Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Although the overall channel and customer inventories have reduced aggressively by the end of 3Q2022, we are only in the middle of the inventory adjustment cycle.</li>
<li>We’ve seen early signs of global inflation peaking, and an initial normalization in US dollar strength, which supports recovery in end consumer demand and channel inventory restocking by mid-2023.</li>
<li>Current dividend yield and PE ratio indicate a meaningful margin of safety in valuation levels, with probabilities skewed towards positive surprise.</li>
</ul>


Although the overall channel and customer inventories have reduced aggressively by the end of 3Q2022, we are only in the middle of the inventory adjustment cycle.
We’ve seen early signs of global inflation peaking, and an initial normalization in US dollar strength, which supports recovery in end consumer demand and channel inventory restocking by mid-2023.
Current dividend yield and PE ratio indicate a meaningful margin of safety in valuation levels, with probabilities skewed towards positive surprise.


MediaTek: Mid (Inventory) Cycle, Long-Term Growth Story Intact, Attractive Yield, and Multiples

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Broadcom FY22 results indicate strength in data centers, telco infrastructure, enterprise IT spending.</li>
<li>Hon Hai's Zhengzhou facility ends closed-loop operations, returning to a more normal state.</li>
<li>U.S. asking Japan to have its firms comply with U.S. chip restrictions on China.</li>
</ul>


Broadcom FY22 results indicate strength in data centers, telco infrastructure, enterprise IT spending.
Hon Hai's Zhengzhou facility ends closed-loop operations, returning to a more normal state.
U.S. asking Japan to have its firms comply with U.S. chip restrictions on China.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Broadcom Results Provide Some Signs of Strength, Hon Hai Facility Ends Lockdown

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 9th): Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Walsin Lihwa, Gold Circuit, Lotus.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Walsin Lihwa, Gold Circuit, Lotus.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 2nd): Walsin Lihwa, Gold Circuit, Lotus

<ul>
<li>3Q22E earnings came in mostly ahead of expectations, however, if one looks at margin and inventory performance, the latest earnings season doesn't look so good.</li>
<li>Semiconductor margins fell and inventory days rose multi-year highs, Hardware margins fell further and inventory days look worse than ever.</li>
<li>Conclusion: 4Q22E end-demand could disappoint significantly and then companies will be slashing prices/writing off inventory into 1Q23E.</li>
</ul>


3Q22E earnings came in mostly ahead of expectations, however, if one looks at margin and inventory performance, the latest earnings season doesn't look so good.
Semiconductor margins fell and inventory days rose multi-year highs, Hardware margins fell further and inventory days look worse than ever.
Conclusion: 4Q22E end-demand could disappoint significantly and then companies will be slashing prices/writing off inventory into 1Q23E.


Taiwan Tech 3Q22 Earnings Season Ex-Post: Signs of Major Margin Pain Ahead

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

MediaTek: Mid (Inventory) Cycle, Long-Term Growth Story Intact, Attractive Yield, and Multiples

In this insight, we analyse MediaTek, the world’s 4th largest fabless semiconductor company and the largest smartphone System-on-Chip (SoC) maker,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Broadcom Results Provide Some Signs of Strength, Hon Hai Facility Ends Lockdown

Broadcom FY22 results indicate strength in data centers, telco infrastructure, enterprise IT spending. U.S. asks Japan to comply with China chip...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 9th): Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 2nd): Walsin Lihwa, Gold Circuit, Lotus

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Walsin Lihwa, Gold Circuit, Lotus.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech 3Q22 Earnings Season Ex-Post: Signs of Major Margin Pain Ahead

If we examine the industry's latest gross margin and inventory performance, the latest quarterly results don't look so good.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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