Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>I-Scream Media reported its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 32,000 won, which is at the low end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>A total of 561 institutional investors participated in the IPO survey. The final demand ratio was 31.3 to 1.</li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests an implied price per share of 41,450 won, which represent a 29.5% upside from the IPO price.</li>
</ul>


I-Scream Media reported its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 32,000 won, which is at the low end of the IPO price range.
A total of 561 institutional investors participated in the IPO survey. The final demand ratio was 31.3 to 1.
Our valuation analysis suggests an implied price per share of 41,450 won, which represent a 29.5% upside from the IPO price.


I-Scream Media IPO Book Building Results Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests a base case implied market cap of 567 billion won or implied price per share of 41,450 won.</li>
<li>This suggests a 3% upside to the high end of the IPO price range. We would not subscribe to this IPO due to lack of upside.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation is based on P/E of 18.8x using the company's net profit of 30.2 billion won in 2023.</li>
</ul>


Our valuation analysis suggests a base case implied market cap of 567 billion won or implied price per share of 41,450 won.
This suggests a 3% upside to the high end of the IPO price range. We would not subscribe to this IPO due to lack of upside.
Our base case valuation is based on P/E of 18.8x using the company's net profit of 30.2 billion won in 2023.


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The reshuffle results align with expectations, but the decision to list 11 KOSDAQ Global stocks in April is surprising. Local authorities seem to prioritize boosting the derivatives market for liquidity.</li>
<li>Ecopro Materials' SSF listing, earlier than expected, attracts attention, potentially leading to an unusual basis pattern, coinciding with a major lockup release on May 17th.</li>
<li>We should also be wary of a pattern akin to last July's in KOSDAQ stocks. Spot prices of recent SSFs showed a pronounced short-term uptrend, especially in KOSDAQ, versus KOSPI.</li>
</ul>


The reshuffle results align with expectations, but the decision to list 11 KOSDAQ Global stocks in April is surprising. Local authorities seem to prioritize boosting the derivatives market for liquidity.
Ecopro Materials' SSF listing, earlier than expected, attracts attention, potentially leading to an unusual basis pattern, coinciding with a major lockup release on May 17th.
We should also be wary of a pattern akin to last July's in KOSDAQ stocks. Spot prices of recent SSFs showed a pronounced short-term uptrend, especially in KOSDAQ, versus KOSPI.


KRX's Official SSF/SSO Reshuffle Results: Trading Considerations

<ul>
<li>On 16 April, Megastudyedu Co, Ltd. (215200 KS) announced a major shareholder return plan, driving up its share price by 14.2% to 60,400 won. </li>
<li>Driven by this attractive shareholder return plan combined with improving fundamentals, we believe that Megastudy Education's shares could continue to outperform the market in the next several months. </li>
<li>The total shareholder returns including share buybacks/cancellation and dividends are 60% of the company's non-consolidated net profit from 2024 to 2026.</li>
</ul>


On 16 April, Megastudyedu Co, Ltd. (215200 KS) announced a major shareholder return plan, driving up its share price by 14.2% to 60,400 won. 
Driven by this attractive shareholder return plan combined with improving fundamentals, we believe that Megastudy Education's shares could continue to outperform the market in the next several months. 
The total shareholder returns including share buybacks/cancellation and dividends are 60% of the company's non-consolidated net profit from 2024 to 2026.


Megastudy Education: A Major Shareholder Return Policy in 2024-2026

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 26th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 26th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 26th): Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings

South Korea

MegaStudyEdu Co., Ltd. offers online and offline educational programs to middle and high school students.  The Company provides college entrance test preparatory courses, e-learning, and college admission advisory services.

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Megastudyedu Co, Ltd. (215200 KS)

I-Scream Media IPO Book Building Results Analysis

I-Scream Media reported its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 32,000 won, which is at the low end of the IPO price...

Douglas Kim

I-Scream Media IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of I Scream Media is target price of 41,450 won which suggests a 3% upside to the high end of the IPO price range. We would...

Douglas Kim

KRX's Official SSF/SSO Reshuffle Results: Trading Considerations

As pointed out in this post, considering KOSDAQ additions as a long basket is suitable. However, stocks with high pre-reshuffle price appreciation...

Sanghyun Park

Megastudy Education: A Major Shareholder Return Policy in 2024-2026

Megastudy Education announced a major shareholder return plan which includes share buybacks/cancellation and dividends are 60% of the company's non...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 26th): Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Posco Dx, Ecopro, Posco Holdings.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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