Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Medtide raised HKD 514m (USD 65.5m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Monday, June 30th.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company's operation, management track records and discussed the IPO valuation.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut. </li>
</ul>


Medtide raised HKD 514m (USD 65.5m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Monday, June 30th.
In our previous note, we looked at the company's operation, management track records and discussed the IPO valuation.
In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut. 


Medtide (泰德医药) IPO Trading Update

<ul>
<li>Medtide, a Chinese headquartered CDMO company, launched its IPO to raise up to US$66m via a Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>We have previously covered the company's fundamentals. We highlighted potential corporate governance issues despite its superior financials compared to peers.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the deal term. We think the valuation and broker guidance is aggressive.</li>
</ul>


Medtide, a Chinese headquartered CDMO company, launched its IPO to raise up to US$66m via a Hong Kong listing.
We have previously covered the company's fundamentals. We highlighted potential corporate governance issues despite its superior financials compared to peers.
In this note, we look at the deal term. We think the valuation and broker guidance is aggressive.


Medtide (泰德医药) IPO: Aggressive Valuation

<ul>
<li>Medtide, a Chinese headquartered CDMO company, is seeking to raise at least USD 100m via a Hong Kong listing. The deal sponsors are MS and CITIC.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a quick look at the company’s fundamentals.</li>
<li>We highlighted its corporate governance risk despite its decent financials as compared to larger players.</li>
</ul>


Medtide, a Chinese headquartered CDMO company, is seeking to raise at least USD 100m via a Hong Kong listing. The deal sponsors are MS and CITIC.
In this note, we take a quick look at the company’s fundamentals.
We highlighted its corporate governance risk despite its decent financials as compared to larger players.


Medtide (泰德医药) Pre-IPO: Mind the CG Risk

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>The sales growth of GLP-1s has entered a turning point. The actual market size of GLP-1s could be much lower-than-expected, which would affected the growth outlook of peptide CXOs.</li>
<li>Medtide is not strong as expected in the peptide CXOs industry. There's a “hidden problem” in terms of the market share ranking. We updated our forecast for the next three years.</li>
<li>Considering geopolitical conflicts/intense competition, it's difficult for Medtide to secure orders from industry leaders when the Company lacks competitiveness and are small in scale. Valuation should be lower than peers.</li>
</ul>


The sales growth of GLP-1s has entered a turning point. The actual market size of GLP-1s could be much lower-than-expected, which would affected the growth outlook of peptide CXOs.
Medtide is not strong as expected in the peptide CXOs industry. There's a “hidden problem” in terms of the market share ranking. We updated our forecast for the next three years.
Considering geopolitical conflicts/intense competition, it's difficult for Medtide to secure orders from industry leaders when the Company lacks competitiveness and are small in scale. Valuation should be lower than peers.


Pre-IPO Medtide (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

<ul>
<li>Medtide relies heavily on limited number of customers to contribute performance. If there is any significant reduction in demand by its major customers, Medtide’s performance growth would be materially/adversely affected.</li>
<li>Due to geopolitical conflicts, pharmaceutical companies are becoming more cautious about their reliance on China CXO. So, the development of Medtide’s overseas business would become more uncertain in this context.</li>
<li>Medtide's business scale is still small and its position in the global peptide CXO industry is not as strong as described. Valuation of Medtide should be lower than peers.</li>
</ul>


Medtide relies heavily on limited number of customers to contribute performance. If there is any significant reduction in demand by its major customers, Medtide’s performance growth would be materially/adversely affected.
Due to geopolitical conflicts, pharmaceutical companies are becoming more cautious about their reliance on China CXO. So, the development of Medtide’s overseas business would become more uncertain in this context.
Medtide's business scale is still small and its position in the global peptide CXO industry is not as strong as described. Valuation of Medtide should be lower than peers.


Pre-IPO Medtide - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

China

Medtide is a China-based, peptide-focused contract research, development, and manufacturing organization (CRDMO). It offers full-cycle services from early-stage discovery, preclinical research, and clinical development to commercial-stage production of peptide new chemical entities (NCEs) and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). The company was founded in 2020 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

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Medtide (3880 HK)

Medtide (泰德医药) IPO Trading Update

Medtide raises $65.5m in global offering, set to list on Hong Kong Stock Exchange June 30th. We provide an update prior to trading debut on Monday.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Medtide (泰德医药) IPO: Aggressive Valuation

Chinese CDMO Medtide launches IPO in Hong Kong to raise up to US$66m. We think its valuation and guidance are aggressive despite being a niche...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Medtide (泰德医药) Pre-IPO: Mind the CG Risk

Chinese peptide-focused CDMO Medtide plans to raise $100m in Hong Kong listing with deal sponsors MS and CITIC. We look at the company's...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Medtide (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

GLP-1 sales growth is at a turning point with market size potentially lower than expected, impacting growth outlook for peptide CXOs like Medtide....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Medtide - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

Medtide's growth is at risk due to high reliance on limited customers, uncertainty in overseas business and lower-than-expected position in global...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Medtide (泰德医药) IPO Trading Update

​Medtide raises $65.5m in global offering, set to list on Hong Kong Stock Exchange June 30th. We provide an update prior to trading debut on Monday.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Medtide (泰德医药) IPO: Aggressive Valuation

​Chinese CDMO Medtide launches IPO in Hong Kong to raise up to US$66m. We think its valuation and guidance are aggressive despite being a niche...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Medtide (泰德医药) Pre-IPO: Mind the CG Risk

​Chinese peptide-focused CDMO Medtide plans to raise $100m in Hong Kong listing with deal sponsors MS and CITIC. We look at the company's...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Medtide (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

​GLP-1 sales growth is at a turning point with market size potentially lower than expected, impacting growth outlook for peptide CXOs like Medtide....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Medtide - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

​Medtide's growth is at risk due to high reliance on limited customers, uncertainty in overseas business and lower-than-expected position in global...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Medtide raises $65.5m in global offering, set to list on Hong Kong Stock Exchange June 30th. We provide an update prior to trading debut on Monday.

Chinese CDMO Medtide launches IPO in Hong Kong to raise up to US$66m. We think its valuation and guidance are aggressive despite being a niche...

Chinese peptide-focused CDMO Medtide plans to raise $100m in Hong Kong listing with deal sponsors MS and CITIC. We look at the company's...

GLP-1 sales growth is at a turning point with market size potentially lower than expected, impacting growth outlook for peptide CXOs like Medtide....

Medtide's growth is at risk due to high reliance on limited customers, uncertainty in overseas business and lower-than-expected position in global...