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Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Cover Story: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward Attrition</li><li>China’s State Financial Managers Face Deep Pay Cuts as Reform Bites</li><li>Analysis: Could Global Oil Shock Trigger Imported Stagflation in China?</li></ul>

Cover Story: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward AttritionChina’s State Financial Managers Face Deep Pay Cuts as Reform BitesAnalysis: Could Global Oil Shock Trigger Imported Stagflation in China?

CX Daily: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward Attrition 

<ul><li>China’s Apartment Middlemen Lose High-Stakes Bet That Rents Will Only Go Up</li><li>In Depth: Secretive Hedge Fund at Center of Hong Kong Insider-Trading Probe</li><li>China Credit Growth Seen Slowing Amid Holiday, Weak Demand</li></ul>

China’s Apartment Middlemen Lose High-Stakes Bet That Rents Will Only Go UpIn Depth: Secretive Hedge Fund at Center of Hong Kong Insider-Trading ProbeChina Credit Growth Seen Slowing Amid Holiday, Weak Demand

CX Daily: China’s Apartment Middlemen Lose High-Stakes Bet That Rents Will Only Go Up 

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The appreciation of Rmb will bring benefits to some companies. With a lower USD rate and an inflow of funds to China, this trend is expected to continue into 2026.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/h-world-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33487:1" rel="noopener">H World Group (1179 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-environment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15946:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Environment (257 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a> are the most likely ones to gain the most.</li>
<li>The newly listed companies in Hong Kong are exposed due to the translation of massive HKD proceeds to Rmb, with the impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sicc-co-ltd-e5b2bacc-ed46-4d8e-bfb1-ff952e730eae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45752:1" rel="noopener">SICC (2631 HK)</a> being the heaviest. </li>
</ul>


The appreciation of Rmb will bring benefits to some companies. With a lower USD rate and an inflow of funds to China, this trend is expected to continue into 2026.

H World Group (1179 HK), China Everbright Environment (257 HK), and China National Building Material (3323 HK) are the most likely ones to gain the most.
The newly listed companies in Hong Kong are exposed due to the translation of massive HKD proceeds to Rmb, with the impact on SICC (2631 HK) being the heaviest. 


China Strategy: Revisiting the Rmb Appreciation Story

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>TSMC, Tencent and Samsung remain dominant holdings, but are increasingly held as structural underweights as managers sell into strength to manage benchmark risk.</li>
<li>2025 saw sharp ownership increases in emerging leaders such as Xiaomi, CATL and Accton, while former consensus names like Meituan and Indonesian banks were heavily exited.</li>
<li>Across regions, new stock leadership is forming in MENA, LATAM and ASEAN as capital rotates away from long-standing EM favourites into a broader set of positions.</li>
</ul>


TSMC, Tencent and Samsung remain dominant holdings, but are increasingly held as structural underweights as managers sell into strength to manage benchmark risk.
2025 saw sharp ownership increases in emerging leaders such as Xiaomi, CATL and Accton, while former consensus names like Meituan and Indonesian banks were heavily exited.
Across regions, new stock leadership is forming in MENA, LATAM and ASEAN as capital rotates away from long-standing EM favourites into a broader set of positions.


EM Active Investors’ Stock Positioning Guide

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>The materials, healthcare, and tech sectors are leading the Hong Kong market out of its consolidation pattern, with January shaping up to be one of the best in years.</li>
<li>China and Hong Kong ETF flows were the strongest in Asia during 2025 posting significant inflows throughout the year although Korea had the most significant increase at 600%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a> share price plunged after it announced an investigation into its monopolistic business practices. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)</a> shares jumped after the founder returned as CEO.
</li>
</ul>


The materials, healthcare, and tech sectors are leading the Hong Kong market out of its consolidation pattern, with January shaping up to be one of the best in years.
China and Hong Kong ETF flows were the strongest in Asia during 2025 posting significant inflows throughout the year although Korea had the most significant increase at 600%.

Trip.com Group (9961 HK) share price plunged after it announced an investigation into its monopolistic business practices. Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) shares jumped after the founder returned as CEO.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 14)

China

Meituan is a Chinese technology company that operates a platform for local services, including on-demand food delivery, in-store services, consumer reviews, hotel and travel bookings, and instant retail. The company also offers bike sharing, e-moped sharing, and grocery delivery services. Meituan is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2010.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

CX Daily: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward Attrition

Cover Story: U.S.-Israel War With Iran Drifts Toward Attrition China’s State Financial Managers Face Deep Pay Cuts as Reform Bites Analysis: Could...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: China’s Apartment Middlemen Lose High-Stakes Bet That Rents Will Only Go Up

TOP STORIES In Depth: China’s Apartment Middlemen Lose High-Stakes Bet That Rents Will Only Go Up One of the biggest companies in China’s...

Caixin Global

China Strategy: Revisiting the Rmb Appreciation Story

The Rmb has accelerated its appreciation this year, with a gain of 1.1% against the USD in just under 1.5 months. In 2025, it appreciated 4.3%,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

EM Active Investors’ Stock Positioning Guide

A detailed guide to stock positioning among the world’s largest active EM funds, highlighting dominant holdings, ownership trends, and the key...

Steven Holden

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (January 14)

Trip.com Group (9961 HK) price plunged after it announced an investigation into its monopolistic business practices. Haidilao International Holding...

David Mudd

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