Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8954'>Greentown China</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-20844'>Medco Energi</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Greentown ChinaMedco Energi

Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, Medco Energi

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable). We assess Medco Energi's ESG as "Adequate", in line with its scores for the Environmental, Social and Governance pillars. Controversies are "Immaterial" and Disclosure is "Adequate".

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).  We assess Medco Energi's ESG as "Adequate", in line with its scores for the Environmental, Social and Governance pillars. Controversies are "Immaterial" and Disclosure is "Adequate". 

Medco Energi - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8954'>Greentown China</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-20844'>Medco Energi</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-22202'>Vedanta Resources</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Greentown ChinaMedco EnergiVedanta Resources

Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, Medco Energi, Vedanta Resources

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We expect MEDC to book inline 2Q24 earnings, backed by AMMN’s rising contribution on the back of higher volume and ASP.</li><li>2H24 outlook: Lower production from maintenance, potentially offset by AMMN.</li><li>We resume coverage with a Buy rating but with a lower SOTP-based TP of Rp1,700 (Rp1,950 prev.), reflecting our lower FY24-25E earnings est.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect MEDC to book inline 2Q24 earnings, backed by AMMN’s rising contribution on the back of higher volume and ASP.2H24 outlook: Lower production from maintenance, potentially offset by AMMN.We resume coverage with a Buy rating but with a lower SOTP-based TP of Rp1,700 (Rp1,950 prev.), reflecting our lower FY24-25E earnings est.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Medco Energi International - Expect 2Q24 Earnings Support from AMMN Amidst Flattish Oil Price

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Debt Capital Markets

Asia High Yield Bond Index / Debt Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>As we are entering the second half of 2024, inflation has remained sticky as expected.</li>
<li>The lingering fear of a global recession has been mitigating rising shipping and production costs and, as a result, kept inflation in check.</li>
<li>We see more opportunities in selected Chinese bonds in industries away from property and local government financing vehicle (LGFV) sectors and believe non-Asia emerging bonds offer better value.</li>
</ul>


As we are entering the second half of 2024, inflation has remained sticky as expected.
The lingering fear of a global recession has been mitigating rising shipping and production costs and, as a result, kept inflation in check.
We see more opportunities in selected Chinese bonds in industries away from property and local government financing vehicle (LGFV) sectors and believe non-Asia emerging bonds offer better value.


Indonesia

PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk is an integrated energy company. The Company explores for and produces oil and gas both in Indonesia and internationally, operates gas-fired power plants in Panaran I, Batam Island, and develops renewable fuels such as Bio-fuel.

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Medco Energi (MEDC IJ)

Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, Medco Energi

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Medco Energi - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable). We assess Medco Energi's ESG as...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, Medco Energi, Vedanta Resources

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Medco Energi International - Expect 2Q24 Earnings Support from AMMN Amidst Flattish Oil Price

We expect MEDC to book inline 2Q24 earnings, backed by AMMN’s rising contribution on the back of higher volume and ASP. 2H24 outlook: Lower...

BRI Danareksa Research

Bond Market Monitor: No Rate Hikes

Inflation remains stable in 2024 due to fears of global recession and opportunities seen in Chinese bonds outside of property and LGFV sectors.

Bondcritic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, Medco Energi

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Medco Energi - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable). We assess Medco Energi's ESG as...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, Medco Energi, Vedanta Resources

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Medco Energi International - Expect 2Q24 Earnings Support from AMMN Amidst Flattish Oil Price

We expect MEDC to book inline 2Q24 earnings, backed by AMMN’s rising contribution on the back of higher volume and ASP. 2H24 outlook: Lower...

BRI Danareksa Research

Bond Market Monitor: No Rate Hikes

​Inflation remains stable in 2024 due to fears of global recession and opportunities seen in Chinese bonds outside of property and LGFV sectors.

Bondcritic

Inflation remains stable in 2024 due to fears of global recession and opportunities seen in Chinese bonds outside of property and LGFV sectors.