Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We contacted Mediatek management in regards to the latest Arm restrictions for China; Mediatek doesn't expect to be impacted.</li>
<li>Mediatek's latest chipsets are competing well against Qualcomm, and its China competition has been stunted by U.S. restrictions in our view.</li>
<li>We have established our financial model for the company - We believe the shares should be held or accumulated on a value-basis.</li>
</ul>


We contacted Mediatek management in regards to the latest Arm restrictions for China; Mediatek doesn't expect to be impacted.
Mediatek's latest chipsets are competing well against Qualcomm, and its China competition has been stunted by U.S. restrictions in our view.
We have established our financial model for the company - We believe the shares should be held or accumulated on a value-basis.


Mediatek: We Contacted Management Re: Latest Arm Restrictions, Accumulate

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>
MediaTek and Nvidia expected to unveil joint ARM-based AI PC SoCs at Computex May 19 - 23; a major milestone for Mediatek expanding into the massive Windows PC market.</li>
<li>
We will be looking to see how the new chips are positioned; To highlight full local LLM inference; enabling private, real-time AI at the edge for PCs?</li>
<li>
We maintain our Structural Long view for Mediatek shares; MediaTek is evolving from mobile SoC leader to full-stack AI compute player across smartphones, PCs, and data centers.</li>
</ul>



MediaTek and Nvidia expected to unveil joint ARM-based AI PC SoCs at Computex May 19 - 23; a major milestone for Mediatek expanding into the massive Windows PC market.

We will be looking to see how the new chips are positioned; To highlight full local LLM inference; enabling private, real-time AI at the edge for PCs?

We maintain our Structural Long view for Mediatek shares; MediaTek is evolving from mobile SoC leader to full-stack AI compute player across smartphones, PCs, and data centers.


Mediatek Approaching Potential Share Catalyst at Computex Taiwan; Nvidia PC PC Announcement Expected

<ul>
<li>
MediaTek beat 1Q25 EPS expectations as Smart Edge and mobile segments delivered strong sequential growth; flagship SoC traction supports improved ASP mix.</li>
<li>
AI remains central to strategy: NVIDIA partnership progressing -- NT$1bn AI ASIC revenue targeted for 2026.</li>
<li>
Tariff-Driven macro caution clouds 2H outlook, but we maintain Structural Long view -- AI, auto, and premium mobile SoCs drive long-term opportunity.</li>
</ul>



MediaTek beat 1Q25 EPS expectations as Smart Edge and mobile segments delivered strong sequential growth; flagship SoC traction supports improved ASP mix.

AI remains central to strategy: NVIDIA partnership progressing -- NT$1bn AI ASIC revenue targeted for 2026.

Tariff-Driven macro caution clouds 2H outlook, but we maintain Structural Long view -- AI, auto, and premium mobile SoCs drive long-term opportunity.


MediaTek 1Q25 Earnings: AI Momentum Drives Strength, But 2H Visibility Remains Murky Due to Tariffs

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>2Q25 guidance is projected to be between NT$147.2bn and NT$159.4bn (midpoint-flat QoQ), with a gross margin expected to range between 45.5% and 48.5%, and operating expenses between 27% and 31%. </li>
<li>In 2Q25, MediaTek expects mobile to be flat to slightly down, continued QoQ growth in smart edge, and QoQ growth in power ICs. </li>
<li>Regarding flagship smartphone SoCs, MediaTek remains optimistic about gaining market share and expects the ASP (average selling price) of its next-generation flagship chips to continue rising.</li>
</ul>


2Q25 guidance is projected to be between NT$147.2bn and NT$159.4bn (midpoint-flat QoQ), with a gross margin expected to range between 45.5% and 48.5%, and operating expenses between 27% and 31%. 
In 2Q25, MediaTek expects mobile to be flat to slightly down, continued QoQ growth in smart edge, and QoQ growth in power ICs. 
Regarding flagship smartphone SoCs, MediaTek remains optimistic about gaining market share and expects the ASP (average selling price) of its next-generation flagship chips to continue rising.


MediaTek (2454.TT): Tariffs Are Highly Uncertain, but Client Purchasing Hasn’t Changed Much.

