HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-class-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> achieved a significant QoQ narrowing down in losses, with improvements at both the Core Local Commerce and New Initiatives segments.</li>
<li>Management appears positive towards the outlook as irrational subsidies have tamed and New Initiatives achieved better efficiency and economics.</li>
<li>The stock trades on 2.8x P/B (over 1SD below average) and the turnaround in next two years means PERs of 21.6x and 14.4x for FY27 and FY28 justified.</li>
</ul>



Meituan (3690 HK) achieved a significant QoQ narrowing down in losses, with improvements at both the Core Local Commerce and New Initiatives segments.
Management appears positive towards the outlook as irrational subsidies have tamed and New Initiatives achieved better efficiency and economics.
The stock trades on 2.8x P/B (over 1SD below average) and the turnaround in next two years means PERs of 21.6x and 14.4x for FY27 and FY28 justified.


2026 High Conviction Update: Meituan (3690 HK) - Seeing Positive Signs

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market continues to trade sideways, with pockets of AI-themed stocks surging.  IPO activity remains robust in the technology sector.</li>
<li>Growth and momentum factors have underperformed so far in 2026, as stagnation in mainland domestic consumption is reflected in the underperformance of the consumer discretionary and staples sectors.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> received a BUY rating from Deutsche Bank with a target price of $186.  The company's cloud infrastructure revenue rose 79% in 1Q26.
</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market continues to trade sideways, with pockets of AI-themed stocks surging.  IPO activity remains robust in the technology sector.
Growth and momentum factors have underperformed so far in 2026, as stagnation in mainland domestic consumption is reflected in the underperformance of the consumer discretionary and staples sectors.

Baidu (9888 HK) received a BUY rating from Deutsche Bank with a target price of $186.  The company's cloud infrastructure revenue rose 79% in 1Q26.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (5/27/26)

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>The deliveries still grew strongly by 24% YoY in November 2025.</li>
<li>We believe Geely will take BYD’s place as the largest Chinese producer.</li>
<li>We also believe the stock has an upside of 49% for the next twelve months.</li>
</ul>


The deliveries still grew strongly by 24% YoY in November 2025.
We believe Geely will take BYD’s place as the largest Chinese producer.
We also believe the stock has an upside of 49% for the next twelve months.


2026 High Conviction: Geely (175 HK) To Be the Largest

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> approved AGM agenda items late last week to enable the two Capitalisation Issues and Naspers' Share Consolidation to move forward.</li>
<li>What Will Happen: Prosus will issue new N shares to its shareholders and Naspers will reject them. Naspers will issue new shares to its shareholders, and Prosus will reject them.</li>
<li>Naspers will own ~42.9% of Prosus, Prosus will own 0.02% of Naspers. Sales of Tencent shares will continue. Share Buybacks too. But the ouroboros will have spit out its tail. </li>
</ul>


Shareholders of Prosus NV (PRX NA) and Naspers (NPN SJ) approved AGM agenda items late last week to enable the two Capitalisation Issues and Naspers' Share Consolidation to move forward.
What Will Happen: Prosus will issue new N shares to its shareholders and Naspers will reject them. Naspers will issue new shares to its shareholders, and Prosus will reject them.
Naspers will own ~42.9% of Prosus, Prosus will own 0.02% of Naspers. Sales of Tencent shares will continue. Share Buybacks too. But the ouroboros will have spit out its tail. 


Prosus/Naspers - The ουροβóρος Is Dead! Long Live The Ouroboros!

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>'s FY25 result is at the low end of the loss range it indicated. However, gross and operating margins have signs of stabilisation in 4Q25. </li>
<li>We have already passed the trough of the Core Local Commerce as the government has stepped up anti-involution efforts, and losses and margins have improved QoQ.</li>
<li>Loss of New Initiatives has expanded QoQ, but Keeta in Saudi Arabia is breaking even sooner than expected, which is positive.</li>
</ul>



Meituan (3690 HK)'s FY25 result is at the low end of the loss range it indicated. However, gross and operating margins have signs of stabilisation in 4Q25. 
We have already passed the trough of the Core Local Commerce as the government has stepped up anti-involution efforts, and losses and margins have improved QoQ.
Loss of New Initiatives has expanded QoQ, but Keeta in Saudi Arabia is breaking even sooner than expected, which is positive.


2026 High Conviction Update: Meituan (3690 HK) - Still Convinced

China

Meituan is a Chinese technology company that operates a platform for local services, including on-demand food delivery, in-store services, consumer reviews, hotel and travel bookings, and instant retail. The company also offers bike sharing, e-moped sharing, and grocery delivery services. Meituan is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2010.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

2026 High Conviction Update: Meituan (3690 HK) - Seeing Positive Signs

Meituan sees QoQ loss reduction with positive outlook on improved efficiency and economics. The stock trades on 1SD below average P/B but this is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (5/27/26)

The Hong Kong market continues to trade sideways, with pockets of AI-themed stocks surging. IPO activity remains robust in the technology sector.

David Mudd

2026 High Conviction: Geely (175 HK) To Be the Largest

The deliveries grew strongly by 24% YoY in Nov. 2025. We believe Geely will take BYD’s place as the largest Chinese producer. We believe the stock...

Ming Lu

Prosus/Naspers - The ουροβóρος Is Dead! Long Live The Ouroboros!

The Prosus/Naspers Ouroboros is Dead. Long live the Prosus/Naspers Ouroboros. Prosus is an Accretion Engine. Know it. Use it.

Travis Lundy

2026 High Conviction Update: Meituan (3690 HK) - Still Convinced

Meituan's FY25 results show signs of stabilisation in margins with losses at the low end of the profit warning, indicating improvement in core...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

2026 High Conviction Update: Meituan (3690 HK) - Seeing Positive Signs

​Meituan sees QoQ loss reduction with positive outlook on improved efficiency and economics. The stock trades on 1SD below average P/B but this is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (5/27/26)

The Hong Kong market continues to trade sideways, with pockets of AI-themed stocks surging. IPO activity remains robust in the technology sector.

David Mudd

2026 High Conviction: Geely (175 HK) To Be the Largest

The deliveries grew strongly by 24% YoY in Nov. 2025. We believe Geely will take BYD’s place as the largest Chinese producer. We believe the stock...

Ming Lu

Prosus/Naspers - The ουροβóρος Is Dead! Long Live The Ouroboros!

The Prosus/Naspers Ouroboros is Dead. Long live the Prosus/Naspers Ouroboros. Prosus is an Accretion Engine. Know it. Use it.

Travis Lundy

2026 High Conviction Update: Meituan (3690 HK) - Still Convinced

​Meituan's FY25 results show signs of stabilisation in margins with losses at the low end of the profit warning, indicating improvement in core...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Meituan sees QoQ loss reduction with positive outlook on improved efficiency and economics. The stock trades on 1SD below average P/B but this is...

Meituan's FY25 results show signs of stabilisation in margins with losses at the low end of the profit warning, indicating improvement in core...