Research from ACF Equity Research, ACF Equity Research

ACF Equity Research

Research from ACF Equity Research

Accuracy | Clarity | Foresight

ACF was set up to improve the effectiveness of capital markets for smaller and mid-sized companies. The majority of jobs are created by smaller companies not global companies. If we can help improve companies use of capital markets more projects will be completed, more jobs created, more global GDP grown, which in turn helps create more resources for education, leading to equality and opportunity for those who are still oppressed by ignorance and poverty.

ACF Equity Research is an independent research house specialising in the highest specification independent equity research for corporate clients.

We deliver premium independent corporate sponsored equity research characterised by its accuracy, clarity and foresight based upon a fundamental valuation approach.

Our independent research is designed to educate our professional investor readers about your company, with an emphasis on clear and accurate explanations. Our mission is to improve company’s liquidity through credible equity research services, excellent international distribution and reliable access for investment managers.

We believe in the importance and value of clarity, the careful articulation of technical ideas, concepts and solutions.

Our team of analysts are independently minded individuals who believe in thoroughness, technical competence and clear punchy communications.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Lung Cancer Cough (LCC) is an under-served, perhaps unserved therapeutic subsegment of the Lung Cancer/Oncology market.</li><li>57-65% of early diagnosis lung cancer patients suffer from LCC, it is a highly debilitating condition.</li><li>The US lung cancer therapeutics market consensus values range from ~USD 29.9bn in 2023 to ~USD 71.3bn in 2034, suggesting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2% over our 10 year forecast period.</li></ul>

Lung Cancer Cough (LCC) is an under-served, perhaps unserved therapeutic subsegment of the Lung Cancer/Oncology market.57-65% of early diagnosis lung cancer patients suffer from LCC, it is a highly debilitating condition.The US lung cancer therapeutics market consensus values range from ~USD 29.9bn in 2023 to ~USD 71.3bn in 2034, suggesting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2% over our 10 year forecast period.

Merus NV - ACF Thematic Oncology Lung Cancer Cough LCC 25042025

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Rex American Resources / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.</li>
<li>SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.


Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>M&amp;A and deal activity provided a much-needed tailwind for biotech last week.</li><li>Exiting a positive, but mostly expected, ASCO weekend, we witnessed the second-largest biotech acquisition in 2025, with SNY buying BPMC for $9.1 billion, and a mega-licensing deal, as BMY will pay up to $11.1 billion for co- rights to BNTX’s PD-1/VEGF (read-across to TIL, SMMT, PFE, MRK).</li><li>Gene and cell therapy (NTLA, BEAM, CRSP) got a boost, as the heads of the HHS, FDA, CBER, NIH, and CDC expressed support for faster rare disease approvals at an FDA roundtable. </li></ul>

M&amp;A and deal activity provided a much-needed tailwind for biotech last week.Exiting a positive, but mostly expected, ASCO weekend, we witnessed the second-largest biotech acquisition in 2025, with SNY buying BPMC for $9.1 billion, and a mega-licensing deal, as BMY will pay up to $11.1 billion for co- rights to BNTX’s PD-1/VEGF (read-across to TIL, SMMT, PFE, MRK).Gene and cell therapy (NTLA, BEAM, CRSP) got a boost, as the heads of the HHS, FDA, CBER, NIH, and CDC expressed support for faster rare disease approvals at an FDA roundtable. 

Biopharma Week in Review Large M&A and Licensing Deals Provide a Boost

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>Vaccine stocks (NVAX, BNTX, PFE, MRNA, PCVX) had a good week, as the FDA provided new regulatory policy for COVID-19 vaccines.</li><li>While more restrictive and unconventionally delivered in a NEJM op-ed, the publication reduced uncertainty for vaccine makers and gave full support for the measles vaccine by FDA heads.</li><li>Biopharma shrugged off MFN pricing targets, as implementation remained unclear. </li></ul>

Vaccine stocks (NVAX, BNTX, PFE, MRNA, PCVX) had a good week, as the FDA provided new regulatory policy for COVID-19 vaccines.While more restrictive and unconventionally delivered in a NEJM op-ed, the publication reduced uncertainty for vaccine makers and gave full support for the measles vaccine by FDA heads.Biopharma shrugged off MFN pricing targets, as implementation remained unclear. 

Biopharma Week in Review - FDA Provides Some Certainty for Vaccines; ASCO Abstracts Snippets

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, BIOA discontinued its lead obesity study, while JANX had impressive prostate cancer data, which also lifted VIR.</li><li>MRUS gained from earlier HNSCC abstract data but may give it back after its weekend presentation. </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, BIOA discontinued its lead obesity study, while JANX had impressive prostate cancer data, which also lifted VIR.MRUS gained from earlier HNSCC abstract data but may give it back after its weekend presentation. 

Biopharma Week in Review - December 9, 2024

Netherlands

Merus N.V. operates as a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company. The Company focuses on developing bispecific antibody therapeutics. Merus develops and manufactures therapeutics to treat and cure cancer patients.

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Merus NV (MRUS US)

Merus NV - ACF Thematic Oncology Lung Cancer Cough LCC 25042025

Lung Cancer Cough (LCC) is an under-served, perhaps unserved therapeutic subsegment of the Lung Cancer/Oncology market. 57-65% of early diagnosis...

ACF Equity Research

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Buying a pullback; SPX testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226. This makes us believe we could...

Vermilion Research

Biopharma Week in Review Large M&A and Licensing Deals Provide a Boost

Gene and cell therapy (NTLA, BEAM, CRSP) got a boost, as the heads of the HHS, FDA, CBER, NIH, and CDC expressed support for faster rare disease...

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - FDA Provides Some Certainty for Vaccines; ASCO Abstracts Snippets

Vaccine stocks (NVAX, BNTX, PFE, MRNA, PCVX) had a good week, as the FDA provided new regulatory policy for COVID-19 vaccines.

Krungthai XSpring

Biopharma Week in Review - December 9, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A. Last week, BIOA discontinued...

Water Tower Research

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