Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Domestic credit growth in Hong Kong weakened further in latest monthly release at -2.2% YoY. Weekly Centa City Leading Index grinds lower, a more HFD point relevant to credit</li>
<li>The acceleration in domestic credit growth in Indonesia is unique, where growth is up to +11.2% YoY in most recent month vs +5.2% YoY in the same month last year  </li>
<li>We remain concerned about credit metrics for HK's banks given contracting growth, worsening property, which is collateral. Many HK banks have done little in provisioning </li>
</ul>


Domestic credit growth in Hong Kong weakened further in latest monthly release at -2.2% YoY. Weekly Centa City Leading Index grinds lower, a more HFD point relevant to credit
The acceleration in domestic credit growth in Indonesia is unique, where growth is up to +11.2% YoY in most recent month vs +5.2% YoY in the same month last year  
We remain concerned about credit metrics for HK's banks given contracting growth, worsening property, which is collateral. Many HK banks have done little in provisioning 


Asia Credit - HK Weakens More, Indonesia, Taiwan Remain Strong, and Improving

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 24th. The aggregated holding was USD2,357.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus Interconnect Technology, ASE Industrial, PharmaEssentia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 24th. The aggregated holding was USD2,357.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus Interconnect Technology, ASE Industrial, PharmaEssentia.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 24th): MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We use quantamental screens to identify overvalued stocks in Asia, with weak fundamentals – consistently low earnings growth, forecast return ratios less than cost of capital, and over-leveraged balance sheets.</li>
<li>We screen Asia-listed stocks above US$1bn market cap on declining EPS CAGR over next 2 years, less than 10% ROE, higher than 1x PEG and P/BV, more than 80% D/E.</li>
<li>We identify 30 stocks: 11 from HK/China, 9 from Japan, 4 from Taiwan, 3 from India, and one each from Korea, Malaysia and Singapore. Financials, property, industrials dominate the list.</li>
</ul>


We use quantamental screens to identify overvalued stocks in Asia, with weak fundamentals – consistently low earnings growth, forecast return ratios less than cost of capital, and over-leveraged balance sheets.
We screen Asia-listed stocks above US$1bn market cap on declining EPS CAGR over next 2 years, less than 10% ROE, higher than 1x PEG and P/BV, more than 80% D/E.
We identify 30 stocks: 11 from HK/China, 9 from Japan, 4 from Taiwan, 3 from India, and one each from Korea, Malaysia and Singapore. Financials, property, industrials dominate the list.


Asian Equities: The Overvalued, Low Growth, Over-Leveraged Stocks

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated holding was USD2,267.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD938mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Wistron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 11th. The aggregated holding was USD2,267.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD938mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Wistron.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 11th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Wistron

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated holding was USD2,270.6bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,773mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Nanya Technology, Wiwynn, Winbond Electronics, Unimicron Technology, Quanta Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 4th. The aggregated holding was USD2,270.6bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,773mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Nanya Technology, Wiwynn, Winbond Electronics, Unimicron Technology, Quanta Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 4th): Nanya Technology, Wiwynn, Winbond Electronics

Taiwan

Mega Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company accepts deposits, issues financial debentures, provides medium and long term loans to enterprises, as well as provides brokerage, dealer and insurance services.

Mega Financial Holding Co., Ltd (2886 TT)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mega Financial Holding Co., Ltd (2886 TT)

Asia Credit - HK Weakens More, Indonesia, Taiwan Remain Strong, and Improving

Domestic credit growth HFD shows weakening figures in Hong Kong, far better figures and strong in Indonesia, and still strong, rising in Taiwan....

Daniel Tabbush

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 24th): MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equities: The Overvalued, Low Growth, Over-Leveraged Stocks

Quantamental screens reveal overvalued Asian stocks with low earnings growth, low return ratios, and high leverage. 30 stocks identified across...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 11th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 4th): Nanya Technology, Wiwynn, Winbond Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Nanya Technology, Wiwynn, Winbond Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia Credit - HK Weakens More, Indonesia, Taiwan Remain Strong, and Improving

Domestic credit growth HFD shows weakening figures in Hong Kong, far better figures and strong in Indonesia, and still strong, rising in Taiwan....

Daniel Tabbush

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 24th): MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equities: The Overvalued, Low Growth, Over-Leveraged Stocks

​Quantamental screens reveal overvalued Asian stocks with low earnings growth, low return ratios, and high leverage. 30 stocks identified across...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 11th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial, MediaTek, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Delta Electronics, ASE Industrial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 4th): Nanya Technology, Wiwynn, Winbond Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Nanya Technology, Wiwynn, Winbond Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quantamental screens reveal overvalued Asian stocks with low earnings growth, low return ratios, and high leverage. 30 stocks identified across...