AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC’s advanced-node wafer costs are rising sharply, with 2nm pricing now 50% above 3nm and multi-year price hikes expected; margin pressures likely for fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD.</li>
<li>U.S. fab expansion eroding TSMC's cost advantage; production reportedly 30–50% more expensive than in Taiwan. This opens the door for Intel and Samsung as geopolitical and cost dynamics shift.</li>
<li>Presently, TSMC remains irreplaceable in yield and process leadership, but one key moat may no longer be unchallenged; foundry competition to reshape over the next three years.</li>
</ul>


TSMC’s advanced-node wafer costs are rising sharply, with 2nm pricing now 50% above 3nm and multi-year price hikes expected; margin pressures likely for fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD.
U.S. fab expansion eroding TSMC's cost advantage; production reportedly 30–50% more expensive than in Taiwan. This opens the door for Intel and Samsung as geopolitical and cost dynamics shift.
Presently, TSMC remains irreplaceable in yield and process leadership, but one key moat may no longer be unchallenged; foundry competition to reshape over the next three years.


Margin Call at 2nm: What TSMC's Price Hike Means for the Chip Ecosystem

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>TSMC Sets Sights on 3-10% Price Rises for Advanced Nodes</li>
<li>MediaTek’s Leap Into the 2nm Era -- Leading Edge Node Signals Market Leadership Ambitions</li>
<li>Mediatek 3Q25: Good News (ASIC Revenue) But Weak Margins Getting Weaker. Stock Not Attractive. </li>
</ul>


TSMC Sets Sights on 3-10% Price Rises for Advanced Nodes
MediaTek’s Leap Into the 2nm Era -- Leading Edge Node Signals Market Leadership Ambitions
Mediatek 3Q25: Good News (ASIC Revenue) But Weak Margins Getting Weaker. Stock Not Attractive. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek's Power Move for 2nm Chips; Yet More TSMC Pricing Power

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In October FIIs bought US$2.36bn of Asian equities, sharply lower than US$8.42bn in September. They sold Taiwan (-US$3.2bn), bought Korea (US$4.2bn) and India (US$1.66bn). ASEAN continued to be sold.</li>
<li>FIIs' dampened sentiment was triggered by Asia's toppish valuations and a decline in probability of a Fed rate cut in December, which in turn led to a stronger US Dollar.</li>
<li>Going forward we expect flows to recover in Taiwan and stay healthy in Korea, as sentiment on AI capex recovers, driven by strong growth and robust capex targets of hyperscalers.</li>
</ul>


In October FIIs bought US$2.36bn of Asian equities, sharply lower than US$8.42bn in September. They sold Taiwan (-US$3.2bn), bought Korea (US$4.2bn) and India (US$1.66bn). ASEAN continued to be sold.
FIIs' dampened sentiment was triggered by Asia's toppish valuations and a decline in probability of a Fed rate cut in December, which in turn led to a stronger US Dollar.
Going forward we expect flows to recover in Taiwan and stay healthy in Korea, as sentiment on AI capex recovers, driven by strong growth and robust capex targets of hyperscalers.


Asian Equities: Foreign Flows Wobbled in October; Taiwan Sold, Korea Moderated; India Bounced Back

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 31st. The aggregated holding was USD1,429.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,180mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, E.SUN Financial, Quanta Computer, Ase Industrial, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Delta Electronics, E.Sun Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 31st. The aggregated holding was USD1,429.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,180mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, E.SUN Financial, Quanta Computer, Ase Industrial, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Delta Electronics, E.Sun Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 31st): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, E.SUN Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,379.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,005mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Yageo, TSMC, Wistron, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,379.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,005mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Yageo, TSMC, Wistron, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo, MediaTek

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

Margin Call at 2nm: What TSMC's Price Hike Means for the Chip Ecosystem

TSMC's wafer costs are rising sharply, putting pressure on fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD. U.S. fab expansion and competition...

Mint Finance

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek's Power Move for 2nm Chips; Yet More TSMC Pricing Power

TSMC plans price increases for advanced nodes, while MediaTek aims for market leadership with leap to 2nm era but faces weak margins in 3Q25.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Asian Equities: Foreign Flows Wobbled in October; Taiwan Sold, Korea Moderated; India Bounced Back

FIIs cut Asian equity purchases in October due to high valuations & lower Fed rate cut probability driving a stronger USD. Expect flow revival in...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 31st): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, E.SUN Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Delta Electronics (2308 TT), ASE...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Margin Call at 2nm: What TSMC's Price Hike Means for the Chip Ecosystem

​TSMC's wafer costs are rising sharply, putting pressure on fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD. U.S. fab expansion and competition...

Mint Finance

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek's Power Move for 2nm Chips; Yet More TSMC Pricing Power

​TSMC plans price increases for advanced nodes, while MediaTek aims for market leadership with leap to 2nm era but faces weak margins in 3Q25.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Asian Equities: Foreign Flows Wobbled in October; Taiwan Sold, Korea Moderated; India Bounced Back

​FIIs cut Asian equity purchases in October due to high valuations & lower Fed rate cut probability driving a stronger USD. Expect flow revival in...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 31st): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, E.SUN Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Delta Electronics (2308 TT), ASE...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Wistron, Yageo,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TSMC's wafer costs are rising sharply, putting pressure on fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD. U.S. fab expansion and competition...

TSMC plans price increases for advanced nodes, while MediaTek aims for market leadership with leap to 2nm era but faces weak margins in 3Q25.

FIIs cut Asian equity purchases in October due to high valuations & lower Fed rate cut probability driving a stronger USD. Expect flow revival in...