Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again.</li><li>This tends to be positive for banks.</li><li>It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making and selling products for construction.It also supports mortgage lending and collateral values behind loans.</li><li>A benign credit cycle, high provisions and reasonable margins is reason enough to be positive on Thai banks. Additionally is the current construction boom.</li><li><strong>But the warning and focus of this note is that not all banks are created equal. And it may be surprising, that some of Thailand&rsquo;s newest banks are showing trends completely at odds with mainstream banks. </strong></li><li><strong>It pays to differentiate, even in a boom</strong></li></ul>

There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again.This tends to be positive for banks.It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making and selling products for construction.It also supports mortgage lending and collateral values behind loans.A benign credit cycle, high provisions and reasonable margins is reason enough to be positive on Thai banks. Additionally is the current construction boom.But the warning and focus of this note is that not all banks are created equal. And it may be surprising, that some of Thailand&rsquo;s newest banks are showing trends completely at odds with mainstream banks. It pays to differentiate, even in a boom

Thailand: Despite Boom, Small Banks are Dull. Big Banks are Irresistible.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Khazanah is looking to raise up to US$300m via selling 1.5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tenaga-nasional-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:195:1" rel="noopener">Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK)</a>.</li>
<li>Khazanah has sold multiple times before and hence, the selldown is unlikely to come as a surprise.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Khazanah is looking to raise up to US$300m via selling 1.5% of Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK).
Khazanah has sold multiple times before and hence, the selldown is unlikely to come as a surprise.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Tenaga Nasional Placement - Has Sold Before but past Deals Haven’t Done Much

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dxn-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36030:1" rel="noopener">DXN Holdings (DXN MK)</a> was listed on the Bursa Malaysia Exchange on 19th May 2023. Both promoters and Gano Global (KV Asia Capital), will come off lockup soon.</li>
<li>DXN Holdings (DXN) is a global health-oriented and wellness direct selling company.</li>
<li>Demand for the IPO was lukewarm and the shares had a turbulent debut. Aside from its weak momentum, liquidity on the stock is weak as well. </li>
</ul>



DXN Holdings (DXN MK) was listed on the Bursa Malaysia Exchange on 19th May 2023. Both promoters and Gano Global (KV Asia Capital), will come off lockup soon.
DXN Holdings (DXN) is a global health-oriented and wellness direct selling company.
Demand for the IPO was lukewarm and the shares had a turbulent debut. Aside from its weak momentum, liquidity on the stock is weak as well. 


DXN Holdings Lock-Up - PE Investor Could Sell Further Although Liquidity Is Weak

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Japan online retail stock broker, better average daily volume and rising new accounts</li>
<li>Monthly data shows strong July average daily volume after an exceptional June</li>
<li>Granular data on monthly new accounts is strong, now  at +31% in July YoY</li>
</ul>


Japan online retail stock broker, better average daily volume and rising new accounts
Monthly data shows strong July average daily volume after an exceptional June
Granular data on monthly new accounts is strong, now  at +31% in July YoY


Matsui Securities - Rising Average Daily Volume & New Accounts, With Strong July Monthly Figures

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dxn-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36030:1" rel="noopener">DXN Holdings (2080694D MK)</a> raised around US$147m in its Malaysian IPO.</li>
<li>DXN Holdings (DXN) is a global health-oriented and wellness direct selling company.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



DXN Holdings (2080694D MK) raised around US$147m in its Malaysian IPO.
DXN Holdings (DXN) is a global health-oriented and wellness direct selling company.
In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


DXN Holdings IPO Trading - Lukewarm Subscription Rates, Peers Have Corrected Since Last Note

Thailand

Maybank Securities (Thailand) Public Company Limited is a Thailand-based company providing a wide range of investment and securities services to individual and institutional customers. It offers securities brokerage, securities trading, underwriting, investment advisory, corporate finance advisory, derivatives brokerage, and securities borrowing and lending. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Maybank Securities (Thailand) (MST TB)

Thailand: Despite Boom, Small Banks are Dull. Big Banks are Irresistible.

There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again. This tends to be positive for banks. It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making...

Daniel Tabbush

Tenaga Nasional Placement - Has Sold Before but past Deals Haven’t Done Much

Khazanah is looking to raise up to US$300m via selling 1.5% of Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK). In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

DXN Holdings Lock-Up - PE Investor Could Sell Further Although Liquidity Is Weak

DXN Holdings (DXN MK) was listed on the Bursa Malaysia Exchange on 19th May 2023. Both promoters and Gano Global (KV Asia Capital), will come off...

Clarence Chu

Matsui Securities - Rising Average Daily Volume & New Accounts, With Strong July Monthly Figures

Matsui Securities is seeing strong figures in July for new accounts and average daily volume, which continues from May and June. Ad spend may drop...

Daniel Tabbush

DXN Holdings IPO Trading - Lukewarm Subscription Rates, Peers Have Corrected Since Last Note

DXN Holdings (2080694D MK) raised around US$147m in its Malaysian IPO. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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