IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4paradigm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34465:1" rel="noopener">4Paradigm (1764934D HK)</a>, a leader in enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) in China, is pre-marketing a US$150-200 million HKEx IPO.</li>
<li>In <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/4paradigm-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:112776" rel="noopener">4Paradigm IPO: The Bull Case</a></em></strong>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on Sage Platform’s rapid slowdown, high customer concentration risk, recent gross margin pressure, FCF burn, rising cash collection cycle and BIS entity list designation. </li>
</ul>



4Paradigm (1764934D HK), a leader in enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) in China, is pre-marketing a US$150-200 million HKEx IPO.
In 4Paradigm IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on Sage Platform’s rapid slowdown, high customer concentration risk, recent gross margin pressure, FCF burn, rising cash collection cycle and BIS entity list designation. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4paradigm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34465:1" rel="noopener">4Paradigm (1764934D HK)</a>, a leader in enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) in China, is pre-marketing a US$150-200 million HKEx IPO.  </li>
<li>4Paradigm was the largest player by revenue in China’s platform-centric decision-making AI market with a market share of 22.6% in 2022, according to CIC. </li>
<li>The bull case rests on the success in increasing key account customer numbers, net dollar expansion rates, improving revenue visibility, strong growth in application development services and reducing loss margin.</li>
</ul>



4Paradigm (1764934D HK), a leader in enterprise artificial intelligence (AI) in China, is pre-marketing a US$150-200 million HKEx IPO.  
4Paradigm was the largest player by revenue in China’s platform-centric decision-making AI market with a market share of 22.6% in 2022, according to CIC. 
The bull case rests on the success in increasing key account customer numbers, net dollar expansion rates, improving revenue visibility, strong growth in application development services and reducing loss margin.


Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Private Capital Markets

Megvii Technology / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Megvii is a leading artificial intelligence company in China focusing on IoT scenarios for mainly three fields including Consumer IoT, City IoT and Supply Chain IoT. </li>
<li>In June 2022, Megvii's chief scientist Sun Jian passed away due to a sudden illness. His death was one of the key reasons why the company has postponed the IPO.</li>
<li>Major investors in Megvii include Ant Group, Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Lenovo (992 HK), and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.</li>
</ul>


Megvii is a leading artificial intelligence company in China focusing on IoT scenarios for mainly three fields including Consumer IoT, City IoT and Supply Chain IoT. 
In June 2022, Megvii's chief scientist Sun Jian passed away due to a sudden illness. His death was one of the key reasons why the company has postponed the IPO.
Major investors in Megvii include Ant Group, Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Lenovo (992 HK), and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.


Megvii: An Artificial Intelligence Powerhouse in China

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4paradigm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34465:1" rel="noopener">4Paradigm (1764934D HK)</a> is a pioneer and leader in enterprise AI. Company offers platform-centric AI solutions to enterprises that can be deployed on a large scale to support decision making.</li>
<li>The company was ranked the largest player in the platform-centric decision-making AI market in China in 2021 and has filed for a HKEx listing for the third-time this month.</li>
<li>4Paradigm’s top line and margins have improved since we last wrote on the company.</li>
</ul>



4Paradigm (1764934D HK) is a pioneer and leader in enterprise AI. Company offers platform-centric AI solutions to enterprises that can be deployed on a large scale to support decision making.
The company was ranked the largest player in the platform-centric decision-making AI market in China in 2021 and has filed for a HKEx listing for the third-time this month.
4Paradigm’s top line and margins have improved since we last wrote on the company.


Qingdao Ainnovation Technology Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ainnovation-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35386:1" rel="noopener">AInnovation Technology (AIT HK)</a> is a fast-growing enterprise AI solutions provider in China. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$157 million. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ainnovation-technology-ipo-initiation-code-amber" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:63587" rel="noopener">AInnovation Technology IPO Initiation: Code Amber</a>, we stated that the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.</li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is fair. Due to our concerns about the fundamentals, we remain on the sidelines. Pricing is 20 January, listing on 27 January.</li>
</ul>



AInnovation Technology (AIT HK) is a fast-growing enterprise AI solutions provider in China. It has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$157 million. 
In AInnovation Technology IPO Initiation: Code Amber, we stated that the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price is fair. Due to our concerns about the fundamentals, we remain on the sidelines. Pricing is 20 January, listing on 27 January.


AInnovation Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

China

Beijing Megvii Co Ltd ("Face++") develops and distributes software products. The Company produces dynamic face recognition softwares, in vivo detection softwares, portrait library retrieval softwares and other products. Beijing Megvii also operates investment management, asset management, and other businesses.

Megvii Technology (1119636D CH)

4Paradigm IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on Sage Platform’s rapid slowdown, high customer concentration risk, recent gross margin pressure, FCF burn, rising cash...

Arun George

4Paradigm IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on the success in increasing key customer numbers, net dollar expansion rates, improving visibility, strong growth in...

Arun George

Megvii: An Artificial Intelligence Powerhouse in China

Megvii is a leading artificial intelligence company in China focusing on IoT scenarios for mainly three fields including Consumer IoT, City IoT and...

Douglas Kim

4Paradigm IPO: Is Third-Time a Charm?

Enterprise AI company 4Paradigm has filed for a HKEx IPO for the third-time. In this insight, we discuss the latest data points from the prospectus...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

AInnovation Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that AInnovation is fully priced at the IPO price range. Due to our concerns about the fundamentals, we remain on...

Arun George