Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Over the past decade, Cyclical sectors have traded places with Sensitive sectors as the largest allocation among active Asia Ex-Japan investors. </li>
<li>The last cycle started in early 2019 and saw Sensitive overtake Cyclicals and move to a key overweight, but this peaked in mid-2021 and has started to reverse.</li>
<li>The major rotation on the year so far has been a scaling back of Technology and Communication Services allocations in favour of Financials and Consumer Discretionary/Staples</li>
</ul>


Over the past decade, Cyclical sectors have traded places with Sensitive sectors as the largest allocation among active Asia Ex-Japan investors. 
The last cycle started in early 2019 and saw Sensitive overtake Cyclicals and move to a key overweight, but this peaked in mid-2021 and has started to reverse.
The major rotation on the year so far has been a scaling back of Technology and Communication Services allocations in favour of Financials and Consumer Discretionary/Staples


Asia Ex-Japan:  Tech to Financials Rotation

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A recent shift in momentum has pushed Taiwan to the largest country level underweight in the Asia Ex-Japan region</li>
<li>Taiwan Technology stocks have driven allocations lower, in addition to Consumer Discretionary and Staples, Health Care and Financials.</li>
<li>Taiwan Tech remains the key risk.  Sentiment is starting to waver when funds are close to maximum exposure.  Underperformance here will be costly on both an absolute a relative basis</li>
</ul>


A recent shift in momentum has pushed Taiwan to the largest country level underweight in the Asia Ex-Japan region
Taiwan Technology stocks have driven allocations lower, in addition to Consumer Discretionary and Staples, Health Care and Financials.
Taiwan Tech remains the key risk.  Sentiment is starting to waver when funds are close to maximum exposure.  Underperformance here will be costly on both an absolute a relative basis


Taiwan Moves to Top Underweight, Tech Overweight Risk

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 24th. The aggregated holding was USD2,123.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,385mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Wistron, Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nan Ya Plastics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 24th. The aggregated holding was USD2,123.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,385mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Wistron, Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nan Ya Plastics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 24th): TSMC, Wistron, Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology

<ul>
<li>April was another tough month for active Asia Ex-Japan managers. Average returns of -6.18% lagged the MSCI Asia Ex-Japan index by -1.02%, with just 27.8% of funds beating the benchmark.</li>
<li>On the year so far, more than 80% of Asia Ex-Japan funds are underperforming the benchmark. Returns are largely correlated to Style, with Value outperforming Growth by +6.5%.</li>
<li>Overweights in both Mediatek Inc and Sea Ltd  have been the most costly on the year, in addition to a number of underweights in the key state run China banks</li>
</ul>


April was another tough month for active Asia Ex-Japan managers. Average returns of -6.18% lagged the MSCI Asia Ex-Japan index by -1.02%, with just 27.8% of funds beating the benchmark.
On the year so far, more than 80% of Asia Ex-Japan funds are underperforming the benchmark. Returns are largely correlated to Style, with Value outperforming Growth by +6.5%.
Overweights in both Mediatek Inc and Sea Ltd  have been the most costly on the year, in addition to a number of underweights in the key state run China banks


Asia Ex-Japan:  MediaTek, Sea Ltd and China Banks Weigh on Performance

<ul>
<li>80% of active Asia Ex-Japan managers underperformed the benchmark in Q1</li>
<li>Value managers were the only Style group to outperform the benchmark, with Aggressive Growth and Growth some way behind</li>
<li>Underweights in NIO Inc, Meituan and overweights in HDFC Bank generated relative outperformance, but were outgunned by overweights in Sea Ltd, Mediatek Inc and underweights in the China state banks.</li>
</ul>


80% of active Asia Ex-Japan managers underperformed the benchmark in Q1
Value managers were the only Style group to outperform the benchmark, with Aggressive Growth and Growth some way behind
Underweights in NIO Inc, Meituan and overweights in HDFC Bank generated relative outperformance, but were outgunned by overweights in Sea Ltd, Mediatek Inc and underweights in the China state banks.


Asia Ex-Japan Active Funds.  Big Q1 Underperformance.

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

Asia Ex-Japan: Tech to Financials Rotation

Asia Ex-Japan funds are in the midst of a major rotation out of Technology and Communication Services stocks and in to Financials and Consumer...

Steven Holden

Taiwan Moves to Top Underweight, Tech Overweight Risk

A recent shift in momentum has pushed Taiwan to the largest country level underweight in the Asia Ex-Japan region, with the Technology sector one...

Steven Holden

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 24th): TSMC, Wistron, Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Wistron, Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Ex-Japan: MediaTek, Sea Ltd and China Banks Weigh on Performance

After 3 years of solid outperformance, active Asia Ex-Japan managers find themselves on unfamiliar ground. Following on from a challenging Q1,...

Steven Holden

Asia Ex-Japan Active Funds. Big Q1 Underperformance.

Active Asia Ex-Japan managers suffered one of their worst quarters in over a decade, with Value managers the only Style group to outperform the...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)