour the longstanding “One China” policy, which he had appeared to question in his tweets. But the potential downside risks in the bilateral relationship were made clear by reports of an “unsafe” interaction between a Chinese surveillance plane and a US Navy P-3C Orion surveillance aircraft on the same day.

North Korean missile test not a huge deal: The test…


Geopolitics: Trump Refines Approach to China

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; i Holdings (3382 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kikkoman-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11720:1" rel="noopener">Kikkoman (2801 JP)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Going long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; i Holdings (3382 JP)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kikkoman-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11720:1" rel="noopener">Kikkoman (2801 JP)</a> targets a 7% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Seven &amp; i Holdings (3382 JP) vs. Kikkoman (2801 JP) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlight: Going long Seven &amp; i Holdings (3382 JP) and short Kikkoman (2801 JP) targets a 7% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Seven & I (3382 JP) Vs Kikkoman (2801 JP): Stat Arb Signal with Flavour in Japanese Consumer Staples

Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Jason Tan

Economist

<ul><li>US President Donald Trump has officially withdrawn US from the TPP agreement. This wave of American isolationism is in stark contrast to the openness projected by China in recent weeks; China is poised to become increasingly influential in Asia.</li><li>While existing TPP members can forge ahead and implement some sort of a TPP-lite deal without the US, countries may not be willing to open up politically sensitive sectors without commensurate economic returns that is access to the large US market.</li><li>Export-oriented Asian economies could find it pragmatic and beneficial to establish closer economic ties with China and accept closer geostrategic relations too. Already, talks of accelerating the RCEP and even inviting China to participate in the TPP have begun.</li></ul>

US President Donald Trump has officially withdrawn US from the TPP agreement. This wave of American isolationism is in stark contrast to the openness projected by China in recent weeks; China is poised to become increasingly influential in Asia.While existing TPP members can forge ahead and implement some sort of a TPP-lite deal without the US, countries may not be willing to open up politically sensitive sectors without commensurate economic returns that is access to the large US market.Export-oriented Asian economies could find it pragmatic and beneficial to establish closer economic ties with China and accept closer geostrategic relations too. Already, talks of accelerating the RCEP and even inviting China to participate in the TPP have begun.

Asian Economic Integration Headed in a New Direction

<ul><li>A recovery in global demand led by the G3 advanced economies have fed into export upturns in trade-focused East Asian economies. Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong have seen the renewed vigour in global trade leading to more robust growth.</li><li>Furthermore, other Asian countries, such as those in Southeast Asia, will also see economic expansion being underpinned by an export upswing, chiefly in electronics and other tech components.</li></ul>

A recovery in global demand led by the G3 advanced economies have fed into export upturns in trade-focused East Asian economies. Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong have seen the renewed vigour in global trade leading to more robust growth.Furthermore, other Asian countries, such as those in Southeast Asia, will also see economic expansion being underpinned by an export upswing, chiefly in electronics and other tech components.

Trade Intensity Leading to Asian Expansion

Fintech, Real-time Big-Data Analytics Provider, Nowcast, Inc.

Ryota Hayashi

Fintech, Real-time Big-Data Analytics Provider

Nowcast, Inc.

We at Nowcast develop "Big-Data Economic Analytics Platforms".  We aim to revolutionize the financial markets by providing "accurate" and "real-time" analytics based on economic indicators and corporate activity data procured worldwide. 

Our Main Services

(1) Real-time Analytics
With our Nikkei CPI Now Index at our core, we provide real time analytics of global economic indicators such as POS Data. By utilizing Big-Data technology, we also provide real-time analytics of micro level data such as corporate earnings. 

(2) Big-Data Application Consulting
We too provide business consultation and conduct joint research on initiatives that strive to use data, such as from the operation capacity of construction machinery to number of passengers on railroad trains, as economic indicators. We provide continuous support to Data Scientists specialized in economics in their proposal stage, product development and up till its business development. 

(3) Monetary Policy Insights
With the proactive involvement of and support from from academicians in macroeconomics & key figures in the financial industry, we produce reports, conduct seminars and meetings that discuss about the forecast of financial markets, provide intellectual suggestions on asset allocation, etc. 

<ul class="ember-tether-target ember-tether-element-attached-top ember-tether-element-attached-left ember-tether-target-attached-top ember-tether-target-attached-right"><li>The BOJ core core CPI will rise from the outset of the new year</li><li>The Nikkei CPINow T index (for December 2016) increased by 0.07%</li><li>The Nikkei CPINow S index (for January 2017) increased by 0.40%</li><li>This January 2017 Review is a part of the monthly report series which looks into analyzing the current developments in Japan's economy based on The Nikkei CPINow S index &amp; T index.</li></ul>

The BOJ core core CPI will rise from the outset of the new yearThe Nikkei CPINow T index (for December 2016) increased by 0.07%The Nikkei CPINow S index (for January 2017) increased by 0.40%This January 2017 Review is a part of the monthly report series which looks into analyzing the current developments in Japan's economy based on The Nikkei CPINow S index &amp; T index.

January 2017 Review of Current Developments in Japan's Economy

Japan

Maxis Nikkei 225 Index Fund is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The Fund will seek daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that track the performance of the Nikkei 225 Index.

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Maxis Nikkei 225 Index Fund (NKY US)

Geopolitics: Trump Refines Approach to China

Trump stepped back from direct confrontation with China: In his phone call with Chinese President Xi, Trump acceded to China’s request to honour...

Manu Bhaskaran

Seven & I (3382 JP) Vs Kikkoman (2801 JP): Stat Arb Signal with Flavour in Japanese Consumer Staples

A potential relative value/pair trade opportunity targeting 7% return, based on statistical analysis. Ideal for quant traders targeting mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Asian Economic Integration Headed in a New Direction

US President Donald Trump has officially withdrawn US from the TPP agreement. This wave of American isolationism is in stark contrast to the...

Jason Tan

Trade Intensity Leading to Asian Expansion

A recovery in global demand led by the G3 advanced economies have fed into export upturns in trade-focused East Asian economies. Japan, South...

Jason Tan

January 2017 Review of Current Developments in Japan's Economy

The BOJ core core CPI will rise from the outset of the new year The Nikkei CPINow T index (for December 2016) increased by 0.07% The Nikkei...

Nowcast, Inc.

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Geopolitics: Trump Refines Approach to China

Trump stepped back from direct confrontation with China: In his phone call with Chinese President Xi, Trump acceded to China’s request to honour...

Manu Bhaskaran

Seven & I (3382 JP) Vs Kikkoman (2801 JP): Stat Arb Signal with Flavour in Japanese Consumer Staples

​A potential relative value/pair trade opportunity targeting 7% return, based on statistical analysis. Ideal for quant traders targeting mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Asian Economic Integration Headed in a New Direction

US President Donald Trump has officially withdrawn US from the TPP agreement. This wave of American isolationism is in stark contrast to the...

Jason Tan

Trade Intensity Leading to Asian Expansion

A recovery in global demand led by the G3 advanced economies have fed into export upturns in trade-focused East Asian economies. Japan, South...

Jason Tan

January 2017 Review of Current Developments in Japan's Economy

The BOJ core core CPI will rise from the outset of the new year The Nikkei CPINow T index (for December 2016) increased by 0.07% The Nikkei...

Nowcast, Inc.

A potential relative value/pair trade opportunity targeting 7% return, based on statistical analysis. Ideal for quant traders targeting mean...