Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Guotai Junan International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After broker/investment bank <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13438:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan (1788 HK)</a> (GJI) was suspended last month pursuant to the Takeover's Code, an Offer from its state-backed parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-haitong-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22740:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Haitong (601211 CH)</a> (GHS) was expected.</li>
<li>That unfolded last Friday evening (7th July), with GHS pitching a pre-conditional (SASAC/NDRC) Scheme at HK$3/share, a 44.2% premium to last close, bang in-line with my estimate. Terms are final. 
</li>
<li>The pre-con long stop date is the 31st  October. That's uncommonly quick. This could (should) be wrapped up before year-end. Plus there are some quirky Scheme vote-blocking %s.</li>
</ul>


After broker/investment bank Guotai Junan (1788 HK) (GJI) was suspended last month pursuant to the Takeover's Code, an Offer from its state-backed parent Guotai Haitong (601211 CH) (GHS) was expected.
That unfolded last Friday evening (7th July), with GHS pitching a pre-conditional (SASAC/NDRC) Scheme at HK$3/share, a 44.2% premium to last close, bang in-line with my estimate. Terms are final. 

The pre-con long stop date is the 31st  October. That's uncommonly quick. This could (should) be wrapped up before year-end. Plus there are some quirky Scheme vote-blocking %s.


Guotai Junan (1788 HK): Get Involved Here

<ul>
<li>Back on the 13th July 2026, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ooh-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8662:1" rel="noopener">oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)</a>, Australia's No.1 player in outdoor advertising, announced three suitors had reconfirmed their NBIOs, and confirmatory due diligence was afforded.</li>
<li>This morning (10th August), OML announced it had entered into an Offer, by way of a Scheme, with I-Squared, at A$1.70/share, in cash, less any dividends.</li>
<li>That's a 100% premium to undisturbed. Optically/valuation-wise, it looks fair. Reportedly, neither Pacific Equity Partners nor Oaktree lodged final bids last Friday. That may be telling. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 13th July 2026, oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU), Australia's No.1 player in outdoor advertising, announced three suitors had reconfirmed their NBIOs, and confirmatory due diligence was afforded.
This morning (10th August), OML announced it had entered into an Offer, by way of a Scheme, with I-Squared, at A$1.70/share, in cash, less any dividends.
That's a 100% premium to undisturbed. Optically/valuation-wise, it looks fair. Reportedly, neither Pacific Equity Partners nor Oaktree lodged final bids last Friday. That may be telling. 


OOh!Media (OML AU): I-Squared's A$1.70/Share Offer Is Fair. More So After PEP & Oaktree Walked

Betmakers Technology Group  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This morning (10th August), gambling tech play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betmakers-technology-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25489:1" rel="noopener">BetMakers (BET AU)</a><a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260810/pdf/072l4yj28wyv8t.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had entered into an offer, by way of a Scheme, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tabcorp-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6837:1" rel="noopener">Tabcorp (TAH AU)</a>, at A$0.24/share, in cash.</li>
<li>That's a 45.5% premium to undisturbed. BetMakers' shareholders can also elect scrip (25%/50%/75%/100%) with the balance in cash. Scrip is capped. The default option is cash.</li>
<li>BetMakers' board, holding ~10% of shares out, unanimously support terms. Completion targeted 3Q27 (Jan-Mar' 27). ACCC approval required. That's the wild card.</li>
</ul>


This morning (10th August), gambling tech play BetMakers (BET AU)announced it had entered into an offer, by way of a Scheme, with Tabcorp (TAH AU), at A$0.24/share, in cash.
That's a 45.5% premium to undisturbed. BetMakers' shareholders can also elect scrip (25%/50%/75%/100%) with the balance in cash. Scrip is capped. The default option is cash.
BetMakers' board, holding ~10% of shares out, unanimously support terms. Completion targeted 3Q27 (Jan-Mar' 27). ACCC approval required. That's the wild card.


