Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1024HK：Kuaishou will charge merchants for using the "Buy now, Pay later" marketing tool (+)</li>
<li>PDD/ BABA/ Shein: Extra color on PDD’s Shein lawsuit (+/+/-)</li>
<li>PDD/ BABA: Nike rumored to launch official outlet store on PDD (+/-)</li>
</ul>


1024HK：Kuaishou will charge merchants for using the "Buy now, Pay later" marketing tool (+)
PDD/ BABA/ Shein: Extra color on PDD’s Shein lawsuit (+/+/-)
PDD/ BABA: Nike rumored to launch official outlet store on PDD (+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update] 1024 HK/PDD/BABA/Shein/VIPS/3690 HK/JD

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-26970'>Meituan</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Meituan

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

REPT BATTERO Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rept-battero-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36626:1" rel="noopener">REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT) </a>raised around US$270m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>REPT is a lithium-ion battery manufacturer in China, focusing on R&amp;D, production, and sales of EV/ESS lithium-ion battery products such as battery cells, modules and packs.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT) raised around US$270m in its Hong Kong IPO.
REPT is a lithium-ion battery manufacturer in China, focusing on R&amp;D, production, and sales of EV/ESS lithium-ion battery products such as battery cells, modules and packs.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


REPT BATTERO Energy IPO Trading - Needs to Correct by 20-30%, at Least

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We don’t consider Douyin an existential threat to Meituan, but we see the company’s growth increasingly be constrained by its business model itself.</li>
<li>We believe Meituan will disappoint the market with regard to its bottom line growth in 2024, barring major overhaul of its new initiative businesses.</li>
<li>Meituan will have to make tough choice between growth and profitability and either scenario won’t bode well for its valuation. We value the company at RMB410 billion, meaning 18% downside.</li>
</ul>


We don’t consider Douyin an existential threat to Meituan, but we see the company’s growth increasingly be constrained by its business model itself.
We believe Meituan will disappoint the market with regard to its bottom line growth in 2024, barring major overhaul of its new initiative businesses.
Meituan will have to make tough choice between growth and profitability and either scenario won’t bode well for its valuation. We value the company at RMB410 billion, meaning 18% downside.


2024 High Conviction Idea: More Downside for Meituan

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows showing reversion tendencies continues for a fourth week. Hs rebound vs their As on the week - especially the liquid ones.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND saw HK$9.9bn of OUTflows on the week to 15 Dec, ALL of which was net sales of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>High-Div SOEs again saw action. This time with both CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) <em>and</em> China Telecom (728 HK) seeing net buying as a percentage of volume. </li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND flows showing reversion tendencies continues for a fourth week. Hs rebound vs their As on the week - especially the liquid ones.
SOUTHBOUND saw HK$9.9bn of OUTflows on the week to 15 Dec, ALL of which was net sales of Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) and Tencent (700 HK). 
High-Div SOEs again saw action. This time with both CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) and China Telecom (728 HK) seeing net buying as a percentage of volume. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15Dec23); CNOOC/Telecom/Mobile All Now To The Buy Side, Tencent NOT

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

Price Gauge
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Meituan (3690 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update] 1024 HK/PDD/BABA/Shein/VIPS/3690 HK/JD

Kuaishou to charge merchants for "Buy now, Pay later" tool; PDD's Shein lawsuit update; Nike may open official store on PDD.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Morning Views Asia: Meituan

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

REPT BATTERO Energy IPO Trading - Needs to Correct by 20-30%, at Least

REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT) raised around US$270m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

2024 High Conviction Idea: More Downside for Meituan

We believe Meituan will disappoint market in terms of bottom line growth in 2024 due to the constraints of its business model. We valued the...

Eric Chen

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15Dec23); CNOOC/Telecom/Mobile All Now To The Buy Side, Tencent NOT

SOUTHBOUND HK Connect Flows were lower than previous weeks in stock-picking but flows on ETFs were significant. NET flows were HK$9.9bn to the sell...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update] 1024 HK/PDD/BABA/Shein/VIPS/3690 HK/JD

​Kuaishou to charge merchants for "Buy now, Pay later" tool; PDD's Shein lawsuit update; Nike may open official store on PDD.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Morning Views Asia: Meituan

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

REPT BATTERO Energy IPO Trading - Needs to Correct by 20-30%, at Least

REPT BATTERO Energy (REPT) raised around US$270m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

2024 High Conviction Idea: More Downside for Meituan

We believe Meituan will disappoint market in terms of bottom line growth in 2024 due to the constraints of its business model. We valued the...

Eric Chen

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15Dec23); CNOOC/Telecom/Mobile All Now To The Buy Side, Tencent NOT

SOUTHBOUND HK Connect Flows were lower than previous weeks in stock-picking but flows on ETFs were significant. NET flows were HK$9.9bn to the sell...

Travis Lundy

Kuaishou to charge merchants for "Buy now, Pay later" tool; PDD's Shein lawsuit update; Nike may open official store on PDD.