Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clinuvel-pharmaceuticals-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17714:1" rel="noopener">Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals (CUV AU)</a> recorded 19% YoY revenue growth in H1FY23, driven by the growth of network of prescriber, treatment demand, and number of prescriptions of Scenesse.  </li>
<li>In March, Clinuvel announced the test launch of the first dermatocosmetic product Cyacêlle, a polychromatic screen, formulated to protect skin against ultraviolet A &amp; B and high-energy visible lights.</li>
<li>Clinuvel has published encouraging initial readouts of the DNA repair programs. In March 2023, the company has initiated Prénumbra Instant trial in acute ischemic stroke patients.</li>
</ul>



Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals (CUV AU) recorded 19% YoY revenue growth in H1FY23, driven by the growth of network of prescriber, treatment demand, and number of prescriptions of Scenesse.  
In March, Clinuvel announced the test launch of the first dermatocosmetic product Cyacêlle, a polychromatic screen, formulated to protect skin against ultraviolet A &amp; B and high-energy visible lights.
Clinuvel has published encouraging initial readouts of the DNA repair programs. In March 2023, the company has initiated Prénumbra Instant trial in acute ischemic stroke patients.


Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals (CUV AU): Portfolio Expansion Ensures Continued Profitable Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clinuvel-pharmaceuticals-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17714:1" rel="noopener">Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals (CUV AU)</a> is recording consistent profitable revenue growth backed by Scenesse. 2023 will be marked by several clinical trial progress and data readouts from the company.</li>
<li>The first readouts of the DNA repair program on xeroderma pigmentosum patients treated with afamelanotide are expected to be available early in the new year.</li>
<li>Clinuvel has started FY23 on a strong note, with Q1 recording highest ever customer receipts. Current cash balance of A$138 million represents sufficient funding for nearly eight quarters.</li>
</ul>



Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals (CUV AU) is recording consistent profitable revenue growth backed by Scenesse. 2023 will be marked by several clinical trial progress and data readouts from the company.
The first readouts of the DNA repair program on xeroderma pigmentosum patients treated with afamelanotide are expected to be available early in the new year.
Clinuvel has started FY23 on a strong note, with Q1 recording highest ever customer receipts. Current cash balance of A$138 million represents sufficient funding for nearly eight quarters.


Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals (CUV AU): Strong Start of FY23; Pipeline Progress Enhances Conviction

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In terms of geography, Japan is still our top pick, primarily due to attractive multiple, favorable Fx, and low leverage. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Australia biotech is another area of interest.</li>
<li>Among our four top picks, Gland Pharma reported year-over-year decline across all parameters during Q2FY23 due to supply woes. Near-term outlook is uncertain.</li>
<li>Apollo Hospitals reported strong quarterly performance, with all operating parameters improving year-over-year. Olympus remained a prime beneficiary of weak yen, while Samsung Biologics’ robust order book entail visibility.</li>
</ul>


In terms of geography, Japan is still our top pick, primarily due to attractive multiple, favorable Fx, and low leverage. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Australia biotech is another area of interest.
Among our four top picks, Gland Pharma reported year-over-year decline across all parameters during Q2FY23 due to supply woes. Near-term outlook is uncertain.
Apollo Hospitals reported strong quarterly performance, with all operating parameters improving year-over-year. Olympus remained a prime beneficiary of weak yen, while Samsung Biologics’ robust order book entail visibility.


APAC Healthcare Series (Part 4)- Japan Continues to Be in a Sweet Spot; Top Picks Quarterly Update

Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

<p>Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on Steakholder Foods (formerly known as MeaTech) (MITC), Mesoblast (MSB), Bluglass (BLG), InMed Pharmaceuticals (INM), Onxeo (ONXEO), Arcane Crypto (ARCANE) and Aberdeen Diversified Income and Growth Trust (ADIG). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant.</p>

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on Steakholder Foods (formerly known as MeaTech) (MITC), Mesoblast (MSB), Bluglass (BLG), InMed Pharmaceuticals (INM), Onxeo (ONXEO), Arcane Crypto (ARCANE) and Aberdeen Diversified Income and Growth Trust (ADIG). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant.

Australia

Mesoblast Limited provides biomedical services. The Company develops drugs for cardiovascular diseases, oncology, hematology, and spine orthopedic disorders treatment. Mesoblast conducts its business worldwide.

Mesoblast Ltd (MSB AU)

Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals (CUV AU): Portfolio Expansion Ensures Continued Profitable Growth

Clinuvel recorded double-digit revenue growth in H1FY23, backed by strong uptake of Scenesse. This year, the company launched its first...

Tina Banerjee

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals (CUV AU): Strong Start of FY23; Pipeline Progress Enhances Conviction

Data readouts for Clinuvel’s DNA repair program on XP patients expected early next year is potentially groundbreaking as it will open an innovative...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Series (Part 4)- Japan Continues to Be in a Sweet Spot; Top Picks Quarterly Update

Japan healthcare companies with high export revenue, continue to benefit from favorable Fx. Three of our top picks reported strong quarterly...

Tina Banerjee

Mesoblast - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on Steakholder Foods (formerly known as MeaTech) (MITC), Mesoblast (MSB), Bluglass (BLG), InMed...

Edison Investment Research