Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Takeda has dropped AstraZeneca-partnered antibody drug candidate from its pipeline. Eisai and Merck are closing late-stage trial of Lenvima plus Keytruda in hepatocellular carcinoma on disappointing result.</li>
<li>Wuxi AppTec sharpens CRDMO business by selling its China-based clinical research subsidiaries. FDA has designated Celltrion’s Stoboclo and Osenvelt as interchangeable biosimilars to the reference products Prolia and Xgeva, respectively.</li>
<li>CSL is delaying demerger of CSL Seqirus ‘to maximise shareholder value.’ PharmaEssentia has filed for the additional indication of Besremi for Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) with the FDA.</li>
</ul>


Takeda has dropped AstraZeneca-partnered antibody drug candidate from its pipeline. Eisai and Merck are closing late-stage trial of Lenvima plus Keytruda in hepatocellular carcinoma on disappointing result.
Wuxi AppTec sharpens CRDMO business by selling its China-based clinical research subsidiaries. FDA has designated Celltrion’s Stoboclo and Osenvelt as interchangeable biosimilars to the reference products Prolia and Xgeva, respectively.
CSL is delaying demerger of CSL Seqirus ‘to maximise shareholder value.’ PharmaEssentia has filed for the additional indication of Besremi for Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) with the FDA.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 2) – Takeda, Eisai, Wuxi AppTec, Celltrion, CSL, PharmaEssentia

<ul>
<li>Eisai Initiated rolling submission of sBLA to the FDA for Leqembi subcutaneous autoinjector as a weekly starting dose. Hansoh Pharmaceutical’s innovative drug Xinyue got additional indication approval in China.</li>
<li>Jiangsu Hengrui received marketing approval of its self-developed Class 1 innovative drug, Zeprumetostat in China. Celltrion got approval in Europe to start Phase 3 trial of its Darzalex biosimilar.</li>
<li>SK Bioscience applied for Phase 3 clinical trial of SKYVaricella in South Korea to add the 2-dose indication. Lupin received FDA approval for risperidone extended-release injectable suspension.</li>
</ul>


Eisai Initiated rolling submission of sBLA to the FDA for Leqembi subcutaneous autoinjector as a weekly starting dose. Hansoh Pharmaceutical’s innovative drug Xinyue got additional indication approval in China.
Jiangsu Hengrui received marketing approval of its self-developed Class 1 innovative drug, Zeprumetostat in China. Celltrion got approval in Europe to start Phase 3 trial of its Darzalex biosimilar.
SK Bioscience applied for Phase 3 clinical trial of SKYVaricella in South Korea to add the 2-dose indication. Lupin received FDA approval for risperidone extended-release injectable suspension.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (September 7) – Eisai, Hansoh, Hengrui, Celltrion, SK Bioscience, Lupin

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.
Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.


Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hogy-medical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10493:1" rel="noopener">Hogy Medical (3593 JP)</a>'s founder passed and there was a re-arranging of Hoki family deckchairs in 2021. In 2022 there was a BIG buyback from the family at ¥3,130/share.</li>
<li>I discussed it <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/huge-hogy-medical-3593-buyback-from-the-founding-family" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>. I suggested that meant accretion, a family willing to sell, and an open register for a cheap company always heavily owned by value investors.</li>
<li>The stock went nowhere for 18mos as activists dallied. In 2024 it ran from ¥3,500 to ¥5,000 as Dalton bought 20%. Then they got a board seat. Now takeover noise.</li>
</ul>



Hogy Medical (3593 JP)'s founder passed and there was a re-arranging of Hoki family deckchairs in 2021. In 2022 there was a BIG buyback from the family at ¥3,130/share.
I discussed it here. I suggested that meant accretion, a family willing to sell, and an open register for a cheap company always heavily owned by value investors.
The stock went nowhere for 18mos as activists dallied. In 2024 it ran from ¥3,500 to ¥5,000 as Dalton bought 20%. Then they got a board seat. Now takeover noise.


[Japan Activism/M&A] Hogy Medical (3593) Reportedly Up For Auction - Totally Unsurprising

<ul>
<li>RemeGen granted exclusive rights to develop and commercialize Telitacicept worldwide (excluding Greater China) to Vor Biopharma for $125M. Innovent Biologics received a first-in-class weight loss drug approval in China.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo received FDA approval for Datroway for the treatment of certain types of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). SanBio now expects Akuugo approval in H2FY26, instead of Q2FY26.</li>
<li>Otsuka in-licensed HBM7020 from Harbour BioMed for an upfront payment of $47M and near-term milestones. Glenmark Pharmaceuticals has launched Beigene’s Tevimbra in India for NSCLC.</li>
</ul>


RemeGen granted exclusive rights to develop and commercialize Telitacicept worldwide (excluding Greater China) to Vor Biopharma for $125M. Innovent Biologics received a first-in-class weight loss drug approval in China.
Daiichi Sankyo received FDA approval for Datroway for the treatment of certain types of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). SanBio now expects Akuugo approval in H2FY26, instead of Q2FY26.
Otsuka in-licensed HBM7020 from Harbour BioMed for an upfront payment of $47M and near-term milestones. Glenmark Pharmaceuticals has launched Beigene’s Tevimbra in India for NSCLC.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (June 29)- RemeGen, Innovent, Daiichi, SanBio, Otsuka, Chugai, Glenmark

Japan

MEDIPAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION manufactures and sells medical tools and equipment, nursing equipment, and wholesales pharmaceuticals.

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Medipal Holdings (7459 JP)

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 2) – Takeda, Eisai, Wuxi AppTec, Celltrion, CSL, PharmaEssentia

Takeda and Eisai witnessed clinical trials setback. Wuxi AppTec is selling China-based CRO subsidiaries. CSL is delaying demerger of CSL Seqirus....

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (September 7) – Eisai, Hansoh, Hengrui, Celltrion, SK Bioscience, Lupin

Eisai initiated FDA submission of Leqembi subcutaneous injection as starting dose. Hansoh and Hengrui got approvals for new drugs. Celltrion got...

Tina Banerjee

Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Buys in Japan and Europe; China's Shanghai Composite Pulling Back to 10-year Base Support -- Buy; MSCI $ACWI Uptrend Intact. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

[Japan Activism/M&A] Hogy Medical (3593) Reportedly Up For Auction - Totally Unsurprising

Hogy Medical has been a very slow-grower in a very stable business. It has always attracted value investors. Now it has activists. Reports of a...

Travis Lundy

APAC Healthcare Weekly (June 29)- RemeGen, Innovent, Daiichi, SanBio, Otsuka, Chugai, Glenmark

Last week couple of Chinese companies signed outlicensing deals with international players. Innovent got weight loss drug approval in China....

Tina Banerjee

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