BetMakers Technology (BET AU) Enters Scheme With Tabcorp (TAH AU)

<ul>
<li>I tally 32  - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Two new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fleetpartners-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:339:1" rel="noopener">FleetPartners Group (FPR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maxnerva-technology-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17502:1" rel="noopener">Maxnerva Technology Services (1037 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golfzon-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16376:1" rel="noopener">Golfzon Holdings (121440 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polyplex-thailand-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6586:1" rel="noopener">Polyplex (Thailand) (PTL TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renew-energy-global-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37038:1" rel="noopener">ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shengmu-organic-milk-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12714:1" rel="noopener">China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 32  - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Two new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: FleetPartners Group (FPR AU) and Maxnerva Technology Services (1037 HK).
Key updates/news also took place on: Steadfast (SDF AU), Golfzon Holdings (121440 KS), Polyplex (Thailand) (PTL TB), ReNew Energy Global (RNW US), and China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: FleetPartners, Maxnerva, Steadfast, Golfzon, Polyplex, ReNew Energy, Shengmu

<ul>
<li>Strategically, range trade <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>. Sell large pops, buy large declines. Big picture this big buyback  doesn't change very much at all on a net basis.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-holdings-corporation-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:517:1" rel="noopener">Legend Holdings (3396 HK)</a>(finally) sees a decent move. The positive profit alert issued no doubt nudge things along nicely. </li>
<li>Post sale to Heidelberg, how much, if any, will the market re-rate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maas-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33520:1" rel="noopener">MAAS Group Holdings (MGH AU)</a> as an infrastructure/ "AI-enabler" rather than a contractor currently?</li>
</ul>


Strategically, range trade Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP). Sell large pops, buy large declines. Big picture this big buyback  doesn't change very much at all on a net basis.

Legend Holdings (3396 HK)(finally) sees a decent move. The positive profit alert issued no doubt nudge things along nicely. 
Post sale to Heidelberg, how much, if any, will the market re-rate MAAS Group Holdings (MGH AU) as an infrastructure/ "AI-enabler" rather than a contractor currently?


Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, Legend Holdings, MAAS, Lynas Corp

Hong Kong

Maxnerva Technology Services is an investment holding company operating in the Industrial Solution, Smart Office, and New Retail business sectors. The company provides smart manufacturing solutions, including software systems, automation equipment, and facility management, as well as smart office equipment and digital retail signage solutions. It was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui East, Hong Kong.

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Maxnerva Technology Services (1037 HK)

Guotai Junan (1788 HK): Get Involved Here

At 5.8%/15.5% gross/annualised spread, I'd be a buyer here. This is a pretty clean deal. The risk this is blocked is low.

David Blennerhassett

BetMakers Technology (BET AU) Enters Scheme With Tabcorp (TAH AU)

If illiquid arbs are your thing, get involved up to A$0.22/share, assuming late-Feb completion. The ACCC will run a ruler over this, but on...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: FleetPartners, Maxnerva, Steadfast, Golfzon, Polyplex, ReNew Energy, Shengmu

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, Legend Holdings, MAAS, Lynas Corp

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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Guotai Junan (1788 HK): Get Involved Here

At 5.8%/15.5% gross/annualised spread, I'd be a buyer here. This is a pretty clean deal. The risk this is blocked is low.

David Blennerhassett

OOh!Media (OML AU): I-Squared's A$1.70/Share Offer Is Fair. More So After PEP & Oaktree Walked

Trading tight at 2.6%/7.6%, gross/annualised, assuming mid-Dec completion. Unless already in and/or can take advantage of the franking credits, I'd...

David Blennerhassett

BetMakers Technology (BET AU) Enters Scheme With Tabcorp (TAH AU)

If illiquid arbs are your thing, get involved up to A$0.22/share, assuming late-Feb completion. The ACCC will run a ruler over this, but on...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: FleetPartners, Maxnerva, Steadfast, Golfzon, Polyplex, ReNew Energy, Shengmu

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, Legend Holdings, MAAS, Lynas Corp

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett