Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 25 October, Eoflow announced that the M&amp;A of Eoflow by Medtronic has been postponed. </li>
<li>The closing date for Eoflow's stock transfer agreement with Medtronic has now been changed to 3 January 2024. </li>
<li>Although we believe Medtronic will continue to pursue Eoflow, the M&amp;A tender offer price could be lowered to about 26,000 won, which would be nearly 20% higher than current price.</li>
</ul>


On 25 October, Eoflow announced that the M&amp;A of Eoflow by Medtronic has been postponed. 
The closing date for Eoflow's stock transfer agreement with Medtronic has now been changed to 3 January 2024. 
Although we believe Medtronic will continue to pursue Eoflow, the M&amp;A tender offer price could be lowered to about 26,000 won, which would be nearly 20% higher than current price.


Medtronic's M&A of Eoflow Timeline Postponed

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The closing date of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> transaction has been extended from 25 October 2023 to 3 January 2024. All other terms are unchanged.</li>
<li>The bull view is that despite the preliminary injunction and share suspension, Medtronic’s move underscores its commitment to the transaction on current terms.</li>
<li>The bear view is that the extension was Medtronic’s best move as it retains option value should Insulet’s lawsuit start floundering in court and KRX reinstate trading in Eoflow shares. </li>
</ul>


The closing date of the Eoflow (294090 KS)/Medtronic Plc (MDT US) transaction has been extended from 25 October 2023 to 3 January 2024. All other terms are unchanged.
The bull view is that despite the preliminary injunction and share suspension, Medtronic’s move underscores its commitment to the transaction on current terms.
The bear view is that the extension was Medtronic’s best move as it retains option value should Insulet’s lawsuit start floundering in court and KRX reinstate trading in Eoflow shares. 


EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Closing Date Extended to 3 January 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.</li>
<li>The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.
The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-international-securities-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13153:1" rel="noopener">Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lithium-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30603:1" rel="noopener">Lithium Power International (LPI AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Eoflow (294090 KS), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), JSR Corp (4185 JP), Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK), Lithium Power International (LPI AU). 
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Origin Energy (ORG AU), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP), Chindata Group (CD US).


Merger Arb Mondays (23 Oct) - Eoflow, Celltrion Healthcare, JSR, Origin, Lithium Power, Poly Culture

<ul>
<li>Latest filings on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insulet-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5252:1" rel="noopener">Insulet Corp (PODD US)</a>’s voluntary dismissal without prejudice only to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flex-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36680:1" rel="noopener">Flex (FLEX US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>’s motion to restart Korean sales, dismiss a count and a timetable.</li>
<li>Examining the court filings suggests <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a>’s access to court unredacted documents is restricted. Medtronic’s limited access makes evaluating the transaction’s potential litigation risk challenging.</li>
<li>Eoflow’s defence in the court documents is based on reverse engineering and procedural arguments. The KRX will rule on Eoflow's share trading suspension by 1 November.</li>
</ul>


Latest filings on Insulet Corp (PODD US)’s voluntary dismissal without prejudice only to Flex (FLEX US), Eoflow (294090 KS)’s motion to restart Korean sales, dismiss a count and a timetable.
Examining the court filings suggests Medtronic Plc (MDT US)’s access to court unredacted documents is restricted. Medtronic’s limited access makes evaluating the transaction’s potential litigation risk challenging.
Eoflow’s defence in the court documents is based on reverse engineering and procedural arguments. The KRX will rule on Eoflow's share trading suspension by 1 November.


EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Pretrial Timetable and Latest Court Filings

United States

Medtronic, PLC develops therapeutic and diagnostic medical products. The Company's principal products include those for bradycardia pacing, tachyarrhythmia management, atrial fibrillation management, heart failure management, heart valve replacement, malignant and non-malignant pain, and movement disorders. Medtronic's products are sold worldwide.

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Medtronic (MDT UN)

Medtronic's M&A of Eoflow Timeline Postponed

The M&A between Eoflow and Medtronic has been postponed, with a new closing date set for January 3, 2024. The tender offer price may be lowered to...

Douglas Kim

EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Closing Date Extended to 3 January 2024

The bulls would say that the closing extension date suggests a done deal. The bears would say the move was Medtronic’s only move to retain option...

Arun George

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

With momentum fading in Korea, the selloff has hit the potential adds to the KOSDAQ150 especially hard. There could be a few constituent changes...

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (23 Oct) - Eoflow, Celltrion Healthcare, JSR, Origin, Lithium Power, Poly Culture

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (64.9%), Eoflow (38.2%), Hollysys (30.1%), JSR (8.2%), Haitong Intl (7.8%), LPI (7.5%), Orecorp...

Arun George

EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Pretrial Timetable and Latest Court Filings

We examine the latest court filings and highlight critical information to help investors in their decision-making process regarding this...

Arun George

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52-week Range

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Medtronic's M&A of Eoflow Timeline Postponed

​The M&A between Eoflow and Medtronic has been postponed, with a new closing date set for January 3, 2024. The tender offer price may be lowered to...

Douglas Kim

EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Closing Date Extended to 3 January 2024

The bulls would say that the closing extension date suggests a done deal. The bears would say the move was Medtronic’s only move to retain option...

Arun George

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

With momentum fading in Korea, the selloff has hit the potential adds to the KOSDAQ150 especially hard. There could be a few constituent changes...

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (23 Oct) - Eoflow, Celltrion Healthcare, JSR, Origin, Lithium Power, Poly Culture

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (64.9%), Eoflow (38.2%), Hollysys (30.1%), JSR (8.2%), Haitong Intl (7.8%), LPI (7.5%), Orecorp...

Arun George

EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Pretrial Timetable and Latest Court Filings

We examine the latest court filings and highlight critical information to help investors in their decision-making process regarding this...

Arun George

The M&A between Eoflow and Medtronic has been postponed, with a new closing date set for January 3, 2024. The tender offer price may be lowered to...