Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Equity Bottom-Up

<h2>The outlook for memory and foundry</h2><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/191" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1">Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930 KS)</a> expects tight memory supply/demand conditions to continue in 4Q17 due to increased demand mainly from server/mobile. Consistent with our earlier report " <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/memory-channel-check-suggested-we-might-be-wrong-earlier" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:14121">Memory Channel Check Suggested We Might Be Wrong Earlier</a> " dated 3 Oct 2017, we expected leading vendors to raise cloud datacenter contract DRAM price by 7-10% q/q and mobile contract DRAM price by 10-15% q/q in 4Q17 due to a stronger demand. For 2018, Samsung expects…</p>

The outlook for memory and foundrySamsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930 KS) expects tight memory supply/demand conditions to continue in 4Q17 due to increased demand mainly from server/mobile. Consistent with our earlier report " Memory Channel Check Suggested We Might Be Wrong Earlier " dated 3 Oct 2017, we expected leading vendors to raise cloud datacenter contract DRAM price by 7-10% q/q and mobile contract DRAM price by 10-15% q/q in 4Q17 due to a stronger demand. For 2018, Samsung expects…

What Samsung Says About Demand; Implications to Memory, Display, and Smartphone Competitors?

Advanced Semiconductor Engr / Equity Bottom-Up

<h2>Fingerprint SiP is replaced by face ID</h2><p>By factoring in the following guidance from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/721" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:721:1">Advanced Semiconductor Engr (2311 TT)</a> , we estimate ASE trying to guide below seasonal 4Q sales growth of 0% q/q at a gross margin of 18%, which is 8% below Bloomberg consensus' sales estimates. We thus expect analysts to cut their 3Q17 EPS estimates to NT$0.60-0.70 level from NT$0.79 now. This is in line with our earlier concerns that ASE's fingerprint system in packaging (SiP) business in weaker demand iPhone 8…</p>

Fingerprint SiP is replaced by face IDBy factoring in the following guidance from Advanced Semiconductor Engr (2311 TT) , we estimate ASE trying to guide below seasonal 4Q sales growth of 0% q/q at a gross margin of 18%, which is 8% below Bloomberg consensus' sales estimates. We thus expect analysts to cut their 3Q17 EPS estimates to NT$0.60-0.70 level from NT$0.79 now. This is in line with our earlier concerns that ASE's fingerprint system in packaging (SiP) business in weaker demand iPhone 8…

ASE Guides Below Seasonal 4Q17; Fingerprint SiP Is Replaced by Face ID

<h2>What's new?</h2><p>Following South Korean Fair Trade Commission fined US$853mn on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/969" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a> for violating antitrust laws (please see "<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kftc-fined-qualcomm-for-violating-antitrust-laws-positive-to-customers-and-competitors" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:7896">KFTC Fined Qualcomm for Violating Antitrust Laws; Positive to Customers and Competitors"</a> dated 28 December 2016) and U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) filed a complaint on 18 Jan 2017 against Qualcomm in the U.S. District Court in the Northern District of California, Taiwan Fair Trade Commission has decided to fine Qualcomm for NT$23.4bn (US$774mn) or EPS…</p>

What's new?Following South Korean Fair Trade Commission fined US$853mn on Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) for violating antitrust laws (please see "KFTC Fined Qualcomm for Violating Antitrust Laws; Positive to Customers and Competitors" dated 28 December 2016) and U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) filed a complaint on 18 Jan 2017 against Qualcomm in the U.S. District Court in the Northern District of California, Taiwan Fair Trade Commission has decided to fine Qualcomm for NT$23.4bn (US$774mn) or EPS…

Taiwan FTC Fines Qualcomm for US$774mn; Endless Lawsuit

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.</p><p>It is extracted from CM Research's "Tech and Media Trends 2018" report, which covers the top 600 TMT stocks globally and all the investment themes driving their earnings. Using our unique "thematic engine", we quantify the impact of these themes on each of our 18 TMT subsectors, of which semiconductors is one.</p>

This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.It is extracted from CM Research's "Tech and Media Trends 2018" report, which covers the top 600 TMT stocks globally and all the investment themes driving their earnings. Using our unique "thematic engine", we quantify the impact of these themes on each of our 18 TMT subsectors, of which semiconductors is one.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p><strong>BRIC markets are outperforming broad EM. </strong>The BRIC/EM ratio is rounding to two year highs. All four member countries are attractive for separate reasons.  This week's “EM Leaders” highlights several attractive themes including: tech stocks, especially semis, construction/farm machinery names and  a selection of consumer stocks across the BRICs markets.</p>

BRIC markets are outperforming broad EM. The BRIC/EM ratio is rounding to two year highs. All four member countries are attractive for separate reasons.  This week's “EM Leaders” highlights several attractive themes including: tech stocks, especially semis, construction/farm machinery names and  a selection of consumer stocks across the BRICs markets.

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

What Samsung Says About Demand; Implications to Memory, Display, and Smartphone Competitors?

The outlook for memory and foundrySamsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930 KS) expects tight memory supply/demand conditions to continue in 4Q17 due to...

Andrew Lu

ASE Guides Below Seasonal 4Q17; Fingerprint SiP Is Replaced by Face ID

Fingerprint SiP is replaced by face IDBy factoring in the following guidance from Advanced Semiconductor Engr (2311 TT) , we estimate ASE trying to...

Andrew Lu

Taiwan FTC Fines Qualcomm for US$774mn; Endless Lawsuit

What's new?Following South Korean Fair Trade Commission fined US$853mn on Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) for violating antitrust laws (please see "KFTC...

Andrew Lu

Semiconductor Industry Trends

This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.It is extracted from CM...

CM Research

BRIC Markets Lead EM Higher

BRIC markets are outperforming broad EM. The BRIC/EM ratio is rounding to two year highs. All four member countries are attractive for separate...

Vermilion Research

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