Research from ACF Equity Research, ACF Equity Research

ACF Equity Research

Research from ACF Equity Research

Accuracy | Clarity | Foresight

ACF was set up to improve the effectiveness of capital markets for smaller and mid-sized companies. The majority of jobs are created by smaller companies not global companies. If we can help improve companies use of capital markets more projects will be completed, more jobs created, more global GDP grown, which in turn helps create more resources for education, leading to equality and opportunity for those who are still oppressed by ignorance and poverty.

ACF Equity Research is an independent research house specialising in the highest specification independent equity research for corporate clients.

We deliver premium independent corporate sponsored equity research characterised by its accuracy, clarity and foresight based upon a fundamental valuation approach.

Our independent research is designed to educate our professional investor readers about your company, with an emphasis on clear and accurate explanations. Our mission is to improve company’s liquidity through credible equity research services, excellent international distribution and reliable access for investment managers.

We believe in the importance and value of clarity, the careful articulation of technical ideas, concepts and solutions.

Our team of analysts are independently minded individuals who believe in thoroughness, technical competence and clear punchy communications.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We consider the merged platform Kadimastem (KDST.TA) + NLS Pharmaceutics (NLSP:NasdaqCM).</li>
<li>We provide an investment case analysis and a selection of merged metrics prior to any synergies.</li>
<li>The merger creates a cross-platform pre-revenue biotech with lead programs including a proprietary stem-differentiation platform capable of delivering scalable therapies for replacing lost or damaged cells; IsletRx could revolutionize insulin production for Type 1 diabetes (T1D) patients; AstroRx® targets neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs); and a clinical-stage Dual Orexin Receptor Agonist (DOXA) platform targets NDD therapies and metabolic disorders including ALS and sleep-wake disorders.</li>
</ul>


We consider the merged platform Kadimastem (KDST.TA) + NLS Pharmaceutics (NLSP:NasdaqCM).
We provide an investment case analysis and a selection of merged metrics prior to any synergies.
The merger creates a cross-platform pre-revenue biotech with lead programs including a proprietary stem-differentiation platform capable of delivering scalable therapies for replacing lost or damaged cells; IsletRx could revolutionize insulin production for Type 1 diabetes (T1D) patients; AstroRx® targets neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs); and a clinical-stage Dual Orexin Receptor Agonist (DOXA) platform targets NDD therapies and metabolic disorders including ALS and sleep-wake disorders.


KDST + NLSP Combined Core Investment Case 29052025

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

Event-Driven

<ul><li>I sold Garrett Motion (GTX). Nothing against GTX as the stock still looks cheap at 6.6x FCF and 6.6x EBITDA.</li><li>But it’s been incredibly strong, and I don’t quite understand why.</li><li>Further, PE owners Oaktree, Centerbridge and Cyrus, were planning to sell 17MM shares in a secondary offering (looks like the secondary is being pulled).</li></ul>

I sold Garrett Motion (GTX). Nothing against GTX as the stock still looks cheap at 6.6x FCF and 6.6x EBITDA.But it’s been incredibly strong, and I don’t quite understand why.Further, PE owners Oaktree, Centerbridge and Cyrus, were planning to sell 17MM shares in a secondary offering (looks like the secondary is being pulled).

Weekly Update (GTX, HAVAS, LION, SNRE, MDT)

<ul>
<li>Diabetes mellitus, Type 1 (T1D) and Type 2 (T2D, 85-90% of cases), is a USD ~75bn global therapy market.</li>
<li>Global economic costs of diabetes may exceed USD1 trn today and USD 450bn in the US, suggesting a pressing global health challenge.</li>
<li>Diabetes is a chronic metabolic disorder characterized by high blood sugar levels.</li>
</ul>


Diabetes mellitus, Type 1 (T1D) and Type 2 (T2D, 85-90% of cases), is a USD ~75bn global therapy market.
Global economic costs of diabetes may exceed USD1 trn today and USD 450bn in the US, suggesting a pressing global health challenge.
Diabetes is a chronic metabolic disorder characterized by high blood sugar levels.


