Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This insight provides a detailed analysis of Eoflow's appellant brief (released on 4 December) on Insulet Corp (PODD US)'s lawsuit. </li>
<li>We provide the following three major reasons why we believe Eoflow will win versus Insulet in this lawsuit.</li>
<li>One of the most important arguments on Eoflow's appellant brief is the DTSA three years statute of limitations.</li>
</ul>


This insight provides a detailed analysis of Eoflow's appellant brief (released on 4 December) on Insulet Corp (PODD US)'s lawsuit. 
We provide the following three major reasons why we believe Eoflow will win versus Insulet in this lawsuit.
One of the most important arguments on Eoflow's appellant brief is the DTSA three years statute of limitations.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back on the 25 May, when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> enter into a SPA with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a>'s CEO, with a follow-on Tender Offer, the whole construct looked pretty clean.</li>
<li>Then in August <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insulet-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5252:1" rel="noopener">Insulet Corp (PODD US)</a> launched its lawsuit, which in hindsight, should have been expected. Then earlier this month, news surfaced concerning a stock-backed loan to the CEO.</li>
<li>Now the CEO is selling, presumably to repay his collateralized loan. Shares are down 38% since the resumption of trading, and are now at a whopping 122% spread to terms. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 25 May, when Medtronic Plc (MDT US) enter into a SPA with EOFlow (294090 KS)'s CEO, with a follow-on Tender Offer, the whole construct looked pretty clean.
Then in August Insulet Corp (PODD US) launched its lawsuit, which in hindsight, should have been expected. Then earlier this month, news surfaced concerning a stock-backed loan to the CEO.
Now the CEO is selling, presumably to repay his collateralized loan. Shares are down 38% since the resumption of trading, and are now at a whopping 122% spread to terms. 


Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> reported Q2FY24 revenue of $8B, representing 5% organic growth, topping guidance of 4.0–4.5%. Cardiovascular, neuroscience, and medical surgical grew mid-single-digit with diabetes accelerating to high-single-digit.</li>
<li>The company now expects FY24 organic revenue growth of 4.75% versus the prior 4.5%. Medtronic raised FY24 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.13–5.19 from $5.08–5.16 earlier.</li>
<li>In November, the company has received FDA approval for innovative renal denervation device for the treatment of hypertension, which should open a multi-billion-dollar market opportunity.</li>
</ul>



Medtronic Plc (MDT US) reported Q2FY24 revenue of $8B, representing 5% organic growth, topping guidance of 4.0–4.5%. Cardiovascular, neuroscience, and medical surgical grew mid-single-digit with diabetes accelerating to high-single-digit.
The company now expects FY24 organic revenue growth of 4.75% versus the prior 4.5%. Medtronic raised FY24 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.13–5.19 from $5.08–5.16 earlier.
In November, the company has received FDA approval for innovative renal denervation device for the treatment of hypertension, which should open a multi-billion-dollar market opportunity.


Medtronic (MDT US): Beat-And-Raise Q2; Weight Loss Drugs Not to Impact Growth; New Device Approval

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15915:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)</a> is poised for multi-year growth through strong market demand for its technically superior guidewires, market leadership positioning, new product launches, and direct marketing initiatives.</li>
<li>In FY24, Asahi Intecc aims to achieve revenue of ¥100B (+11% YoY), a significant milestone. The company targets revenue of ¥110B and an operating profit margin of 23–25% in FY26.</li>
<li>Asahi Intecc is expected to be a continued beneficiary of global procedure volume recovery. The company is likely to achieve its medium-term business plan ahead of schedule.</li>
</ul>



Asahi Intecc (7747 JP) is poised for multi-year growth through strong market demand for its technically superior guidewires, market leadership positioning, new product launches, and direct marketing initiatives.
In FY24, Asahi Intecc aims to achieve revenue of ¥100B (+11% YoY), a significant milestone. The company targets revenue of ¥110B and an operating profit margin of 23–25% in FY26.
Asahi Intecc is expected to be a continued beneficiary of global procedure volume recovery. The company is likely to achieve its medium-term business plan ahead of schedule.