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>1Q15 Smartphone units up 1.5-3% YoY but given accelerated imports to US and Chinese consumer subsidies, end-demand was probably flat YoY. TSMC 1Q25 revenues suggest that Smartphone chips declined YoY.</li>
<li>We should expect a correction in 2H25 and overall flat 2025 YoY.</li>
<li>The only positive is that chips are getting bigger (AI cores) and more expensive (3nm) and hence positive to Mediatek and Qualcomm, but not to phone Brands Apple included.</li>
</ul>


1Q15 Smartphone units up 1.5-3% YoY but given accelerated imports to US and Chinese consumer subsidies, end-demand was probably flat YoY. TSMC 1Q25 revenues suggest that Smartphone chips declined YoY.
We should expect a correction in 2H25 and overall flat 2025 YoY.
The only positive is that chips are getting bigger (AI cores) and more expensive (3nm) and hence positive to Mediatek and Qualcomm, but not to phone Brands Apple included.


Smartphone Market Grew 2% in 1Q25 with 2 Positives Boosters: Apple Restocking in US, China Subsidies

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

Mediatek: We Contacted Management Re: Latest Arm Restrictions, Accumulate

We have established our financial model for the company - We believe the shares should be held or accumulated on a value-basis.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MediaTek 1Q25 Earnings: AI Momentum Drives Strength, But 2H Visibility Remains Murky Due to Tariffs

MediaTek surpasses 1Q25 EPS expectations with strong growth in Smart Edge and mobile segments. Tariff concerns impact 2H outlook, but long-term...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MediaTek (2454.TT): Tariffs Are Highly Uncertain, but Client Purchasing Hasn’t Changed Much.

MediaTek projects steady revenue and margin for 2Q25, with flat mobile sales but growth in smart edge and power ICs, while remaining optimistic...

Patrick Liao

Smartphone Market Grew 2% in 1Q25 with 2 Positives Boosters: Apple Restocking in US, China Subsidies

1Q15 slight increase in smartphone units, but end-demand likely remained flat. Expect a correction in 2H25 with overall flat 2025 YoY. Positives...

Nicolas Baratte

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Mediatek: We Contacted Management Re: Latest Arm Restrictions, Accumulate

We have established our financial model for the company - We believe the shares should be held or accumulated on a value-basis.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Mediatek Approaching Potential Share Catalyst at Computex Taiwan; Nvidia PC PC Announcement Expected

​MediaTek and Nvidia likely to unveil joint ARM-based AI PC SoCs at Computex, marking a milestone for MediaTek in Windows PC market. Evolving from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MediaTek 1Q25 Earnings: AI Momentum Drives Strength, But 2H Visibility Remains Murky Due to Tariffs

​MediaTek surpasses 1Q25 EPS expectations with strong growth in Smart Edge and mobile segments. Tariff concerns impact 2H outlook, but long-term...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MediaTek (2454.TT): Tariffs Are Highly Uncertain, but Client Purchasing Hasn’t Changed Much.

​MediaTek projects steady revenue and margin for 2Q25, with flat mobile sales but growth in smart edge and power ICs, while remaining optimistic...

Patrick Liao

Smartphone Market Grew 2% in 1Q25 with 2 Positives Boosters: Apple Restocking in US, China Subsidies

​1Q15 slight increase in smartphone units, but end-demand likely remained flat. Expect a correction in 2H25 with overall flat 2025 YoY. Positives...

Nicolas Baratte

MediaTek and Nvidia likely to unveil joint ARM-based AI PC SoCs at Computex, marking a milestone for MediaTek in Windows PC market. Evolving from...

MediaTek surpasses 1Q25 EPS expectations with strong growth in Smart Edge and mobile segments. Tariff concerns impact 2H outlook, but long-term...

MediaTek projects steady revenue and margin for 2Q25, with flat mobile sales but growth in smart edge and power ICs, while remaining optimistic...

1Q15 slight increase in smartphone units, but end-demand likely remained flat. Expect a correction in 2H25 with overall flat 2025 YoY. Positives...