ACF Thematic Research Regenerative Medicine Diabetes Treatment & Innovation 13032025

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Adtalem Global Education  / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As discussed throughout January, we believe that tariffs will mostly be used as a negotiation tactic, and much like Trump's prior presidency, will be much less impactful than feared.</li>
<li>We reiterated this in yesterday's pre-market ETF Pathfinder (Feb.3), also noting "we anticipate the Canada/Mexico tariffs to be resolved quickly, and we view the latest pullback as a buying opportunity."</li>
<li>Sure enough, both Mexico and, later, Canada, came to an agreement with Trump to delay tariffs for 30 days. Short-term support remains at the prior 1-month downtrend on the SPX.</li>
</ul>


As discussed throughout January, we believe that tariffs will mostly be used as a negotiation tactic, and much like Trump's prior presidency, will be much less impactful than feared.
We reiterated this in yesterday's pre-market ETF Pathfinder (Feb.3), also noting "we anticipate the Canada/Mexico tariffs to be resolved quickly, and we view the latest pullback as a buying opportunity."
Sure enough, both Mexico and, later, Canada, came to an agreement with Trump to delay tariffs for 30 days. Short-term support remains at the prior 1-month downtrend on the SPX.


S&P 500 Holding Above Prior Breakout Level Yet Again; Market Dynamics Remain Risk-On; Still Bullish

<ul>
<li>DeepSeek appears to have turned the chatbot market upside-down, putting pressure on AI-linked stocks. The dust has yet to settle, but the selloff has been largely contained to AI-linked stocks.</li>
<li>The rest of the market did not seem to care; the equal-weighted S&amp;P 500 was roughly flat yesterday.</li>
<li>Additionally, market dynamics remain healthy. Bottom line: as long as the S&amp;P 500 remains above 5600-5670, our long-term outlook remains bullish.</li>
</ul>


DeepSeek appears to have turned the chatbot market upside-down, putting pressure on AI-linked stocks. The dust has yet to settle, but the selloff has been largely contained to AI-linked stocks.
The rest of the market did not seem to care; the equal-weighted S&amp;P 500 was roughly flat yesterday.
Additionally, market dynamics remain healthy. Bottom line: as long as the S&amp;P 500 remains above 5600-5670, our long-term outlook remains bullish.


S&P 500 Testing Prior Breakout Level; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy Despite AI-Linked Weakness

United States

Medtronic, PLC develops therapeutic and diagnostic medical products. The Company's principal products include those for bradycardia pacing, tachyarrhythmia management, atrial fibrillation management, heart failure management, heart valve replacement, malignant and non-malignant pain, and movement disorders. Medtronic's products are sold worldwide.

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Medtronic Plc (MDT US)

KDST + NLSP Combined Core Investment Case 29052025

We consider the merged platform Kadimastem (KDST.TA) + NLS Pharmaceutics (NLSP:NasdaqCM). We provide an investment case analysis and a selection of...

ACF Equity Research

Weekly Update (GTX, HAVAS, LION, SNRE, MDT)

I sold Garrett Motion (GTX). Nothing against GTX as the stock still looks cheap at 6.6x FCF and 6.6x EBITDA. But it’s been incredibly strong, and I...

Richard Howe

ACF Thematic Research Regenerative Medicine Diabetes Treatment & Innovation 13032025

Global economic costs of diabetes may exceed USD1 trn today and USD 450bn in the US, suggesting a pressing global health challenge.

ACF Equity Research

S&P 500 Holding Above Prior Breakout Level Yet Again; Market Dynamics Remain Risk-On; Still Bullish

S&P 500 $SPX Holding Above Prior Breakout Level Yet Again, as are most indexes $QQQ $ARKK $IJH $DJI $RSP; Market Dynamics Remain Risk-On; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

S&P 500 Testing Prior Breakout Level; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy Despite AI-Linked Weakness

$SPX Testing Prior Breakout Level; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy Despite AI-Linked Weakness; $DXY, Treasury yields, and crude oil near-term tops...

Vermilion Research

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