2024 High Conviction: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Procedure Volume Recovery to Accelerate Growth

<ul>
<li>On 15 November, the Korea Exchange announced that Eoflow (294090 KS) will start trading again on 16 November.</li>
<li>The fact that KRX has allowed Eoflow to trade again will be viewed positively by many investors. Plus, the recent temporary ban on short selling should also positively impact Eoflow.</li>
<li>We believe a higher probability event is for Medtronic to complete a tender offer of Eoflow sometime in 2Q 2024 at about 26,000 won. </li>
</ul>


On 15 November, the Korea Exchange announced that Eoflow (294090 KS) will start trading again on 16 November.
The fact that KRX has allowed Eoflow to trade again will be viewed positively by many investors. Plus, the recent temporary ban on short selling should also positively impact Eoflow.
We believe a higher probability event is for Medtronic to complete a tender offer of Eoflow sometime in 2Q 2024 at about 26,000 won. 


Eoflow: Outlook After Trading Resumes on 16 November

United States

Medtronic, PLC develops therapeutic and diagnostic medical products. The Company's principal products include those for bradycardia pacing, tachyarrhythmia management, atrial fibrillation management, heart failure management, heart valve replacement, malignant and non-malignant pain, and movement disorders. Medtronic's products are sold worldwide.

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Medtronic Plc (MDT US)

Eoflow Vs Insulet: Round II

This insight provides an analysis of Eoflow's appellant brief on Insulet's lawsuit. We provide the three major reasons why we believe Eoflow will...

Douglas Kim

EOFlow (Further) Tests Investor Patience

The Appellant Brief Is out. EOFlow flags. inter alia, the statute of limitations; whether Insulet faces a significant risk of irreparable harm;...

David Blennerhassett

Medtronic (MDT US): Beat-And-Raise Q2; Weight Loss Drugs Not to Impact Growth; New Device Approval

Medtronic reported Q2FY24 organic revenue growth of 5%. The company raised FY24 organic revenue growth and EPS guidance. FDA approval for a new...

Tina Banerjee

2024 High Conviction: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Procedure Volume Recovery to Accelerate Growth

Asahi Intecc is poised for double-digit sales growth through FY26, driven by strong market demand for guidewires, market leadership positioning,...

Tina Banerjee

Eoflow: Outlook After Trading Resumes on 16 November

The Korea Exchange announced that Eoflow will start trading again on 16 November. The fact that KRX has allowed Eoflow to trade again will be...

Douglas Kim

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Eoflow Vs Insulet: Round II

This insight provides an analysis of Eoflow's appellant brief on Insulet's lawsuit. We provide the three major reasons why we believe Eoflow will...

Douglas Kim

EOFlow (Further) Tests Investor Patience

The Appellant Brief Is out. EOFlow flags. inter alia, the statute of limitations; whether Insulet faces a significant risk of irreparable harm;...

David Blennerhassett

Medtronic (MDT US): Beat-And-Raise Q2; Weight Loss Drugs Not to Impact Growth; New Device Approval

​Medtronic reported Q2FY24 organic revenue growth of 5%. The company raised FY24 organic revenue growth and EPS guidance. FDA approval for a new...

Tina Banerjee

2024 High Conviction: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Procedure Volume Recovery to Accelerate Growth

Asahi Intecc is poised for double-digit sales growth through FY26, driven by strong market demand for guidewires, market leadership positioning,...

Tina Banerjee

Eoflow: Outlook After Trading Resumes on 16 November

The Korea Exchange announced that Eoflow will start trading again on 16 November. The fact that KRX has allowed Eoflow to trade again will be...

Douglas Kim

Medtronic reported Q2FY24 organic revenue growth of 5%. The company raised FY24 organic revenue growth and EPS guidance. FDA approval for a new...